The Weather Outlook

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DeeDee
01 July 2018 16:56:25

A little moment of history - the first ever Thunderstorm warning issued by the MetOffice, for tomorrow in the SW:

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings#?date=2018-07-01

 

Originally Posted by: Arcus 

Oh interesting,  I didn’t realise that !? What is normally said ? 🙂


Harpenden, Herts.
Rob K
04 July 2018 15:59:40

 

Oh interesting,  I didn’t realise that !? What is normally said ? 🙂

Originally Posted by: DeeDee 

Normally just rain. I imagine they have created a new category, makes sense.

 

BTW looks like a line of convection has kicked off over the North Downs in Hampshire/Surrey and heading north.


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

DEW
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04 July 2018 16:15:25

 

Normally just rain. I imagine they have created a new category, makes sense.

 

BTW looks like a line of convection has kicked off over the North Downs in Hampshire/Surrey and heading north.

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

Forecast map shows the South Downs having their turn tomorrow


War is God's way of teaching Americans geography - Ambrose Bierce

Chichester 12m asl

Arcus
04 July 2018 17:30:50

 

Normally just rain. I imagine they have created a new category, makes sense.

 

BTW looks like a line of convection has kicked off over the North Downs in Hampshire/Surrey and heading north.

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

Oddly there's two new categories, "Thunderstorm" and "Lightning". I'm not sure when you'd use one without the other being relevant though, and why other hazards would not deserve their own categories as well as lightning. A thunderstorm can come with damaging winds due to RFD, downbursts and obviously tornado potential, as well as large hail etc.

Just stick to the one new category of "Thunderstorm" IMO.

 

 


Ben,

Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire

30m asl

Arcus
05 July 2018 10:06:07

Warnings out for localised storms in the far S/SE for this afternoon:

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings#?date=2018-07-05

 

Vis Sat showing some development in this area already. Also some over the Pennines that could develop into showers later.


Ben,

Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire

30m asl

Windy Willow
05 July 2018 10:54:32

I'm in the warning area & not suprised as the sky is looking interesting right now. So I may get lucky & see some lightning later!


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Barry White

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Jiries
05 July 2018 11:06:43

I'm in the warning area & not suprised as the sky is looking interesting right now. So I may get lucky & see some lightning later!

Originally Posted by: Windy Willow 

Sky very boring and more.like infill to become overcast and dull today despite they forecast sunny and 30.  In order to get storms we need several hours of sun and heating.  

Stormchaser
05 July 2018 11:26:06

Convection does seem to be just spreading out beneath the capping inversion at the moment.

Still clearer along the coast though and I think this is why the high-res models mainly show any heavy or torrential shower development restricted to that area as the convergence zone moves over surfaces that have had more in the way of surface heating.

Speaking of which, the convergence line will likely be drawn very close to the coast due to the relatively weak heating further inland; the sea breeze isn't being drawn in as much as it could have been. I can already see evidence of this in the weather observations which show a SW wind in Bournemouth but a NW wind just about 5 miles inland at Hurn.

 

Here, it's currently largely cloudy with a bit of a breeze but an air temperature of 24*C thanks to sunny conditions lasting until mid-morning. One of those 'it's warmer than it looks' situations.

Having had a couple of hours without much in the way of direct surface heating, however, the instability is pretty poor in the lowest levels of the atmosphere - I expect it will come down to the lifting of mid-level air parcels to get much going here. Most often this just results in some sporadic light rain but we'll see!


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picturesareme
05 July 2018 12:11:32
very rapid growth of towers now and suspect them to be bringing rain almost any minute now.

I'm still in generally sunny sticky skies with little breeze.

NMA
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05 July 2018 12:35:21

According to the radar and looking north I would not be surprised to see some raindrops. It is more or less directly overhead says rain today.


Vale of the Great Dairies

South Dorset

Elevation 60m 197ft

speckledjim
05 July 2018 13:22:07
starting to look dark round me but nothing on the radar yet....
Thorner, West Yorkshire



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Gray-Wolf
05 July 2018 18:42:01

Well we had some cloud today ( early PM) but nothing that ran in front of the golden orb......

I remember folk telling of a time when summer was a swap over from spring to autumn and finished in a flurry of 'back to school' sun for a week in early Sept.......

Hard to believe it these days of record new numbers of vineyards being opened here in the UK ( last year) and all our gardens in need of mediterranean planting scheme..........Geraniums seem to like it?


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DEW
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06 July 2018 06:17:43
Hippydave
06 July 2018 17:33:26

The Tunbridge Wells storm was one of those brief, small affairs that packed a lot of punch as far as I can see.

In our part of the town there was a couple of minutes of very heavy rain and that was about it although that was enough to cover some of the roads in gravel and debris - the radar at the time had some very heavy returns around so I imagine the Pantiles etc. were under the storm for a little bit longer and the drains couldn't cope. That part of the town is at the bottom of a valley too which means any really heavy rain does cause the drains problems.

 


Home: Tunbridge Wells

Work: Tonbridge

Bolty
10 July 2018 20:34:22

There could be quite a few thunderstorms breaking out across western areas on Friday evening. Should this materialise, it could bring the first significant rain for weeks, with the chance of flash floods as the rain falls onto parched ground.


Scott

Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.

My weather station 

NMA
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12 July 2018 13:22:49

Looks like a thundery shower just to the north of me as I type this in the office. Will it or won't it bring the first thunderstorm of the summer to my location?


Vale of the Great Dairies

South Dorset

Elevation 60m 197ft

NMA
  • NMA
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12 July 2018 14:20:44

Looks like a thundery shower just to the north of me as I type this in the office. Will it or won't it bring the first thunderstorm of the summer to my location?

Originally Posted by: NMA 

Ah it's doing what its predecessors do best - dissipate according to the radar.

Maybe another day.


Vale of the Great Dairies

South Dorset

Elevation 60m 197ft

Rob K
12 July 2018 16:44:29
Looks like some heavy and slow-moving storms around my in-laws' place in the Test Valley at the moment.
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

DEW
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13 July 2018 06:04:06

Looks like some heavy and slow-moving storms around my in-laws' place in the Test Valley at the moment.

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

The view from Purbeck was of something large, black and murky in that direction. Now I see the MetO wettest place yesterday was Middle Wallop (airfield on Salisbury Plain) at 16mm.


War is God's way of teaching Americans geography - Ambrose Bierce

Chichester 12m asl

johncs2016
13 July 2018 11:56:56
Some impressive looking echoes on the latest radar map, appear to have sprung up from nowhere in the last wee while with the nearest one being located just to the SW of Edinburgh.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

13 July 2018 13:31:09

Recent heavy rain and ongoing thunder in Basingstoke. A line of slow moving showers is gradually developing in situ.

Jim-55
13 July 2018 17:04:51

Plenty of lightning and thunder just to the east of my plot but they are all missing by a couple of miles. Warminster have had a fair bit of flooding and reports of other areas getting the same. Today has been quite comfortable temp wise as the storms have brought some cool air with them, very welcome indeed.


Previously JimC. joined back then in 2009. Frome, N/E Somerset, 125mtrs asl.
Bolty
13 July 2018 17:39:33
Few heavy showers skirting this area. No thunder or lightning yet though.
Scott

Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.

My weather station 

snow 2004
13 July 2018 17:44:55
Very dark with thunder to my West.
Glossop Derbyshire, 200m asl
P+ve Giant
13 July 2018 17:47:00

About an hour's worth of rumbles from a storm that trundled slowly by to the SE/E over the high moorland. Went very murky here and it all kicked off when the convection got an extra lift from the high ground. One impressive ground-shaker that struck close to Biddulph Moor - the sound took 15 seconds to get here! Just a few large spit spots from the storm edge - hardly wet the ground!


John.

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