Summary outlook pattern much the same as yesterday except if anything even cooler and drier in week 2. An anomaly, surely? If it's going to b dry and by implication fine, the sun is still powerful enough to lift daytime temps, so it could still be very pleasant in the middle of the day though no heat wave.
Jet - occasional streaks near the UK but nothing of note except on a couple of days from the N on Thu/Fri 2/3rd.
GFS op - current shallow LP across the S replaced by anticyclone Wed 25th 1030mb covering all UK. A tendency for it to move N with E-lies for the S until Tue 31st when the HP moves off to the W and in combination with LP over Scandinavia gives some quite strong N-lies until the HP re-establishes itself 1025 mb Mon 6th, again covering all the country.
GEFs - mean temps staying close to seasonal norm in S, a couple of degrees above in N, good agreement for the first week but increasing variation thereafter (at about Thu 2nd op and control in opposite directions ca 8C above and below, probably depends on whether we get the edge of that N-ly or a full-on blast, small differences in position of HP & LP will make a big difference to temps)
ECM - consistent with its own forecast yesterday and differs from GFS as the HP quite definitely moves N/NE (1025 mb Scandi Sat 28th) before shifting to the W but with enough HP staying over Scandi to prevent N-lies and instead another of those shallow lows moving across England fro the W Tue 31st
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell
Chichester 12m asl