The outlook is more mixed, however I'd not be surprised to see very warm or hot weather returning at short notice. 

GFS shows repeated plumes heading north over E Poland to Scandinavia, backed by forecast temps here http://www.wxmaps.org/pix/temp4 . Just a bit further west than forecast and we could have another hot spell.

Boy it’s quiet in here. Is the output that boring?  

Not boring; just not very good if it's dry, warm and settled weather you're looking for. Really poor 12z ECMWF in particular this evening. Lots of northern blocking and the consequent southerly tracking jet. GEM not quite as bad but still poor. Let's just hope the ensembles are better!

very nice. should keep everyone happy.

http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Reem2161.html

This morning's GFS and ECM output have LP in the area of the UK for the next week or so - looks localised and showery rather than major depressions pushing fronts across the country. Fax chart and MetO forecasts have brought in a more well-defined showery low over England for Sunday/Monday - the way this has become more prominent over the last few days' forecasts suggests to me it will continue to develop.

But the end of the ECM and GFS runs look sunny and hot leading up to the next bank holiday. Two warm and sunny BHs in a row? Surely not!

Got a week off in 2 weeks time so the graph showing a steady rise and drying out with more members going for the warming up direction looking good for me.    Would be amazing if we get another hot BH weekend again and another 3 days hat trick on sunny days?

The 00Z GFS seems to keep high pressure in control in the south much of the time, and has some very decent warmth on offer by the end of the run. 06Z is on the way out so we will see if the theme continues,

Having said that, the 19th looks like the wettest day of the lot on the ensemble!

Tasty!

(and toasty!)

A lot of next week looks fairly settled according to 12z UKMO

Quite a turn around in the past few days just as it looked like high pressure would build north of the UK it now looks like it will be lower pressure instead meaning a settled spell for the UK

UKMO extended = high pressure

Looks OK there.

GFS and ECM have the Azores High or a cell split off from it close to the UK for pretty well all their runs, so mostly dry and settled. But the HP is rather variable, sometimes broad, sometimes narrow, sometimes up towards Scotland, sometimes down over the Channel.

So I don't exclude frontal rain brusing past the NW nor a spell of cold NE winds affecting the SE, both of which can make those affected  wonder what happened to the HP. Need to watch developments day by day.

High pressure dominates next week on 00z UKMO and extended

Not at this point! 

Nice start to the 12z's

Something of an upgrade to this week's weather, with the main models showing more extensive HP and a warm source of air (though extreme NW and SE cooler at times with onshore breezes).But the longer range from GFS has gone downhill with a depression off SW Britain now predicted for the bank holiday weekend. Well, that's MRFs and bank holidays for you

I remember when the last bank holiday was deep in FI GFS for a number of runs showed a potent northerly blast. The reality couldn't have been more different. Always worth watching but as we all know the models can flip in an instant and all I would be confident to predict is that there will be some weather at the bank holiday weekend :)

Sames goes for the royal wedding next weekend. At one point the runs were showing a deppresion in the channel, making for a thoroughly wet and miserable day in southern England. I know it's still 6 days away and not 'nailed on' but it looks like being warm and sunny for that day. A sudden reapearance of that channel low would be most unlikely at this stage.