The end of that article includes a telling comment which reveals the reality of which way the Arctic ice is heading:
“The complicated conditions with sea-ice is alarming for Russian authorities that are promoting the Northern Sea Route as a future alternative to the Suez Canal. Already by the winter of 2023-2024 there is to be year-round commercial shipping on the route and goods volumes are planned to rocket to 150 million tons already by year 2030.”
So, just three years from now they’re expecting to be able to navigate the Arctic route 365 days per year.
Yes, the reality you mention is based on what might reasonably be expected or forecast from the Arctic warming trend which has led to much reduced ice cover there.
However, the speed of increased Arctic ice cover the last few weeks is totally unexpected and goes against the scientists' forecast trend in a big way. The ongoing record breaking snowfalls and/or low temperatures in Siberia, China and Japan should not be ignored either.
In the early late seventies?, climatologists noticed the changes to Arctic synoptics and told those listening, that 'somethings up'.
The same might be said about the rapid increased ice cover and record snow and low temperatures.
Lets see what happens.
"The professional standards of science must impose a framework of discipline and at the same time encourage rebellion against it". – Michael Polyani (1962)
"If climate science is sound and accurate, then it should be able to respond effectively to all the points raised…." - Grandad
"The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, and wiser people so full of doubts". - Bertrand Russell
"Science is the belief in the ignorance of the experts" – Richard Feynman
"A consensus means that everyone agrees to say collectively what no one believes individually.”- Abba Eban, Israeli diplomat
Dave,Derby