WX Summary charts still uncertain about what's to happen in week2. Week 1 continues the present pattern of a hot continent, the heat spreading to cover England, and no significant rain except in the ultra-north plus a smaller amount around Belarus. Week 2 looks more interesting with cooler (but still warm) patches appearing in W Europe including a general cooling of the British Isles; the Baltic hangs on to some heat but N Russia much cooler. Rain now appearing in a new place for the third successive day, now affecting the British Isles with patches to the E all the way across Europe.
Jet streaks to N of Scotland for a few days then no action until about Sat 20th when a S-ly dipping loop rolls across the UK
FAX shows LP near Brittany Sat 13th developing to cover Britain Sun 1th; trough over the S and a secondary centre off SW Ireland
GFS Op shows the current ridge of HP lying E-W across Britain being disrupted by LP from the south, 1010mb SW approaches Sun 14th, then a tussle between these two until the Atlantic steps in, LP covering Britain Sat 20th and centred 995 mb NI. This slowly drifts N-wards as the ridge of HP re-establishes Thu 25th - but not strongly as LP from the Continent is still hanging around and something that looks like an ex-hurricane is in mid-Atlantic
GEFS mean temps dropping steadily to norm over next weekend with significant amounts of rain in many ens members starting up. Mean temp near norm and intermittent rain for the rest of the forecast period but plenty of variation. Some big rain totals in N later on
ECM similar to GFS though the LP at the weekend re-forms to the SW for a time before the Atlantic LP moves in, the latter more slowly than in the GFS model
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Chichester 12m asl