Global Warming
Wednesday, December 6, 2017 9:29:10 PM

Here is what my latest tracker is showing. After a very mild start tomorrow we then have 11 consecutive below average days. But not massively below average because there will be too much cloud, precipitation and wind to prevent the temperatures getting too low at night. That is the reason the CET does not fall further. We shall see. Many of us did not see very temperatures in Dec 2010 due to cloud cover but it was still an exceptionally cold month. I still think we will see the CET finish below 3C even if not as low as the 1.8C I have predicted.



ARTzeman
Thursday, December 7, 2017 12:21:36 PM

Met  Office  Hadley            6.5c.         Anomaly        1.3c.  Provisional to 6th.


Metcheck                           6.54c.       Anomaly         1.55c.


Netweather                        6.62c.       Anomaly         1.53c.


Peasedown St John          6.7c.         Anomaly         0.3c.  






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
The Professional
Thursday, December 7, 2017 2:28:54 PM

Originally Posted by: Global Warming 


Here is what my latest tracker is showing. After a very mild start tomorrow we then have 11 consecutive below average days. But not massively below average because there will be too much cloud, precipitation and wind to prevent the temperatures getting too low at night. That is the reason the CET does not fall further. We shall see. Many of us did not see very temperatures in Dec 2010 due to cloud cover but it was still an exceptionally cold month. I still think we will see the CET finish below 3C even if not as low as the 1.8C I have predicted.





Some simple extrapolation from your figures GW:


If we're at 6.5c after 7 days (as per your chart), that's 45.5 degrees 'in the bag'. To finish at 3.0 for the month (93 degrees total), leaves only 47.5 degrees for the remaining 24 days, or an average CET just under 2.0c per day. To finish at 1.8 (= 56 degrees for the month), we'd have to average slightly over 0.4c degrees per day for the rest of the month. I'd love to see either scenario play out (particularly the latter), but that's not looking likely to me as things stand.


As you say, we shall see.....


Thanks, as ever, for all your efforts with the competition.

ARTzeman
Friday, December 8, 2017 10:47:25 AM

Met Office Hadley        6.9c.          Anomaly           1.8c.    Provisional to 7th.


Metcheck                     6.23c.        Anomaly           1.23c.


Netweather                  6.84c.        Anomaly           1.75c.


 Peasedown St John   7.0c.          Anomaly          0.6c.       






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
Saturday, December 9, 2017 11:59:39 AM

Met Office Hadley           6.3c.       Anomaly      1.2c.  Provisional to 8th.


Metcheck                        5.54c.     Anomaly      0.55c.


Netweather                     6.28c.     Anomaly      0.55c.


Peasedown St John        6.5c.       Anomaly      0.1c.  


 






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
Sunday, December 10, 2017 11:18:06 AM

Met  Office Hadley              5.7c.        Anomaly      0.7c.


Metcheck                            5.04c.      Anomaly      0.04c.


Netweather                         5.67c.      Anomaly      0.06c.


Peasedown St John           6.0c.        Anomaly      -0.4c.






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
four
  • four
  • Advanced Member
Monday, December 11, 2017 9:44:59 AM
3.5C here so far (-0.5C)
With another average to cold week ahead (at least) it will be a below normal month.
johncs2016
Monday, December 11, 2017 9:51:58 AM

Originally Posted by: four 

3.5C here so far (-0.5C)
With another average to cold week ahead (at least) it will be a below normal month.


it's not very often these days that we get a colder than average winter month, so this will be a real change from the norm if this does end up being a below average month.


 


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.
Global Warming
Monday, December 11, 2017 10:48:31 AM

Latest CET tracker. A sharp fall in the CET until tomorrow then a more gradual fall for the rest of the week. Next week the CET starts rising again quite quickly. If the mild weather was to stick around until the end of the month then we could end up around average.


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ARTzeman
Monday, December 11, 2017 12:29:47 PM

Met Office Hadley            5.1c.           Anomaly        0.1c.    Provisional to 10th


Metcheck                         4.54c.         Anomaly       -0.46c.


Netweather                     5.21c.          Anomaly         0.12c  


Peasedown St John        5.5c.           Anomaly        -0.9c.






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
roger63
Monday, December 11, 2017 4:31:29 PM

Originally Posted by: Global Warming 


Latest CET tracker. A sharp fall in the CET until tomorrow then a more gradual fall for the rest of the week. Next week the CET starts rising again quite quickly. If the mild weather was to stick around until the end of the month then we could end up around average.


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Mild weather running to Dec 31st is basically what the latest 30 day forecast is now predicting.

ARTzeman
Tuesday, December 12, 2017 1:10:02 PM

Met Office Hadley            4.6c.          Anomaly       -0.3c.  Provisional to 11th.


Metcheck                         4.03c.        Anomaly       -0.96c


Netweather                      4.79c.        Anomaly       -0.32c.


Peasedown St John        5.1c           Anomaly       -1.3c.






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
Wednesday, December 13, 2017 10:58:28 AM

Met Office Hadley            4.2c.       Anomaly      -0.7c. Provisional to 12th.


Metcheck                         3.93c      Anomaly      -1.06c


Netweather                      4.43c      Anomaly      -0.63c


Peasedown St John        4.9c       Anomaly        -1.5c






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Gavin D
Thursday, December 14, 2017 11:11:18 AM

Met office Hadley

4.0 to the 13th 0.9 below the 61 to 90 average - 1.1 below the 81 to 10 average

Metcheck 3.89c 1.10c below average

Netweather 4.48c 0.63c below average

ARTzeman
Thursday, December 14, 2017 11:15:48 AM

Met Office Hadley         4.0c.     Anomaly    -0.9c  Provisional to 13th


Metcheck                       3.89c    Anomaly    -1.10c


Netweather                    4.18c    Anomaly    -0.63c


Peasedown St John      9.0c      Anomaly     -01.4c  






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Gavin D
Thursday, December 14, 2017 11:36:57 AM

Originally Posted by: ARTzeman 


Met Office Hadley         4.0c.     Anomaly    -0.9c  Provisional to 13th


Metcheck                       3.89c    Anomaly    -1.10c


Netweather                    4.18c    Anomaly    -0.63c


Peasedown St John      9.0c      Anomaly     -01.4c  



Met Office Hadley, Metcheck & Netweather already posted...

ARTzeman
Friday, December 15, 2017 11:15:03 AM

Met Office Hadley        4.0c.      Anomaly    -1.0c.  Provisional to 14th


Metcheck                     3.83c     Anomaly     -1.17c


Netweather                  4.45c     Anomlay     -0.66 


Peasedown St john    4.9c       Anomaly     -1.5c     






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Saint Snow
Friday, December 15, 2017 11:15:59 AM

Originally Posted by: ARTzeman 


Met Office Hadley        4.0c.      Anomaly    -1.0c.  Provisional to 14th


Metcheck                     3.83c     Anomaly     -1.17c


Netweather                  4.45c     Anomlay     -0.66 


Peasedown St john    4.9c       Anomaly     -1.5c     



 


Getting in first today, Art?



 



Martin
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ARTzeman
Friday, December 15, 2017 11:21:20 AM

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


 


 


Getting in first today, Art?



 







Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
Saturday, December 16, 2017 8:02:46 AM

I always look for Art’s daily update, regardless of whoever else posts it.  Well done Art!  


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