Now that we have just gone into the final month of the meteorological spring, this is the month which will determine whether this spring as a whole goes down as being drier than average or wetter than average.
So far, this month has been completely dry here so far so according to the data which I have, a total of at least 32.1 mm of rain needs to fall at Edinburgh Gogarbank during this month in order for this spring to go down as being wetter than average there overall in terms of the actual rainfall amounts with a total of at least 30.6 mm needing to fall during this month at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh in order for the same outcome to occur there.
In addition to that though, at least 11 official rain days need to occur during this month at Edinburgh Gogarbank in order for this spring to be wetter than average there overall in terms of the number of official rain days whereas only at least 6 official rain days need to occur at the botanic gardens during this month in Edinburgh in order for the same outcome to occur there.
The latest model output suggests that there will be some unsettled spells at times during this month which means that this isn't likely to be an exceptional dry month (such as what we had at this time last year) if that is correct. However, the models do still point to there still being enough high pressure around for this month to go down as being a little bit drier than average overall. If that happens, this spring will then be considered as being a rather average spring overall in terms of the actual rainfall amount at least across both of those stations.
As usual though, there are likely to be large variations even at a fairly local level right across the UK as some places within a locality might not get certain thunderstorms (as an example) which somewhere else which is very close by will be getting and as we approach the summer months, this contrast is likely to come to the fore even more over time.
With that in mind and regardless of how the overall rainfall patterns for this month in your own local area turn out, this is the very thread for reporting that as the month goes on.
Edited by user
01 May 2019 09:21:08
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Reason: Not specified
The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.