The Weather Outlook

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Matty H
20 June 2026 22:36:55

That's not true, I acknowledged there were some forecasts showing 40C (exceptional by any definition) but struggled to find any excitement for it because its all becoming desensitising. I never implied that exceptional weather was not on the cards.

Originally Posted by: Quantum 

Nope

“Become a bit desensitized to it, but I've seen plenty of runs with near all time T850 records and 40C surface temps.

Post 2022 it just doesn't have the same hype though.”

Now you’re interested….

Yate, Nr Bristol

TBFTEIARBSC

Quantum
21 June 2026 00:48:49

Nope

“Become a bit desensitized to it, but I've seen plenty of runs with near all time T850 records and 40C surface temps.

Post 2022 it just doesn't have the same hype though.”

Now you’re interested….

Originally Posted by: Matty H 

Its been upgraded from 'as extreme as 2022 given the time of year' to 'quite alot more extreme than 2022 given the time of year'. But as I say I've become a bit desensitized to it all. Even if we break an all time record next week (which looks a possibility now) it will probably be broken again in a couple of years anyway. Its a comment on how rapid things are warming really.

Anyway speaking of extreme, ARPEGE now has a full 41C contour visible on the Wednesday. 

25/26 (850hpa temp) 11 days snow/sleet falling

18/11 (-4) 19/11 (-6) 20/11 (-6) 01/01 (-7) 04/01 (-10) 10/01 (-7) 11/01 (-3) 30/01 (-1) 13/02 (-6) 15/02 (-4) 18/02 (-6)

24/25 10d

18/11 (-6) 19/11 (-6) 23/11 (-2) 22/12 (-5) 04/01 (-5) 05/01 (0)14/02 (0) 15/02 (0)12/03 (-6) 13/03 (-6)

23/24 8d

29/11 (-6) 30/11 (-6) 02/12 (-5) 03/12 (-5) 04/12 (-3) 16/01 (-3) 18/01 (-8)08/02 (-5)

22/23 7d

18/12 (-1)06/03 (-6) 08/03 (-8) 09/03 (-6) 10/03 (-8) 11/03 (-5) 14/03 (-6)

21/22 12d

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