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ARTzeman
15 January 2022 12:20:43

Met Office Hadley         5.8c        Anomaly       2.3c. provisional to 14th


Metcheck                      4.75c      Anomaly        0.60c


Netweather                   5.43c      Anomaly        1.24c


Peasedown St John       5.05c     Anomaly         0.4c   


 






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Stormchaser
15 January 2022 20:41:20

It appears we're headed for a near-average month overall, unless there's a big shift toward a mild westerly regime or sustained cold northerly/easterly one. The latter featured in the GFS 06z but seems a long shot. The former is hinted at by the ECM 12z as of +10 days from now, but it's not clear cut whether it would actually head down that path. In any case, it's the first deterministic run of the past 4 or 5 days to even suggest such a thing!


https://twitter.com/peacockreports/status/1482450903349317632


I wonder just how much of a discrepancy there now is between the provisional and actual CET. Central England has experienced a wide area of lingering fog for a few days now, with the Pershore area recording subzero diurnal means Fri-Sat.


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2023's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.2°C 9th Sep (...!) | T-Min: -7.1°C 22nd & 23rd Jan | Wettest Day: 25.9mm 2nd Nov | Ice Days: 1 (2nd Dec -1.3°C in freezing fog)
Keep Calm and Forecast On
ARTzeman
16 January 2022 10:52:42

Met Office Hadley      5.5c      Anomaly      2.0c provisional to 15th
Metcheck                  4.68c     Anomaly      0.53c
Netweather               5.21c     Anomaly      1.02c
Peasedown St John    5.27c     Anomaly      0.18c.






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
16 January 2022 15:03:12


It appears we're headed for a near-average month overall, unless there's a big shift toward a mild westerly regime or sustained cold northerly/easterly one. The latter featured in the GFS 06z but seems a long shot. The former is hinted at by the ECM 12z as of +10 days from now, but it's not clear cut whether it would actually head down that path. In any case, it's the first deterministic run of the past 4 or 5 days to even suggest such a thing!


https://twitter.com/peacockreports/status/1482450903349317632


I wonder just how much of a discrepancy there now is between the provisional and actual CET. Central England has experienced a wide area of lingering fog for a few days now, with the Pershore area recording subzero diurnal means Fri-Sat.


Originally Posted by: Stormchaser 

A near average month after such a high start!  


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
ARTzeman
17 January 2022 10:44:57

Met Office Hadley       5.5c      Anomaly      2.0c provisional to 16th


Metcheck                    4.66c    Anomaly       0.51c


Netweather                 5.21c    Anomaly       1.02c


Peasedown St John     5.15c    Anomaly       1.05c. 






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
18 January 2022 11:42:27

Met Office Hadley          5.5c       Anomaly     2.0c. provisional to 17th


Metcheck                       4.49c     Anomaly     0.34c


Netweather                    5.09c     Anomaly     0.9c


Peasedown St John       4.91c     Anomaly     -0.54c.   






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
19 January 2022 10:52:31

Met Office Hadley        5.3c        Anomaly      1.8c provisional to 18th


Metcheck                     4.7c        Anomaly       0.32c


Netweather                  4.93c      Anomaly       0.74c


Peasedown St John      4.72c      Anomaly      -0.73c.  






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
20 January 2022 12:18:05

Met Office Hadley         5.3c          Anomaly        1.8c provisional to 19th


Metcheck                      4.43c        Anomaly        0.28c


Netweather                   4.96c        Anomaly        0.79c


Peasedsown St John      5.91c       Anomaly        0.45c.






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Saint Snow
21 January 2022 09:54:50

Can't see the CET dropping much further, if at all. 


It's frustrating that another spell dominated by high pressure has had annoyingly mild temps.  tiny bit further north/west would have made a difference.



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
ARTzeman
21 January 2022 10:53:38

Met Office Hadley        5.2c        Anomaly       1.7c  provisional to 20th


Metcheck                     4.27c      Anomaly        0.12c


Netweather                  4.79c      Anomaly        0.6c


Peasedown St John      4.5c       Anomaly         -0.95c.       






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
22 January 2022 11:07:58

Met Office Hadley        5.0c         Anomaly      1.5c provisional to 21st


Metcheck                     4.27c       Anomaly       0.12c


Netweather                  4.62c       Anomaly       0.48c.


Peasedown St John      4.54c       Anomaly       0.91c.






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
23 January 2022 11:17:26

Met Office Hadley       5.0c      Anomaly     1.4c provisional to 22nd


Metcheck                    4.31c    Anomaly      0.16c


Netweather                 4.68c    Anomaly      0.49c


Peasdedown St John   4.58c      Anomaly      -0.87c.






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
24 January 2022 10:55:43

Met Office Hadley       5.0c       Anomaly       1.3c provisional to 23rd.


Metcheck                    4.26c     Anomaly        0.11c


Netweather                 4.68c     Anomaly        0.49c


Peasedown St John       4.7c      Anomaly        0.91c.






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
25 January 2022 11:24:28

Met Office Hadley       4.9c      Anomaly       1.2c provisional to 24th.


Metcheck                     4.18c   Anomaly        0.03c


Netweather                  4.61c   Anomaly        0.42c


Peasedown St John     4.42c    Anomaly       -1.03c.   






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
26 January 2022 11:08:31

Met Office Hadley        4.8c       Anomaly       1.1c provisional to 25th


Metcheck                     4.11c     Anomaly       -0.4c


Netweather                  4.52c     Anomaly       0.33c


Peasedown St John      4.47c     Anomaly      -0.98c.


 






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Col
  • Col
  • Advanced Member
26 January 2022 17:55:51


Met Office Hadley        4.8c       Anomaly       1.1c provisional to 25th


Metcheck                     4.11c     Anomaly       -0.4c


Netweather                  4.52c     Anomaly       0.33c


Peasedown St John      4.47c     Anomaly      -0.98c.


 


Originally Posted by: ARTzeman 


OK so we have now finally ground our way down to my prediction of 4.82C. I'll need a good downgrade now though to counteract the mild/very mild conditions expected in the next few days.


Col
Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl
Snow videos:
http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg
ARTzeman
27 January 2022 10:51:38

Met Office Hadley      4.8c      Anomaly        1.1c provisional to 25th


Metcheck                   4.22c    Anomaly         0.07c


Netweather                4.56c    Anomaly         0.37c


Peasedown St John    4.61c    Anomaly        -0.84c. 


 






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Whether Idle
27 January 2022 11:18:51


Met Office Hadley      4.8c      Anomaly        1.1c provisional to 25th


Metcheck                   4.22c    Anomaly         0.07c


Netweather                4.56c    Anomaly         0.37c


Peasedown St John    4.61c    Anomaly        -0.84c. 


 


Originally Posted by: ARTzeman 


4.8 minus 0.3* = 4.5 currently? We could end up around 4.6 to 4.9 depending upon the extent of the downgrade


* Months with frosty nights often have a 0.3 or greater reduction

Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
27 January 2022 16:23:21


 


4.8 minus 0.3* = 4.5 currently? We could end up around 4.6 to 4.9 depending upon the extent of the downgrade


* Months with frosty nights often have a 0.3 or greater reduction

Originally Posted by: Whether Idle 

Although it was 9c here at 6am today.  First none frosty start for a few days!  


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
Saint Snow
27 January 2022 17:01:38


 


4.8 minus 0.3* = 4.5 currently? We could end up around 4.6 to 4.9 depending upon the extent of the downgrade


* Months with frosty nights often have a 0.3 or greater reduction

Originally Posted by: Whether Idle 


 


 


I'd take that!



 



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
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