Matty H
  • Matty H
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24 July 2017 10:28:14

So says the MetO. On the plus side that would suggest a mild winter. On the downside, the models can't even handle weather patterns a week out let alone two seasons, so what a load of old guff. 


 


http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-40683302


Charmhills
24 July 2017 10:37:54

I remember they said the same thing when we had that run of colder winters a few years ago.


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Saint Snow
24 July 2017 11:12:27

Originally Posted by: Matty H 


So says the MetO. On the plus side that would suggest a mild winter. On the downside, the models can't even handle weather patterns a week out let alone two seasons, so what a load of old guff. 


 


http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-40683302



 


 


But if the rainfall descends to ground level in a frozen, crystalline state, we'd all be happy.


 



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
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moomin75
24 July 2017 11:56:14

Originally Posted by: Matty H 


So says the MetO. On the plus side that would suggest a mild winter. On the downside, the models can't even handle weather patterns a week out let alone two seasons, so what a load of old guff. 


 


http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-40683302


Just as likely as when they said we need to prepare for Mediterranean summers and plant cacti in our gardens after 2006 hot summer. A load of baloney and not worth commenting on any further.


Witney, Oxfordshire
100m ASL
westv
24 July 2017 12:15:16

Originally Posted by: Matty H 


So says the MetO. On the plus side that would suggest a mild winter. On the downside, the models can't even handle weather patterns a week out let alone two seasons, so what a load of old guff. 


 


http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-40683302



I'm sure we'd all love more mild winters.


At least it will be mild!
Saint Snow
24 July 2017 12:27:25

Originally Posted by: westv 


 


I'm sure we'd all love more mild winters.



 


 


Troll!


 


 



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
westv
24 July 2017 12:32:03

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


 


 


 


Troll!


 


 



Especially mild in St Helens. 


At least it will be mild!
Saint Snow
24 July 2017 13:27:03

Originally Posted by: westv 


 


Especially mild in St Helens. 



 


Wouldn't be the first time



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
JOHN NI
24 July 2017 14:08:16

Originally Posted by: Matty H 


So says the MetO. On the plus side that would suggest a mild winter. On the downside, the models can't even handle weather patterns a week out let alone two seasons, so what a load of old guff. 


 


http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-40683302



I don't think this specifically refers to next winter - rather the risk of unprecedented rainfall in winters in general is increased. That's my reading of it anyway.


John.
The orange County of Armagh.
David M Porter
24 July 2017 16:05:46

Originally Posted by: JOHN NI 


 


I don't think this specifically refers to next winter - rather the risk of unprecedented rainfall in winters in general is increased. That's my reading of it anyway.



Yes, same here John.


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Devonian
24 July 2017 16:12:46

Originally Posted by: JOHN NI 


 


I don't think this specifically refers to next winter - rather the risk of unprecedented rainfall in winters in general is increased. That's my reading of it anyway.



I suspect you're aware of this:


http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/news/releases/2017/high-risk-of-unprecedented-rainfall


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SJV
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24 July 2017 16:13:24

Originally Posted by: David M Porter 


 


Yes, same here John.



Agreed 


I think it's very much linked with the increase in 'extremes' in our climate. The severe stuff tends to be more severe etc etc.


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TimS
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24 July 2017 18:49:22
Did you see the study linking climate change to a massively increased chance of vile, putrid weather in the Aberdeen region?
Brockley, South East London 30m asl
LeedsLad123
24 July 2017 21:15:50
Oh, I certainly hope not. Excessive winter rainfall benefits nobody at all in the slightest.
Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
doctormog
24 July 2017 21:28:34

Originally Posted by: LeedsLad123 

Oh, I certainly hope not. Excessive winter rainfall benefits nobody at all in the slightest.


It's good for southern aquifers and preventing summer droughts and water shortages surely?


Rob K
24 July 2017 21:52:45

Originally Posted by: SJV 


 


Agreed 


I think it's very much linked with the increase in 'extremes' in our climate. The severe stuff tends to be more severe etc etc.



So why is the weather always so boring and insipid these days? ;)


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
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colin46
24 July 2017 21:53:24
ok if your a duck.
shine on you crazy diamond
192.104 m / 630.262 feet ASL
Dougie
24 July 2017 21:53:33

Originally Posted by: LeedsLad123 

Oh, I certainly hope not. Excessive winter rainfall benefits nobody at all in the slightest.


 It does not necessarily mean that all the precipitation will be of the liquid variety.


Ha'way the lads
TimS
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24 July 2017 22:18:13

Originally Posted by: Rob K 


 


So why is the weather always so boring and insipid these days? ;)



There's also an increase in extreme boring and insipid weather.


Brockley, South East London 30m asl
Brendon Hills Bandit
24 July 2017 23:02:20
What our future winters will be like is an interesting subject. Generally how mild/cold/wet/dry a winter is, depends more or less on how positive or negative the NAO is for that winter. Between the 1960s and 1990s, the NAO seemed to be on an upward trend. However recent years have seen a downward trend. It has been suggested that both of these shifts were caused by AGW. So it seems hard to know what the future holds.
220m asl, edge of Brendon Hills
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