Of course, it will only technically be a completely dry day if it doesn't rain before midnight, although there are still no signs even on the latest rain radar maps, of that rain which was forecast to reach us during tonight (it is very slowly edging towards us, but is still a very long away to our SW) which means that we basically can say, that this will end up being a completely dry day since I don't see that rain suddenly reaching us before midnight.
This in turn means that we remain stuck on the same monthly total which were on, on Saturday afternoon when 0.2 mm from a single shower brought us to a monthly total which is exactly equal to our monthly August average. Until we actually go over that monthly average, we cannot officially confirm this to be a wetter than average month overall. However, I did say over on the August Precipitation Watch thread that we might have quite a long wait until we go over that total, given the current circumstances and so far, this is proving to be the case as this wait to go over our monthly average continues.
This means that this month certainly won't come out to be as bad as what we had in June but since seem to be struggling to get any sort of significant rainfall totals at the moment, this month might well end up not much worse than July if that indeed, is how it ends up. I'm pretty certain will we will get a bit of rain over the next few days which means that this will probably still end up being a wetter than average month in the end, since that next measurable amount of rain will finally take us over that monthly average, but this month is turning out to be not as bad now as it appeared as though it would, not all that long ago.
It is now the next morning and still, the rain which we were supposed to get refuses to enter this part of the world and (according to the latest rain radar maps at least) appears to have bypassed us altogether and gone to the north and west of here. This means that our increasingly long wait for this to be confirmed as a wetter than average month goes on, and the BBC forecasts have now been updated to say that the rest of the day will be dry as well. Could it therefore be possible that the unthinkable actually happens, where we actually never get that further rainfall before the end of the month (since this is now turning into quite a impressive dry spell), and that we therefore end up with just average rainfall this month?
Logically, you would have to say that this unlikely. However, we still need to see what happens with the cold front which is expected to move through during the early hours of tomorrow morning, but there is no guarantee that we will get anything from that after. After that, we are back to that familiar showery forecast which in recent times, has been delivering next to nothing in the way of rainfall here. At the moment, confidence is very low amongst the forecast models, but there is the odd one going for a build of high pressure towards the end of the month, which would then kill off our chances even further of getting any rain, if that actually ended up happening.
This means that whilst it is unlikely that the rest of the month will stay completely bone dry, that can't be completely ruled out either, so that is something which could actually, end up happening (though as I have said, that is very unlikely). What is certain though, is that whole ex-Hurricane Gert event in this part of the world has turned out to be a complete non-event here, since we don't have that really hot air here either, which parts of SE England are forecast to get.
Instead, we have yet more gloomy skies and that east coast haar being brought in from the North Sea on an easterly wind, thus making for what is probably the most depressing start to any day which you could possibly see. In a way, it might actually be better if did rain because at least that way, this would actually be something which is actually happening. However, I have to say that for what is supposed to be a fairly major weather event, this is just plain right boring with nothing actually happening at all and just now, it would probably be far more exciting to be watching paint dry, than to look for anything to actually happen as far as our weather is concerned.
You know, it used to be that our weather was interesting because of its variability, but as Richard from Aberdeen has pointed out before on those threads (and not just this particular thread for this particular summer) this is becoming much less of the case these days and surely, even the thought of having to suffer that has to be akin to serving quite an extensive prison sentence without even committing any sort of crime beforehand, other than just actually being here.
Edited by user
22 August 2017 05:59:06
|
Reason: Not specified
The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.