A couple of days of W-lies, then the forecast HP starts from mid Atlantic Fri 20th and forms a sort of ridge across Scotland to Scandi lasting to Thu 26th with mostly E-lies over England Fri 27th sees an intense HP 1050mb over SE Europe allowing slack LP to move up from S over Britain. This combines forces with an Atlantic LP to yield a 1000mb centre over Ireland Thu 2nd.
BBC last night had this ridge just extending from Scandi with W-lies over Scotland and E-lies in the Channel, and after a cold few days has v. warm temps by Wed 25th
ECM somewhere between these two for the first week, and after Thu 25th has ill-defined HP over the UK and Atlantic, not E/SE Europe
GEFS temp profile more consistent than yesterday; cool around Sun 22nd, mild around 25th, cool around Mon 30th, a little rain in some runs, mostly after 30th - in the S temps not far from average but swings more pronounced in N.
War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell
Chichester 12m asl