The Weather Outlook

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The Beast from the East
24 February 2019 10:55:50

make the most of it, looks like March is going to be awful


Purley, Surrey, 70m ASL

"We have some alternative facts for you"

Kelly-Ann Conway - former special adviser to the President

Bolty
24 February 2019 12:23:24
I actually can't get over this spell of weather! To feel pleasantly warm outside in a t-shirt in February seems bizarre! I think it's going to be a very long time until we see the likes of this again, put it that way!

And what an incredible contrast to this time last year. This spell is equally as unusual as the BFTE, but for warmth and sunshine instead of cold and snow.


Scott

Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.

My weather station 

snow 2004
24 February 2019 12:28:25
It feels warm enough outside to sit out in just a T Shirt. 16C, sunny skies and a light breeze.

This spell is notable here as temps in double figures in Feb are normally acoompanied by copious amounts of fog, drizzle or heavy rain.


Glossop Derbyshire, 200m asl
Gray-Wolf
24 February 2019 12:41:59

So what if March comes in like a Lion?

As long as we then slip back to a similar 'double the average temp for the time of year' type synoptic I'll be most pleased!

 

Nice to see the GFS performing much as I'd suspected and watering down any 'cold' signal out in FI over the past week to a more 'believable ( to me at least) 1040 mb sat on us at runs end with only the mirest flirtation with sub minus 5 850 mbs on our way to there.

I do think that the constant return to a H.P. dominated position is set to continue ( strengthen?) a while yet promising us a crackin' start to the year with a warm,gentle Spring rolling into a scorchio summer!

We all can dream!

 

 

*If , post 2012, the downstream arm of the polar Jet's average station that set's up the Uk's 'weather experience'  is now one that sets up H.P. after H.P. ( a move from the 'trough' that sent us the 'washout' years?)then it will continue to settle into its pattern as the years roll on?

If this proves so then for this pattern to change again we'll need another 2012 like change to the energies being absorbed, and released, in the Arctic to further 'tweak' the amplitude/frequency of the 'average' Polar Jet Pattern that sets up our weathers here in the Uk?.*


Koyaanisqatsi

ko.yaa.nis.katsi (from the Hopi language), n. 1. crazy life. 2. life in turmoil. 3. life disintegrating. 4. life out of balance. 5. a state of life that calls for another way of living.

VIRESCIT VULNERE VIRTUS

Phil 2804
24 February 2019 12:46:07

It feels warm enough outside to sit out in just a T Shirt. 16C, sunny skies and a light breeze.

This spell is notable here as temps in double figures in Feb are normally acoompanied by copious amounts of fog, drizzle or heavy rain.

Originally Posted by: snow 2004 

 

just seen some lads at the local skatepark with “taps aff” it’s warm but surely not that warm 😆 

 

Im quite happy with this weather, I’m done with cold and damp now.

moomin75
24 February 2019 12:51:03

make the most of it, looks like March is going to be awful

Originally Posted by: The Beast from the East 

It looks like March may return to average March conditions if the models are to be believed. Certainly not "awful" just normal.

We are being spoilt by this early burst of spring and the chances are we won't see weather like this again in the next month, but far from awful.

March is normally a very changeable month and so it's just looking like we may get a spell of normal early spring weather after this magnificent spell is over.


Witney, Oxfordshire

100m ASL

doctormog
24 February 2019 13:03:57
“double the average temp for the time of year”

Arrrrrrrrrrrggggh!


Crepuscular Ray
24 February 2019 13:08:54
Don't think people appreciate what's happening. The younger members of my family down here in Nottingham are happily accepting a third day in the garden for lunch and a BBQ later.......I'm a little more concerned.....as i lie here on this lounger in shades and a short sleeved shirt 😲
Jerry

Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill

Gray-Wolf
24 February 2019 13:27:22

Don't think people appreciate what's happening. The younger members of my family down here in Nottingham are happily accepting a third day in the garden for lunch and a BBQ later.......I'm a little more concerned.....as i lie here on this lounger in shades and a short sleeved shirt 😲

Originally Posted by: Crepuscular Ray 

The night before last is when it troubled me. I'm used to feeling the heat of the sun on the 'good days' in early spring , look forward to it in fact!, but not the mild after twilight that has you able to sit out and watch the moon without coats!

We have all felt an 'Arctic Plunge' but maybe we should now expect the flip side of such chaotic exchanges and accept the WAA flowing over us to replace the airs lost to some other beggars 'arctic plunge' ( like the u.s. appears to have had over the west?) 

No matter what sets up these 'repeating patterns' they do seem to be becoming more common around the world and if we are settling into a new one that has H.P. dominance at its core we might want to be aware of it with summer on its way?

I'd choose a different set of bedding plants If I knew we had a long hot one on the way!


Koyaanisqatsi

ko.yaa.nis.katsi (from the Hopi language), n. 1. crazy life. 2. life in turmoil. 3. life disintegrating. 4. life out of balance. 5. a state of life that calls for another way of living.

VIRESCIT VULNERE VIRTUS

Ally Pally Snowman
24 February 2019 13:37:21

Gogerddan 19c Wales all time February record. Can we get to 20c?

Exact temp 18.8c 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Gray-Wolf
24 February 2019 13:56:39

Gogerddan 19c Wales all time February record. Can we get to 20c?

Exact temp 18.8c 

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 


Koyaanisqatsi

ko.yaa.nis.katsi (from the Hopi language), n. 1. crazy life. 2. life in turmoil. 3. life disintegrating. 4. life out of balance. 5. a state of life that calls for another way of living.

VIRESCIT VULNERE VIRTUS

Bolty
24 February 2019 14:44:02
Looks like 17.2°C (just 0.1°C off Friday's record) is going to be the high here for today, as skies are turning slightly hazier. For my area, I'm actually not ruling out 18°C on Tuesday...
Scott

Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.

My weather station 

Ally Pally Snowman
24 February 2019 14:50:39

Gogerddan 19.1c now madness


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Hungry Tiger
24 February 2019 15:14:48

Be great if we could crack a 21C

 


Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - [email protected]

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.



johncs2016
24 February 2019 15:44:29

No heatwave here today.

Instead of that, we have an easterly breeze with the temperature at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh now dropping to just 7.6°C as at 3pm.

In addition to that, we also have that east coast haar closing in here which is something which we wouldn't normally expected to see until well into the spring and summer.

However, that is an indication of just how warm, that air mass actually is at its source, which is a big difference from this time last year when the winds from that same easterly direction were bringing in plenty of snow showers.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

LeedsLad123
24 February 2019 15:58:15

It feels warm enough outside to sit out in just a T Shirt. 16C, sunny skies and a light breeze.

This spell is notable here as temps in double figures in Feb are normally acoompanied by copious amounts of fog, drizzle or heavy rain.

Originally Posted by: snow 2004 

In January and December, yeah, but double digits with sunshine is much less uncommon in February. The Atlantic is usually quiet at this time of year.


Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
snow 2004
24 February 2019 16:55:57

 

In January and December, yeah, but double digits with sunshine is much less uncommon in February. The Atlantic is usually quiet at this time of year.

Originally Posted by: LeedsLad123 

 

Apologies I should have clarified in my post that I meant for my location. More often than not temps into double figures here in Feb are from a moist tropical SW wind.  Probably ok for your location to the East of the Pennines in terms of seeing the sun. Here that often means quite poor weather.

 

Amazing to have a clean, clear warm high so early in the season. I'm 

 


Glossop Derbyshire, 200m asl
Gusty
24 February 2019 17:09:37

Ludicrous warmth here near the SE coast.

Max today was a staggering 16.4c. The warmest I've ever recorded in February by nearly 2 degrees I reckon.

Of note was the low humidity...just 26% at 3.45pm, accompanied by a dewpoint of -5c !

I didn't think it possible to import a warm continental feed in February 

 

 


Steve - Folkestone, Kent

Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue

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Whether Idle
24 February 2019 17:34:44

Ludicrous warmth here near the SE coast.

Max today was a staggering 16.4c. The warmest I've ever recorded in February by nearly 2 degrees I reckon.

Of note was the low humidity...just 26% at 3.45pm, accompanied by a dewpoint of -5c !

I didn't think it possible to import a warm continental feed in February 

 

 

Originally Posted by: Gusty 

Have just fired up the Windows 98 laptop that carries my VP2 data.

Will report the situation.  Worth noting that in my cycling and walking around east Kent today the car thermometer maxed at 16c near Waldershare. Felt more like May than February.  Ludicrous is the word.  At least I now have a tan!

Solar panels were kicking out 2.3kw today, very impressive for February.

Max, my Windows 98 Beast  tells me was 13.1.  Proximity to the coast critical.  A superb weekend of weather.

 


Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
PFCSCOTTY
24 February 2019 17:35:40
Stunning day overlooking the solent, people on jet skis, families out walking, people having picnics on the beach....conversation, laughter, exercise, the first tan of the season and people/Families enjoying the UK at its best and for a few hours at least, not letting life pass them by getting lost in their mobile phones. A great day to be alive.
Brian Gaze
24 February 2019 19:07:43

My VP2 recorded 18.4C here today. 


Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

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Crepuscular Ray
24 February 2019 19:58:07
Strange here in Nottingham today. The high level suburbs have had 15-16 C and sun dawn to dusk. Nearby, down in the Trent Valley, patches of fog have persisted all day. The fog is dense already near the Trent this evening
Jerry

Edinburgh, in the frost hollow below Blackford Hill

LeedsLad123
24 February 2019 20:20:01

Strange here in Nottingham today. The high level suburbs have had 15-16 C and sun dawn to dusk. Nearby, down in the Trent Valley, patches of fog have persisted all day. The fog is dense already near the Trent this evening

Originally Posted by: Crepuscular Ray 

Very thick fog here too, it descended around 5pm. 

The fog cleared around half 10 this morning but it remained hazy all day. Max temp of 14C today do not as warm as yesterday but a very pleasant early spring day nevertheless.


Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
four
  • four
  • Advanced Member
24 February 2019 20:42:50
14.6C again here same as on the 22nd, 2012 managed 14.8C not sure we will beat that now.
Rob K
25 February 2019 07:29:37

19.1C the max at Gogerddan yesterday, and 19.0 at Hampton Waterworks.

I went for a long bike ride ending at the pub yesterday. After starting off in frost it soon warmed up in the sun and there were masses of brimstone butterflies out and about. It was warm enough to sit in the pub garden in a T-shirt, with hardly a breath of wind. More like a day in early May than late February, and only three weeks after we were out sledging!

-0.8C and 16.1C the min and max at Farnborough.

Meanwhile another sharp frost here this morning and a near-20C diurnal range looks likely. 


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

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