Its coming down slowly lol

Down to 10.1 IMBY

Cold few days ahead will drop it to 6-7 from my estimate

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The deadline is more flexible on this one given the annual nature of the prediction. I am happy to keep it open for another day or two so feel free to send in your prediction.

I've just sent you my guess. Cheers again GW.

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Met  Office Hadley        10.5c      Anomaly      7.1c        provisional to 3rd

Metcheck                      9.41c     Anomaly       5.25c

Netweather                   10.6c     Anomaly      6.41C

Peasedown St John      9.14c     Anomaly    3.69c.

 

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That must be one of the highest anomalies for the beginning of a month, excluding the first day?

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I did a double take at those annual CET guesses thinking they might be mad mild Jan predictions !
I am sure one year we will see Jan or Feb records smashed in much the same way as Dec 2015 tore up the record books.
People on here will moan and moan when it happens but I always find an extreme CET interesting whichever end of the scale it's at. Saving a bundle on heating is always a bonus too...

Met Office Hadley        8.8c        Anomaly       5.4c provisional to 4th

Metcheck                     7.84c      Anomaly       3.68c

Netweather                  8.92c      Anomaly       4.73c

Peasedown St John     7.4c       Anomaly        1.99c.       

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This past 3 days shows just what's possible as we learned from Decmber 2015.

 

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It's possible that I might be wrong with what I'm about to say, but I am pretty certain that Gavin P. mentioned in a recent video that the Met Office were going to be moving away from using the really old 1961-1991 averages for their CET page (where I will assume that Arty gets the info for his daily updates here, although I'm sure that he will tell me otherwise if that isn't the case), and switching to the much more up to date 1991-2020 averages for that.

Since the vast majority of months are usually warmer than average these days, I'm sure that this will result in those temperature anomalies being much smaller as a result, with more months possibly even being colder than average. I'm almost certain that Gavin P. had said that this change would happen during this month (although as I have said already, I could be wrong there), but that hasn't happened yet.

I am therefore wondering whether or not, anyone knows of any plans by the Met Office to start using those newer averages for the CET anamolies instead of the old ones, and possibly even when that is likely to happen.

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I Have enquired to Met Office who will reply soon.

They may be staying with the present figures due to climate warming.

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Met Office Hadley        7.7c       Anomaly      4.3c provisional to 5th

Metcheck                     6.57c     Anomaly      2.42c

Netweather                  7.7c      Anomaly       3.57c

Peasedown St John      7.75c    Anomaly       2.5c. 

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Thanks for that Arty.

People often laugh at your typos not just on these threads, but also on the daily CC and monthly precipitation threads even though they are usually very few and far between.

The reason why I have mentioned that is because I realised after posting here that I had made a typo here myself, as I had written 1961-2020 as the old averages when I meant to say 1961-1991.

Luckily, I was able to fix that in my own post but if someone then quotes what I have posted into their reply, I then can't fix that as the only person who can do that is the person who actually made that reply.

 

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Don't worry about typos. Seriously, nobody cares.

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I generally don't worry about typos, but they can be funny at times and there's nothing like a laugh every now and then.

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It’s coming down slowly 🤣
IMBY now 5.9 still very high for January but I’m confident it’ll come under 5 this month

See how cold it gets next week if HP provides good conditions

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  Spot on, but I do love Art’s farts!  They make me smile!  

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Let us know if you get a reply.

I'm still waiting after over a week, for a simple answer about where it was officially a white Xmas.

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Met Office Hadley       6.9c       Anomaly       3.3c provisional to 6th

Metcheck                    6.13c      Anomaly       1.97c

Netweather                 6.82c      Anomaly       2.63c

Peasedown St John     6.21c      Anomaly       0.76c. 

    

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I'm quite comfortable with my prediction - Went for 6.0C

Having said that - Bet we have a freeze now.

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Met Office has noted the request and will reply soon.

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Met Office Hadley       6.5c      Anomaly         3.0c provisional to 7th

Metcheck                    5.74c    Anomaly         1.59c

Netweather                 6.31c    Anomaly         2.12c

Peasedown St John     6.21c    Anomaly         0.73c. 

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Met Office Hadley       6.3c       Anomaly       2.8c provisional to 8th

Metcheck                    5.64c     Anomaly       1.4c

Netweather                 6.25c     Anomaly       2.06c

Peasedown St John     6.7c      Anomaly       1.25c. 

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Lets see if reverse psychology works.
First time ever I have been above average for January (pretty much any month if I am honest)
Second equal highest at 6,0C.
I feel quite dizzy.
This probably reflected my feelings when I submitted my guess on NY Eve!
Oh and have a healthy New Year to one and all.

Grandad.

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Met Office Hadley       6.2c      Anomaly      2.6c provisional to 9th

Metcheck                    5.46c    Anomaly      1.30c

Netweather                 6.08c    Anomaly      1.89c

Peasdedown  St John   6.6c     Anomaly      1.2c.  

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