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KevBrads1
27 August 2020 05:47:58

Worst summers for Manchester


Manchester Summer Indices 


1954 143
1907 147
1956 155
1912 156
1924 158
2012 164
2008 168
1987 169
1946 170
1909 171
1931 173
1978 173
1980 173
1920 174
1923 174
2007 174
1927 175
1948 176
1938 177
1922 178
2011 179
1985 180
1958 184
1972 185
2020 185 (up to 27th August)
1916 188
1986 189
1965 189
2016 189
1910 190


MANCHESTER SUMMER INDEX for 2021: 238
Timelapses, old weather forecasts and natural phenomena videos can be seen on this site
http://www.youtube.com/channel/UCgrSD1BwFz2feWDTydhpEhQ/playlists
Bolty
27 August 2020 08:39:18
In terms of summery weather (i.e. warmth, dryness and sunshine), this has been a poor summer. There's only been a handful of days in each month that have been hot and sunny, though ironically this will locally be the first summer in a good few years where 30C was recorded in all three summer months. On the other hand, it has been a fantastic one in terms of thunderstorms - two great thundery spells in June and August, and that's even factoring in a thunderless July, which shows how poor it has been for thunder in recent years.

It has certainly been an interesting and bizarre summer though.
Scott
Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.
My weather station 
noodle doodle
27 August 2020 08:51:56
It's raining men hallelujah! It's raining men! oh ... no hang on, it's raining rain... again. Today was meant to be just cloudy a couple of days ago but now the forecast is the black cloud with two raindrops for most of the day, fantastic, brilliant 😛
snow 2004
27 August 2020 11:56:06
Yet another wind event this summer thanks to storm Francis. The weather wouldn’t have been out of place in November. I’ve lost count of how many significantly windy days we’ve had.

Storm Francis also gave over 100mm of rain here over approx 26 hours!
Glossop Derbyshire, 200m asl
severnside
27 August 2020 12:04:28

Raining, gloomy and dark, 14c absolute filth


Those scarce warm days this summer gave false hope of something better and settled, never materialised.

richardabdn
27 August 2020 17:13:45

Aberdeen Football Club is playing a team from the Faeroes at Pittodrie tonight and the visitors should more than feel at home in the ludicrous conditions we are having to endure. Day after day of depressing featureless gloom accompanied by horror 13C highs just like typical summer weather in those bleak, isolated and remote islands 



Another staggeringly bad 3-day spell since Tuesday with essentially no sunshine at all. The last 15 days have been diabolical in a way that only post-2006 summers can be. 30.9 hours of sun since the 13th which compares with 32.2 hours during the same period of last November. That was an extremely wet and dull November as well so it's beyond comprehension that we can now expect summer weather to be even worse than a bad November. Taking into account the differing daylight hours would make the comparison even more preposterous 


No summer in my life until 2007 produced anything this dire. It's just unreal. 10 out of the last 15 days have produced no more than half-an-hours sun. Only one August in my records had that many in its entirety and that was 2011 which I would rate as the worst August of my lifetime but this revolting month is causing me to reassess that. It's also the most that any month this year has recorded so far 


Could be that the final week fails to even reach 15C which has only happened once before in August in the past 60 years and that was in the ridiculously cold 1986. Even that month, despite the cold​, was nowhere near as dull as this grim, gruesome catastrophe. August 2008 didn't have this much soul destroying featureless cloud either despite having less sunshine.


The frequency with which we are seeing spells of weather so bad, that they should only belong in sub-polar regions, is alarming and concerning. There simply aren't any antidepressants strong enough to make this seem remotely tolerable


Aberdeen: The only place that misses out on everything


2023 - The Year that's Constantly Worse than a Bad November
2024 - 2023 without the Good Bits
Col
  • Col
  • Advanced Member
27 August 2020 17:52:51


Aberdeen Football Club is playing a team from the Faeroes at Pittodrie tonight and the visitors should more than feel at home in the ludicrous conditions we are having to endure


Originally Posted by: richardabdn 


Will they be treated to a meal of whale blubber after the match?


Col
Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl
Snow videos:
http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg
Super Cell
27 August 2020 19:08:32

It's raining men hallelujah! It's raining men! oh ... no hang on, it's raining rain... again. Today was meant to be just cloudy a couple of days ago but now the forecast is the black cloud with two raindrops for most of the day, fantastic, brilliant :-p

Originally Posted by: noodle doodle 


Amen to that. As late as 11am today was down to be a bit drizzly this afternoon for an hour or so but no significant rain until early tomorrow.


It has lashed down for five hours straight, and it's added to the minor flooding which has developed bit by bit over the past few weeks.


We've planned a day in York tomorrow and the forecast up to yesterday, when we decided to book a boat trip, was raining to around 11 then scattered showers. And now? Rain from 8am to 5pm. EDIT: Oh no, it's changed again in the last two hours. Rain 8 until 2. Yippeee!


I know I shouldn't be surprised and I am well aware of the limits of forecasting, but this is a real shocker, here at least.


Farnley/Pudsey Leeds
40m asl
johncs2016
27 August 2020 21:47:24

It's raining men hallelujah! It's raining men! oh ... no hang on, it's raining rain... again. Today was meant to be just cloudy a couple of days ago but now the forecast is the black cloud with two raindrops for most of the day, fantastic, brilliant :-p

Originally Posted by: noodle doodle 


Yes, I fully agree with that.


Today's weather system had been forecast to dive away towards the SE, which meant that today's latest event was originally supposed to be more or less, an England and Wales only event.


However, that clearly hasn't happened and as a result, today has ended up being yet another wet and miserable day here in Edinburgh.


Isn't it funny that whenever we need to be getting some rain, these weather systems will then tend to miss us to our south whereas these times such as now where we have had far more enough rain for now, is when these systems then end up coming further north than expected (as has been the case today) and thus, providing us with a direct hit in this part of the world?


 


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.
Saint Snow
27 August 2020 22:09:00


 


Amen to that. As late as 11am today was down to be a bit drizzly this afternoon for an hour or so but no significant rain until early tomorrow.


It has lashed down for five hours straight, and it's added to the minor flooding which has developed bit by bit over the past few weeks.


We've planned a day in York tomorrow and the forecast up to yesterday, when we decided to book a boat trip, was raining to around 11 then scattered showers. And now? Rain from 8am to 5pm. EDIT: Oh no, it's changed again in the last two hours. Rain 8 until 2. Yippeee!


I know I shouldn't be surprised and I am well aware of the limits of forecasting, but this is a real shocker, here at least.


Originally Posted by: Super Cell 


 


Hi, Simon. Sorry for hijacking the thread but welcome back to the Premier League. 



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Super Cell
27 August 2020 22:53:46


 


 


Hi, Simon. Sorry for hijacking the thread but welcome back to the Premier League. 


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


Cheers! It's been a long time.


Hopefully we'll do better than the forecasters


 


Farnley/Pudsey Leeds
40m asl
AJ*
  • AJ*
  • Advanced Member
28 August 2020 08:09:22


 


Will they be treated to a meal of whale blubber after the match?


Originally Posted by: Col 


As Noodle has quoted a song in a post above, I have been reminded of Vera Lynn - Whale meat again, don't know where, don't know when...


Angus; one of the Kent crew on TWO.
Tonbridge, 40m (131ft) asl
KevBrads1
29 August 2020 05:08:27

This has sneaked up quietly,

Wettest summers on record for NW England/N Wales (mm)

2012: 430.6

1956: 417.5

1912: 394.9

2007: 394.4

2020: ~ 390



MANCHESTER SUMMER INDEX for 2021: 238
Timelapses, old weather forecasts and natural phenomena videos can be seen on this site
http://www.youtube.com/channel/UCgrSD1BwFz2feWDTydhpEhQ/playlists
moomin75
29 August 2020 05:53:07

This has sneaked up quietly,

Wettest summers on record for NW England/N Wales (mm)

2012: 430.6

1956: 417.5

1912: 394.9

2007: 394.4

2020: ~ 390


Originally Posted by: KevBrads1 


Sneaked up quietly, but I did mention back at the end of May that the summer was shaping up to be a wet one. Its been an horrific second half to August and this follows a cool and unsettled July.


All in all, this summer has been largely forgettable with the exception if one brief burst of heat.


Witney, Oxfordshire
100m ASL
KevBrads1
29 August 2020 05:58:16


 


All in all, this summer has been largely forgettable with the exception if one brief burst of heat.


Originally Posted by: moomin75 


I'm not going to remember this summer for that heat, it is going to be for the thunderstorms. Best summer for storms for some years.


MANCHESTER SUMMER INDEX for 2021: 238
Timelapses, old weather forecasts and natural phenomena videos can be seen on this site
http://www.youtube.com/channel/UCgrSD1BwFz2feWDTydhpEhQ/playlists
richardabdn
29 August 2020 09:24:40

Yet another ridiculously awful Saturday with no redeeming features whatsoever. Grey, windy and stupidly cold at only 11C. Absolutely and utterly REVOLTING. Shouldn't be seeing anything this bad until late September at the earliest but it's just the same horrific filth day in day out.


Four out of five write-off Saturdays in August is incredulously bad and makes this the most miserable and depressing August I've experienced. Not only that but I would place it in my top 5 list of most detested months ever along side March 1996, December 2002, June 2007 and July 2012 


There are no words to do justice as to how awful this extraordinarily bleak and depressing second half of August has been. Only two or three days where it has been acceptable to sit out in the garden for even the briefest of periods. Barely any sun, highest temperature since the 13th a woeful 18.9C and most days in the past week feeling cold not just cool which is ludicrous for August.


Looks like it will just pip 2014 as the coldest second half of August since 1986 but with far less sun. Touch and go whether we will complete only the second sub-15C August week in the last 60 years.  The highest it has reached since last Monday has been just 14.4C but a max of 15C is forecast for the coming Monday.


There have only been two better than average weeks the entire season: 20th -26th June and 6th-12th August. Neither brought anything memorable. Once again it is a summer memorable for all the wrong reasons. The stupidly cold, dull and windy second half of August and the equally poor sub-polar first half of June which brought day after day of single figure temperatures like nothing I had ever experienced before. Felt like living in Svalbard.


Talking of Svalbard, only six days in this dismal summer here managed to reach the 21.7C that was recorded in Longyearbyen on 25th July. They had four consecutive days reaching 20C in July which we failed to achieve in either July or August and only once in June (23rd-26th). Desperate beyond comprehension when you can't do any better than a bleak, polar wilderness unfit for human habitation


Just what the hell is happening to our summers? 


Aberdeen: The only place that misses out on everything


2023 - The Year that's Constantly Worse than a Bad November
2024 - 2023 without the Good Bits
KevBrads1
30 August 2020 16:50:35

Summer 2020 definitely reminds me of summer 2004, warmer than average June and August but a somewhat cooler than average July. The July in both summers being particularly poor especially the first half. Both summers noted for their thunder although SE parts won't agree!

Both summers had summer gales. This August doesn't look like it will be as wet the August of 2004

Originally Posted by: KevBrads1 


Remarkable the similarities between this summer and the summer of 2004.


Both Augusts are going to go down as warm wet months, they even share the drop in the running August CET value at the back end of the month.


MANCHESTER SUMMER INDEX for 2021: 238
Timelapses, old weather forecasts and natural phenomena videos can be seen on this site
http://www.youtube.com/channel/UCgrSD1BwFz2feWDTydhpEhQ/playlists
KevBrads1
01 September 2020 05:58:26

Manchester Summer Indices, temperatures have kept it from being even lower

1954 143
1907 147
1956 155
1912 156
1924 158
2012 164
2008 168
1987 169
1946 170
1909 171
1931 173
1978 173
1980 173
1920 174
1923 174
2007 174
1927 175
1948 176
1938 177
1922 178
2011 179
1985 180
2020 182


MANCHESTER SUMMER INDEX for 2021: 238
Timelapses, old weather forecasts and natural phenomena videos can be seen on this site
http://www.youtube.com/channel/UCgrSD1BwFz2feWDTydhpEhQ/playlists
Sharp Green Fox
05 September 2020 14:20:29


Manchester Summer Indices, temperatures have kept it from being even lower

1954 143
1907 147
1956 155
1912 156
1924 158
2012 164
2008 168
1987 169
1946 170
1909 171
1931 173
1978 173
1980 173
1920 174
1923 174
2007 174
1927 175
1948 176
1938 177
1922 178
2011 179
1985 180
2020 182


Originally Posted by: KevBrads1 


Thank you Kevin. I always look forward to your Manchester Summer Index.


I lived the first half of my life in the Manchester area, before moving in the mid Eighties to Worcestershire. I found the Index very close to my memories of Manchester summers (although I had 1969 down as much better than the index, but this is just memories). Since moving, in most years the index bears out what I have experienced, some years not so much, the difference between Manchester and Worcestershire is more marked in some summers than others.  I still have many friends and family in Manchester and see them often, so I do get a feel of what weather they have been having. 


I have actually thought this summer was OK. Plenty of high temperatures and thunderstorms (my 2 favourite types of summer weather). I only keep temperature records and the mean maximum averages have been reasonable, especially August which would have been a great month if the temperatures hadn't fallen away in the final 10 days.

idj20
05 September 2020 14:26:13


 


Remarkable the similarities between this summer and the summer of 2004.


 Both Augusts are going to go down as warm wet months, they even share the drop in the running August CET value at the back end of the month.


Originally Posted by: KevBrads1 



Warm, yes. Wet? Certainly far from that as far as my neck of the woods is concerned. My lawn still has bare patches from the dryness where it seemed to have killed off most of the grass for good.


Folkestone Harbour. 
doctormog
05 September 2020 14:39:02




Warm, yes. Wet? Certainly far from that as far as my neck of the woods is concerned. My lawn still has bare patches from the dryness where it seemed to have killed off most of the grass for good.


Originally Posted by: idj20 


Sounds like opposite of here where it wasn’t warm but was definitely wet. A mediocre summer would be a very flattering description for the season just passed for this location compared with LTA or what would count as a decent summer up here. Disappointing and underwhelming throughout. 


KevBrads1
06 September 2020 06:53:47




Warm, yes. Wet? Certainly far from that as far as my neck of the woods is concerned. My lawn still has bare patches from the dryness where it seemed to have killed off most of the grass for good.


Originally Posted by: idj20 


Must be pretty localised because the South East England regional total has it the wettest August since 2015 and about 148% of the August average.


MANCHESTER SUMMER INDEX for 2021: 238
Timelapses, old weather forecasts and natural phenomena videos can be seen on this site
http://www.youtube.com/channel/UCgrSD1BwFz2feWDTydhpEhQ/playlists
AJ*
  • AJ*
  • Advanced Member
06 September 2020 07:51:26


 


Must be pretty localised because the South East England regional total has it the wettest August since 2015 and about 148% of the August average.


Originally Posted by: KevBrads1 


What precise area does the South East England regional total cover? It does look as though there have been some considerable variations in rainfall across it, as we only had 59% of the local LTA in August, and I think that 'fairweather' posting from Essex has also seen a dry month.  I think it comes down to the rain having come in storms of torrential rainfall which dumped large amounts in some places and nothing at all in others.  If the official recording stations have been in places that got hit by the heavy rainfall, this would give an imprecise view of the overall picture.


It is also worth noting that here the year total to end August is exactly 100% of the LTA total for that period, which would give the impression that rainfall had been normal in this part of the country.  But that would be entirely misleading because the figure was substantially affected by the very wet February (275% of monthly LTA) which was followed by weeks of desiccating NE winds which turned the ground from a quagmire to bone dry, combined with 5 months of below average rainfall (Apr-Aug here has given 59% of LTA for those months), resulting in an agricultural drought.


This all just goes to show that averaged statistics (whether averaged over space or time - or both) can give a misleading impression if local and temporal variations from the average are not taken into account.  It all reminds me of the joke that someone with his head in an oven and his feet in a freezer is, on average, perfectly comfortable.


 


Angus; one of the Kent crew on TWO.
Tonbridge, 40m (131ft) asl
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
06 September 2020 08:46:15


 


Must be pretty localised because the South East England regional total has it the wettest August since 2015 and about 148% of the August average.


Originally Posted by: KevBrads1 


I agree with the other posts from the SE. We could see storms over the Downs inland, my sister in the New Forest reported flash floods on a couple of occasions in August but it stayed bone dry here along the coastal strip. The lawn is still showing bare patches but I think it will come round. 


Brian in Hign Wycombe posted a rather complacent post in mid-August about having no more need to water the garden when I was still pouring large quantities onto ours, and continued to do so until just over a week ago.


War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
Chunky Pea
06 September 2020 08:54:30


 


Sounds like opposite of here where it wasn’t warm but was definitely wet. A mediocre summer would be a very flattering description for the season just passed for this location compared with LTA or what would count as a decent summer up here. Disappointing and underwhelming throughout. 


Originally Posted by: doctormog 


Perfectly describes the Summer over here too. Sunny first 3 weeks of June and with some nice thunder at times, but it went rapidly downhill in the last week of that month and hasn't recovered since. 


Current Conditions
https://t.ly/MEYqg 


"You don't have to know anything to have an opinion"
--Roger P, 12/Oct/2022

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