I'd "bank" it - a max of 54mph gusts here, which is bearable. Similarly the 6z GFS had a max of 52, which is well down on recent runs.

I've a feeling it'll only go up from here, as both models have much higher winds only 40 miles away. And MetO still has 57, unusually still the highest of them all.

Incidentally re: Scilly, I'm not sure what's worse - the MetO raw for Bude, now forecasting 38 to 83 (and winds in the 80 for 6 hours), or 51 to 79 as is shown in the forecast for St Mary's. The reason being it's the delta between the background wind speed and the gusts which causes the damage, and a 45 mph delta (as per Bude) is much larger than the 28 mph one shown for St Mary's...

Neither would be fun to be around, mind you, and I suspect there will be widespread power cuts reported by Sunday morning.

As recently as yesterday, some of the models were going for that storm to be much further south and in some of the model output, that low was even only going to be affecting the south of England.

However, subsequent models runs have since brought that system back up north again and it now looks as we are all going to in its firing line as this low isn't now expected to start diving away to our south until it is in the process of moving across the UK from the west.

As with Storm Bert, there is also some snow in the mix for Scotland but unlike with Storm Bert which brought a lot of widespread snow which brought our buses to a standstill even here in Edinburgh, any snow from Storm Darragh is expected to be mainly confined to higher ground and to the north of the Central Belt although some of locations could still end up getting a fair amount of that.

Km/h, not knots (thankfully!)

My mistake 🙂. Saying that, 10m Winds are in knots so I assumed 10m wind gusts would be the same, but you are correct it is right there at the top

We only have electric as power as well!

Aberdaron at the tip of the Lleyn Penisula, has the strongest winds that I can see, at 58/92mph. Holyhead, a major UK-Ireland port, tops out at 54/87.

Mine peaks at 25/63mph

(the above per the Met Office site)

Really not looking forward to this 😕

Snowdon has stronger - hurricane force winds for 12 hours straight, peaking at 86 sustained gusting to 96 as of current output. Hopefully nobody will be up there at that time! Oh, there'll be heavy snow at the same time too...

https://weather.metoffice.gov.uk/forecast/gcmjghxpx#?date=2024-12-07 

It's not looking very pleasant for you folks in the west - fingers crossed everyone's sensible and shores up wonky fence panels, takes down their trampolines etc. Definitely worth getting an LED lantern and some batteries if you're in the SW, Wales and Northern Ireland, I'd have thought!

😦

That's some serious weather!

We're planning a trip out to Llangollen on Sunday, and I might make a diversion on the way home via the Horseshoe. Hopefully see some snow on the tops (it's only the Clwydian Range, though) 😉

https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twodata/arome.aspx 

Wowsers. Surely some of those strongest winds will transfer eastwards. Already showing as 52mph in and around London.

If it carried on as it does in Arpege (and indeed the other models), that's pretty much at the peak of the low - it then slowly fills and moves SE'wards, which keeps the worst of the winds over to the west.

It wouldn't take much of a track change to bring areas east of say Reading back into the 60+ gust range though!

It still shows quite a sharp gust front there - in the later frames, there's an area near the Yorkshire Dales which goes from 6mph gusts to 43 in the space of an hour, which is quite a contrast!

The models have been showing that once the LP moves into the North Sea there are very strong NW-N winds down the eastern side. Arome is showing 60mph gusts quite widely and 75mph down the east coast into The Wash and hitting parts of the North Norfolk coast on Saturday afternoon.

https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/twodata/ukmetuk.aspx?run=12&charthour=35&chartname=wind_gust&chartregion=uk-region&charttag=Wind%20gust%20mph 

90mph + for Donegal? Sting jet potential it would appear. 

That's by far the worst on the models so far - widespread 70mph+ inland across the whole of Wales and the Southwest with 80mph+ extending a fair way inland especially in the Southwest 

https://weather.metoffice.gov.uk/forecast/gbujj34bk#?date=2024-12-07&forecastChoice=weather 

28 to 81, then 30 to 83 - not far off a 3-to-1 ratio. You'd end up with the frankly daft scenario of sustained winds being well below gale level, but the gusts up to hurricane levels! 

I wonder why the ratio is so high in the SW? It's very unusual, normally 2-to-1 would be closer to the mark. Down here, for example, it's showing 26 to 47 on Saturday afternoon, peaking at 31 to 55 later on, 24 to 47 tonight, and 21 to 35 when the winds come in off the sea on Monday.

Latest update unbelievably ramps it further!

At 9.00am Saturday:

Temp: -1c

With windchill: -13c

Sustained wind: 88mph

Gusting: 98mph

And that heavy snow still.

I'd love to experience that. Briefly. Dressed in professional mountain gear. With a hut to hop into. A hut with a roaring log-burner.