At last some warmth approaching the UK and W Europe, from the SW, but still a way off in week 2 while week 1 shows little change. Cool weather still sticking around the E Baltic & W Russia in week 2. In week 1 dry from N Spain up through S England to Sweden with some rain on either side incl W Scotland; in week 2 damper everywhere but mostly N & E Britain and Norway.
Jet forecast somewhat more active than forecast, esp later on - a stream near Shetland Tue 10th for a few days then around the Channel
GFS Op - pressure staying quite high over UK to Thu 12th with occasional shallow troughs drifting across (Sun 1st, rather deeper on FAX, & Thu 5th) but dropping out in favour of a broad trough Iceland - W Eire - Spain Sat 14th from which emerges LP centred W Isles 985mb Sun 15th
GEFS - mean temp starting a little below but then close to norm through to 14th with op & control very much on the warm side for most of the time from Tue 10th. In most places, rain in small bursts at first, more general from 10th; but more continuous in far N & W
ECM - similar in general terms to GFS but HP a little further W which could give locally cool NE-lies on N Sea coasts about Fri 6th
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell
Chichester 12m asl