Finally remembered to check up on the September results - cheers as always GW - and having then looked at the predictions for this month, my interest in how October behaves has suddenly been raised.
Funnily enough, before catching up, I was thinking it had been so cool already that my CET estimate would be looking too high. Instead it turns out to be in a good place right now, considering the seasonal cooling trend plus current modelling signals.
Not only that but I'm right down toward the lower end of the pack, more so than I was anticipating to be honest.
So, I have a chance, with a good bit of luck (as is standard!), of offsetting an appreciable amount of the error resulting from the July mishap.
Remains to be seen to what extent the mid-October cool signal manifests in reality. The weather patterns are looking seriously wacky up over the Arctic. My eyebrows are spending an unnatural amount of time high up on my forehead!
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[email protected] https://twitter.com/peacockreports 2023's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.2°C 9th Sep (...!) | T-Min: -7.1°C 22nd & 23rd Jan | Wettest Day: 25.9mm 2nd Nov | Ice Days: 1 (2nd Dec -1.3°C in freezing fog)
Keep Calm and Forecast On