The Weather Outlook

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Rob K
09 August 2026 13:11:33
Charlwood has already hit 32.4C so perhaps it is still overcooking.
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

Hungry Tiger
09 August 2026 13:21:35

Charlwood has already hit 32.4C so perhaps it is still overcooking.

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

So how many days of 32C and over is that now. 😵😵😵😵


Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - [email protected]

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.



TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
09 August 2026 14:02:48

So how many days of 32C and over is that now. 😵😵😵😵

Originally Posted by: Hungry Tiger 

I wouldn’t count until a station other than Charlwood records 32C. 


Brockley, South East London 30m asl
picturesareme
09 August 2026 14:35:11
Staggering difference in dew points between Gosport Fleetlands and Thorney. 

6C at Gosport 18C Thorney that's 12 C difference over 20 miles and both coastal 

Bertwhistle
09 August 2026 14:40:29

Staggering difference in dew points between Gosport Fleetlands and Thorney. 

6C at Gosport 18C Thorney that's 12 C difference over 20 miles and both coastal 

Originally Posted by: picturesareme 

GF is at 29°C with an ESE breeze; TI at just 26°C with a SSW breeze. The IOW is helping to delay the onset of the sea breeze. Thorney has no such protection with a SSW'ly and the extra humidity accounts for the dew point differences.


Bertie, Itchen Valley.

Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.

johncs2016
09 August 2026 14:46:37

I can confidently report that Scotland didn't have a heatwave in May, June or July and neither will it have one in August. Edinburgh had one day at 28 C in June. 

This week, our warm spell will be 21 - 25 C for 3 days

We've had warmer summers

Originally Posted by: Crepuscular Ray 

That may well be true but we've also had much cooler and wetter summers than this and so far, this summer has been warmer than average overall with 20+°C maximums still being recorded here on a more regular basis than we would typically expect.

I do agree that this summer hasn't been as hot or as sunny as last summer but you only have to go back to 2024 to find a year in which the temperature here in Edinburgh actually failed to even reach 25°C during that entire year whereas during this year so far, we have actually seen temperatures of over 25°C on a number of occasions, albeit in such a way that we haven't actually had an official heatwave out of that (we have come close to that on at least a couple of occasions though).


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

Rob K
09 August 2026 15:41:19

I wouldn’t count until a station other than Charlwood records 32C. 

Originally Posted by: TimS 

Teddington and Heathrow have both recorded over 32C so that is 22 days. The previous record was 19 days in 1995. 1976 managed 16, but 15 of those were consecutive! The most we have had consecutively this year is seven.


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

Hungry Tiger
09 August 2026 15:58:30

Teddington and Heathrow have both recorded over 32C so that is 22 days. The previous record was 19 days in 1995. 1976 managed 16, but 15 of those were consecutive! The most we have had consecutively this year is seven.

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

Cheers Rob. 🙂🙂🙂🙂. Thanks for those stats I wondered where we were so to speak wrt to this. 🙂🙂


Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - [email protected]

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.



Jiries
09 August 2026 16:14:31
Went up to 31.7C the max now 31.2C so a hot day here today.
Rob K
09 August 2026 16:17:02
Meanwhile GFS still suggesting that Thursday could be the second hottest day on record, with 39C (and Friday also possibly pushing June 26 out of the top 5). If that were to happen then 2026 would have 3 of the top 6 hottest days ever, and 4 of the top 10 (including ties).

Arpege only goes for 35C max though, quite a big difference at this stage.


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

Hungry Tiger
09 August 2026 16:46:11

Meanwhile GFS still suggesting that Thursday could be the second hottest day on record, with 39C (and Friday also possibly pushing June 26 out of the top 5). If that were to happen then 2026 would have 3 of the top 6 hottest days ever, and 4 of the top 10 (including ties).

Arpege only goes for 35C max though, quite a big difference at this stage.

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

GFS as I have just seen a few minutes ago is lining up heatwave No7. I know No5 wasn't much, but it still delivered 30s and over which to me still counts. No7 looks like the 18th to the 21st or 22nd. 🙂🙂🙂🙂


Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - [email protected]

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.



Jiries
09 August 2026 17:22:47

GFS as I have just seen a few minutes ago is lining up heatwave No7. I know No5 wasn't much, but it still delivered 30s and over which to me still counts. No7 looks like the 18th to the 21st or 22nd. 🙂🙂🙂🙂

Originally Posted by: Hungry Tiger 

Some posters walked away because they not happy with the temperature only low 30's but for me any 30C plus I am very happy because this is UK not Med country.  Highlight of this summer is the posters how they walked away which I never seen this before, you expect frenzy of posts for temps 30C and over.

TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
09 August 2026 17:47:51

Teddington and Heathrow have both recorded over 32C so that is 22 days. The previous record was 19 days in 1995. 1976 managed 16, but 15 of those were consecutive! The most we have had consecutively this year is seven.

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

Anyone got the stats for 25C days? That’s really the baseline, where the action is. The red circles on the old BBC charts. My hunch is that recent years have been trouncing the old records for number of what I think the European mets officially call “summer day” temperatures.  


Brockley, South East London 30m asl
johncs2016
09 August 2026 17:51:39
The Met Office are now going for two consecutive days (Wednesday and Thursday) with temperatures of around 25°C here in Edinburgh. This means that we would now just need one more to potentially give us that elusive first heatwave since 2022 in this part of the world. To me, that could easily happen if Tuesday's forecast is upgraded as well so even at this very late stage of the summer, I still wouldn't completely write off our chances of getting that heatwave just yet.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

Chidog
09 August 2026 18:43:54

Anyone got the stats for 25C days? That’s really the baseline, where the action is. The red circles on the old BBC charts. My hunch is that recent years have been trouncing the old records for number of what I think the European mets officially call “summer day” temperatures.  

Originally Posted by: TimS 

Not sure of other years but this year so far has 55 of a possible 70 days exceeding 25C (1st June, and every single day from 16th June onwards apart from June 29th). 54 of the last 55 days have had a UK max over 25C!

Rob K
09 August 2026 19:11:56

Anyone got the stats for 25C days? That’s really the baseline, where the action is. The red circles on the old BBC charts. My hunch is that recent years have been trouncing the old records for number of what I think the European mets officially call “summer day” temperatures.  

Originally Posted by: TimS 

I have a spreadsheet with all the daily maxes for this year so it's a simple task to pull out the stats. For 2026 as a whole we have had 68 days over 25C. I haven't run the numbers for other years though, apart from 1976 which had 76 in the whole year.

Looks like today hit 33.1ºC at Teddington, which is also incidentally the 14th day to reach 33C this year.


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

Bertwhistle
09 August 2026 20:16:42
Today is the 56th consecutive day with a CET max above 20°C. With more to come, interesting to see how the other big summers did.

2022 managed 51.

2018 managed 48.

Oft revered 1995 did well with 42 and 1983 had 30.

2025- the current hottest summer, not bad at 38. 2013 did well to get 33 as it was all wrapped up in July. 1911 managed 31.

1976 failed to get 30 and 2006 managed just 23. 2003's total is lower still.

With certainly at least 5 more to come, this is yet another record for this astonishing summer as far as I can tell.

Copied from another thread.


Bertie, Itchen Valley.

Retire while you can still press the 'retire now' button.

scillydave
09 August 2026 20:19:29
Looks like the UKV is on the GFS camp for Thursday - it's shaping up to be a hot one. 38c or higher in certainly not out of the question and we may even see 3 days in a row at 35c and above.
Currently living at roughly 65m asl North of Cowbridge in the Vale of Glamorgan.

Formerly of, Birdlip, highest village in the Cotswolds and snow heaven in winter; Hawkinge in Kent - roof of the South downs and Isles of Scilly, paradise in the UK.

saxtemp
09 August 2026 21:10:02

Teddington and Heathrow have both recorded over 32C so that is 22 days. The previous record was 19 days in 1995. 1976 managed 16, but 15 of those were consecutive! The most we have had consecutively this year is seven.

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

I thought those forecasts for 33c were overcooking it. Maybe we really are looking at the 2nd hottest day ever Thursday.

Went to Pen y Fan earlier and the drive there was acrid. Was coughing by the time I was in the Forest of Dean. You can still smell smoke as far east as Oxfordshire


Oxfordshire, 184m asl
fairweather
09 August 2026 21:11:38

Anyone got the stats for 25C days? That’s really the baseline, where the action is. The red circles on the old BBC charts. My hunch is that recent years have been trouncing the old records for number of what I think the European mets officially call “summer day” temperatures.  

Originally Posted by: TimS 

In the last 54 consecutive days I've had 50 above 25C. Then jump back to May and there were a further 9. That's for my location in S.Essex.


S.Essex, 42m ASL
fairweather
09 August 2026 21:24:22
It's quite difficult to not break a temperature record at the moment it seems. It will soon be easier to find one that hasn't been broken this summer!
S.Essex, 42m ASL
fairweather
09 August 2026 22:08:15

Although September could be a washout like 76.

Originally Posted by: westv 

I was young then and loved the sun. We'd just had a long drawn out house purchase and set off for a holiday in the New Forest in September. As they say, the rest was history!


S.Essex, 42m ASL
saxtemp
09 August 2026 22:29:47
GFS still going for 39c on the 18Z

UserPostedImage


Oxfordshire, 184m asl
The Beast from the East
10 August 2026 01:35:51

I wouldn’t count until a station other than Charlwood records 32C. 

Originally Posted by: TimS 

They should have just turned the place into the second runway!  I remember as a kid the campaigns to stop it from NIMBYS 


Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President

The Beast from the East
10 August 2026 01:37:07

GFS still going for 39c on the 18Z

UserPostedImage

Originally Posted by: saxtemp 

pub run also extends the heat into the following week with another push from the azores high. 


Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President

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