The Weather Outlook

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TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
09 July 2026 17:46:52

Arpege was very good with the temperature and area today, 35C around W London. Tomorrow it goes for 36C around Somerset and Staffordshire/Shropshire. Could be a day for Yeovilton (assuming it is fixed now!)

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

I’m driving down the A303 to Devon tomorrow, stopping in Somerset for lunch. Will keep a beady eye on the car thermometer. 

Heatwave score update: assuming the Wisley reading is the final one, we’re at 13.8 + 6.6 = 20.4

Brockley, South East London 30m asl
+1
fairweather
09 July 2026 17:54:12

30.2 here (with a stinking 21C dewpoint), making it the fourth day in a row and - to my knowledge - the first time that's happened. 1976 had four days hitting 30, but not consecuitive, and other years such as 1995 had more in the way of a sea breeze... 30C has always been rare in Leysdown!

Originally Posted by: Retron 

It did just that. Mine is not too accurate but at that same exact time it jumped from 6C to 15C and now at 7pm it is very clammy and humid despite the breeze and what the hell is it doing  at 28.5C outside at 7pm!

S.Essex, 42m ASL
+1
tierradelfuego
09 July 2026 18:10:16
A high of 34.1c here today, certainly the most 30s I have recorded in a year here.

Hazy cloud has reduced the temps down to 31.6c now with a slight breeze but the DP is up to 17c now so feeling more humid.

Bucklebury

West Berkshire Downs AONB

135m ASL

VP2 with daytime FARS

Rainfall collector separated at ground level

Anemometer separated above roof level

WeatherLink Live (Byles Green Crew )

NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
09 July 2026 18:13:07
A high of 33C here today. Funny how I don't bat an eyelid at this temperature in the UK anymore.
Vale of the Great Dairies

South Dorset

Elevation 60m 197ft

tierradelfuego
09 July 2026 18:50:53
1st 9 days of July with a 1 min mean of 21c exactly and mean max of 29.1c, pretty crazy. The coolest max was 25.6c, yup, freezing!!
Bucklebury

West Berkshire Downs AONB

135m ASL

VP2 with daytime FARS

Rainfall collector separated at ground level

Anemometer separated above roof level

WeatherLink Live (Byles Green Crew )

Windy Willow
09 July 2026 18:59:02
The garden is 34c right now and the RH is 33%. that won't be anything like the official figure, which i believe is currently 5c lower, or there about. There is some slight breeze now, after being still most of the day and the fluffy clouds that appeared this early afternoon oon disappeared.

 I've felt pretty sorry for our dog though, as it's hard work trying to find somewhere cool but he has enjoyed a couple of short/brief spray downs during the day, he's one that likes to try and bite the water, even from the watering can or the outdoor tap when attempting to fill said watering can! It's pretty funny and a good way to keep him comfortable.

South Holland, Lincs 5m/16ft ASL

When I saw corruption, I was forced to find truth on my own. I couldn't swallow the hypocrisy.

Barry White

It’s the end of the world as we know it (and I feel fine) - R.E.M.

+1
Ally Pally Snowman
09 July 2026 19:35:17
Over 35c three months in a row that must be a first? 
Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Retron
10 July 2026 03:13:39

1st 9 days of July with a 1 min mean of 21c exactly and mean max of 29.1c, pretty crazy. The coolest max was 25.6c, yup, freezing!!

Originally Posted by: tierradelfuego 

My 1-minute mean is 22.6! Mean max 29.2, mean min 16.4. Hopefully that 1-minute mean will drop away a fair bit from tomorrow onwards, but it'll be much the same today: 4 AM and it's still 19.8!

Leysdown, north Kent
Jiries
10 July 2026 06:28:38
Very warm over night low of 20.9C now sunny and warming up to 22C.  Not sure why the apps going incorrect to show cloudy all day even in London? was correct before with full sunshine.  
Retron
10 July 2026 06:34:22
The past four days have been historic here - I don't think we've had 4 days in a row in the 30s before, and just look at these stats since Monday. No wonder the house is a sauna...

Summary for period 06/07/2026 to 10/07/2026

Temperature (°C):

Mean (1 minute)  24.5

Mean (min+max)  24.7

Mean Minimum    17.9

Mean Maximum    31.5

Minimum          16.6 on 06/07/2026

Maximum          33.1 on 06/07/2026

Highest Minimum  19.0 on 07/07/2026

Lowest Maximum  30.3 on 09/07/2026

Leysdown, north Kent
+1
Rob K
10 July 2026 06:45:04
Models seems to have pegged back today’s temperatures a bit so it seems unlikely to best yesterday’s high. GFS ramps up the heat again next week though so still a chance of topping 35.5. UKV also has widespread 35s on Tuesday. 
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
10 July 2026 06:50:48
The Met Office is getting a little more bullish about some welcome rain from that Biscay low though they don’t mention that word 'welcome'. And it's only going to come in the form of thundery showers, so hit and miss I guess. The miss for IMBY based on previous experience though I’d love it to be different this time round.

They do add  "Staying hot, although an easterly breeze will bring a little relief in places." 'Relief' being the word they use here but the danger from fast spreading fires isn’t mentioned, though that's the greater fact than any transient wind relief. 

Vale of the Great Dairies

South Dorset

Elevation 60m 197ft

+1
NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
10 July 2026 06:55:17
I know this is common knowledge here but the BBC have caught up with this scam.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cj6g41pzy41o 

Vale of the Great Dairies

South Dorset

Elevation 60m 197ft

+2
GezM
  • GezM
  • Advanced Member
10 July 2026 07:47:54
BBC weather for the week ahead overnight was quite bullish about generally more unsettled weather next week. It looked to my like shallow low pressure with light winds and showers or storms rather than anything frontal. That implies to me that it will be hit and miss if it's rain you're after.
Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)

Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)

+1
Rob K
10 July 2026 08:00:56

I know this is common knowledge here but the BBC have caught up with this scam.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cj6g41pzy41o 

Originally Posted by: NMA 

And the advert at the bottom of the page here says “Camberley inventor makes air conditioners obsolete” :)

incidentally Brian I often get pop-ups here saying “ad blocker detected” but I don’t have any ad blocker enabled, as far as I know. I certainly still see the ads. I will get round to paying for premium at some point!

Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

+2
Ally Pally Snowman
10 July 2026 08:16:40
Both ECM and AIFS 0z keep the heat going to day 15 with only a couple of slightly cooler days. 
Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Jiries
10 July 2026 09:00:43
30C now and there some dry hot breeze around, more hotter than yestetrday.   Seeing above post from NMA I posted last week about the AC scams.  They really need to get a 9-5 jobs to earn money than scamming during the heatwave.
+1
Crepuscular Ray
10 July 2026 09:07:30
Waiting for the cool North Sea influence to kick in today. It's 22 C and if we get to 25 C before it does, we can officially join the heatwave club. First one since 2022!

Usually in a warm spell here, we get 2 days worth before the east wind and haar threaten. Fingers crossed 🤞

Jerry

Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill

tierradelfuego
10 July 2026 09:08:58
Hottest temps so far seem to be from Oxford down through to the Winchester area and a little patch in Dorset at 29c, we are currently 28c.

27s and a few 28s stretching up through the Midlands and elsewhere so only a few degrees difference.

Bucklebury

West Berkshire Downs AONB

135m ASL

VP2 with daytime FARS

Rainfall collector separated at ground level

Anemometer separated above roof level

WeatherLink Live (Byles Green Crew )

NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
10 July 2026 09:15:10
27.5C is my reading outside the office. Just been to town for a trim. Packed. Just had a shower as one does on my return..

Vale of the Great Dairies

South Dorset

Elevation 60m 197ft

Saint Snow
10 July 2026 09:27:11
Last night here felt really fresh. There was a breeze and a lack of humidity.

Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."

Aneurin Bevan

AJ*
  • AJ*
  • Advanced Member
10 July 2026 09:35:42

...

incidentally Brian I often get pop-ups here saying “ad blocker detected” but I don’t have any ad blocker enabled, as far as I know. I certainly still see the ads. I will get round to paying for premium at some point!

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

I get exactly the same thing. As I don't have an Adblocker either I just click on 'Understand' (as in 'I understand that this accusation is false') and carry on.

Angus; one of the Kent crew on TWO.

Tonbridge, 40m (131ft) asl

Rob K
10 July 2026 10:22:06
30.7C at Larkhill so that's 21 days reaching 30C this year, taking us into equal fourth place with 2006. The only three years with more are:

1976: 24 days

2018: 28 days

1995: 34 days

At the moment the models suggest we will overtake 1976 effortlessly, and potentially tie 2018 by the end of this spell (assuming a run of 30C up to next Friday).

Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

Windy Willow
10 July 2026 10:48:34
29c here with 47%RH in the garden, which makes it a bit more humid today than yesterday, no clouds visible right now but the sky has a slightly milky tint. If the forecast is correct, today should be the last 30c+ for at least a week, I hope. I like some heat but this has been ridiculous and really unbearable at times.
South Holland, Lincs 5m/16ft ASL

When I saw corruption, I was forced to find truth on my own. I couldn't swallow the hypocrisy.

Barry White

It’s the end of the world as we know it (and I feel fine) - R.E.M.

+1
Rob K
10 July 2026 10:52:07
Never mind next Friday, 6Z GFS looks like keeping the 30C run going and going. Would smash the 1976 18-day record , crazy stuff.
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

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