Originally Posted by: ARTzeman

 

I Have enquired to Met Office who will reply soon.

They may be staying with the present figures due to climate warming.

Let us know if you get a reply.

I'm still waiting after over a week, for a simple answer about where it was officially a white Xmas.

Originally Posted by: ARTzeman

Met Office Hadley       6.9c       Anomaly       3.3c provisional to 6th

Metcheck                    6.13c      Anomaly       1.97c

Netweather                 6.82c      Anomaly       2.63c

Peasedown St John     6.21c      Anomaly       0.76c. 

    

I'm quite comfortable with my prediction - Went for 6.0C

Having said that - Bet we have a freeze now.

Met Office Hadley       6.5c      Anomaly         3.0c provisional to 7th

Metcheck                    5.74c    Anomaly         1.59c

Netweather                 6.31c    Anomaly         2.12c

Peasedown St John     6.21c    Anomaly         0.73c. 

First time ever I have been above average for January (pretty much any month if I am honest)

Second equal highest at 6,0C.

I feel quite dizzy.

This probably reflected my feelings when I submitted my guess on NY Eve!

Oh and have a healthy New Year to one and all.

Grandad.

Met Office Hadley       6.2c      Anomaly      2.6c provisional to 9th

Metcheck                    5.46c    Anomaly      1.30c

Netweather                 6.08c    Anomaly      1.89c

Peasdedown  St John   6.6c     Anomaly      1.2c.  

Met Office Hadley       6.2c      Anomaly      2.7c provisional to 10th

Metcheck                    5.66c    Anomaly       1.51c

Netweather                 6.09c    Anomaly        1.9c

Peasedown St John     5.34c    Anomaly       0.11c.      

IMBY down to 5.2 now

This week is a crucial week if you want an average to below average month….

High sensitivity to the exact positioning and orientation of the high pressure relative to the UK in the coming week or two.

The initial airmass is clear enough that cold nights and fog are dominating the scene until Saturday.

This weekend, some milder air looks to scoot across, taking effect by Sunday when double digit maximums may occur widely.

Next week, signs are, we see the high centre more or less over the UK in the early to mid-stages, so the inversion may redevelop, depending on how much moisture-laden Atlantic air has been entrained during the weekend. Most model runs shrug much of that off and some draw in some drier air from the near continent, so there seems to be a good shot at developing a new inversion.

Later in the week, there are signs the high will shift west a bit, at least for a time, giving a chance of cold air from the north. Probably just a glancing blow if anything, but it should tend to help keep skies more clear than grey.

Beyond that, the models are keen on repeating the sequence - high pressure spilling back across the UK, then heading west again. An astonishingly 'stuck cycle', which likely has a lot to do with anomalous tropical convection persisting over the western-central Pacific for a record-long spell, by far, for the time of year. A huge distortion to the zonal flow has gradually built up, almost like debris behind a dam - it's going to take some shifting!

Met Office Hadley       6.2c       Anomaly       2.6c provisional to 12th

Metcheck                    5.24c     Anomaly       1.08c

Netweather                 5.92c     Anomaly       1.75c

Peasedown St John    6.7c       Anomaly        1.25.  

Originally Posted by: ARTzeman

Met Office Hadley        6.0c       Anomaly         2.5c provisional to13th

Metcheck                     5.03c     Anomaly         0.88c

Netweather                  5.07c     Anomaly         1.51c 

Peasedown St John      6.5c      Anomaly          1.05c.  

With the frosty nights we're getting now, I'm wondering if this will be a month with a large downward adjustment? Always seems to happen when nights are cold.