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western100
03 January 2022 19:44:48

Its coming down slowly lol


Down to 10.1 IMBY


Cold few days ahead will drop it to 6-7 from my estimate


Worcestershire / Warwickshire Border
100m ASL
Twitter…..@Weather4u2
Global Warming
03 January 2022 20:25:41


 


Thanks GW; I'd quite like to do this one as well- but does it have the same deadline penalty-free, given the timescale?


Originally Posted by: Bertwhistle 


The deadline is more flexible on this one given the annual nature of the prediction. I am happy to keep it open for another day or two so feel free to send in your prediction.

Ally Pally Snowman
03 January 2022 20:44:53


 


The deadline is more flexible on this one given the annual nature of the prediction. I am happy to keep it open for another day or two so feel free to send in your prediction.


Originally Posted by: Global Warming 


I've just sent you my guess. Cheers again GW.


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
ARTzeman
04 January 2022 11:18:55

Met  Office Hadley        10.5c      Anomaly      7.1c        provisional to 3rd


Metcheck                      9.41c     Anomaly       5.25c


Netweather                   10.6c     Anomaly      6.41C


Peasedown St John      9.14c     Anomaly    3.69c.


 






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
redmoons
04 January 2022 11:59:05


Met  Office Hadley        10.5c      Anomaly      7.1c        provisional to 3rd


Metcheck                      9.41c     Anomaly       5.25c


Netweather                   10.6c     Anomaly      6.41C


Peasedown St John      9.14c     Anomaly    3.69c.


 


Originally Posted by: ARTzeman 


That must be one of the highest anomalies for the beginning of a month, excluding the first day?


Andrew,
Watford
ASL 35m
http://weather.andrewlalchan.co.uk 





Spring Sun Winter Dread
04 January 2022 12:36:13

I did a double take at those annual CET guesses thinking they might be mad mild Jan predictions !
I am sure one year we will see Jan or Feb records smashed in much the same way as Dec 2015 tore up the record books.
People on here will moan and moan when it happens but I always find an extreme CET interesting whichever end of the scale it's at. Saving a bundle on heating is always a bonus too...

ARTzeman
05 January 2022 10:45:43

Met Office Hadley        8.8c        Anomaly       5.4c provisional to 4th


Metcheck                     7.84c      Anomaly       3.68c


Netweather                  8.92c      Anomaly       4.73c


Peasedown St John     7.4c       Anomaly        1.99c.       






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Hungry Tiger
05 January 2022 11:26:39


I did a double take at those annual CET guesses thinking they might be mad mild Jan predictions !
I am sure one year we will see Jan or Feb records smashed in much the same way as Dec 2015 tore up the record books.
People on here will moan and moan when it happens but I always find an extreme CET interesting whichever end of the scale it's at. Saving a bundle on heating is always a bonus too...


Originally Posted by: Spring Sun Winter Dread 


This past 3 days shows just what's possible as we learned from Decmber 2015.


 


Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


johncs2016
05 January 2022 22:47:59

It's possible that I might be wrong with what I'm about to say, but I am pretty certain that Gavin P. mentioned in a recent video that the Met Office were going to be moving away from using the really old 1961-1991 averages for their CET page (where I will assume that Arty gets the info for his daily updates here, although I'm sure that he will tell me otherwise if that isn't the case), and switching to the much more up to date 1991-2020 averages for that.

Since the vast majority of months are usually warmer than average these days, I'm sure that this will result in those temperature anomalies being much smaller as a result, with more months possibly even being colder than average. I'm almost certain that Gavin P. had said that this change would happen during this month (although as I have said already, I could be wrong there), but that hasn't happened yet.

I am therefore wondering whether or not, anyone knows of any plans by the Met Office to start using those newer averages for the CET anamolies instead of the old ones, and possibly even when that is likely to happen.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.
ARTzeman
06 January 2022 11:58:19

It's possible that I might be wrong with what I'm about to say, but I am pretty certain that Gavin P. mentioned in a recent video that the Met Office were going to be moving away from using the really old 1961-2020 averages for their CET page (where I will assume that Arty gets the info for his daily updates here, although I'm sure that he will tell me otherwise if that isn't the case), and switching to the much more up to date 1991-2020 averages for that.

Since the vast majority of months are usually warmer than average these days, I'm sure that this will result in those temperature anomalies being much smaller as a result, with more months possibly even being colder than average. I'm almost certain that Gavin P. had said that this change would happen during this month (although as I have said already, I could be wrong there), but that hasn't happened yet.

I am therefore wondering whether or not, anyone knows of any plans by the Met Office to start using those newer averages for the CET anamolies instead of the old ones, and possibly even when that is likely to happen.

Originally Posted by: johncs2016 


I Have enquired to Met Office who will reply soon.


They may be staying with the present figures due to climate warming.






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
06 January 2022 12:01:42

Met Office Hadley        7.7c       Anomaly      4.3c provisional to 5th


Metcheck                     6.57c     Anomaly      2.42c


Netweather                  7.7c      Anomaly       3.57c


Peasedown St John      7.75c    Anomaly       2.5c. 






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
johncs2016
06 January 2022 16:16:03


 


I Have enquired to Met Office who will reply soon.


They may be staying with the present figures due to climate warming.


Originally Posted by: ARTzeman 


Thanks for that Arty.


People often laugh at your typos not just on these threads, but also on the daily CC and monthly precipitation threads even though they are usually very few and far between.


The reason why I have mentioned that is because I realised after posting here that I had made a typo here myself, as I had written 1961-2020 as the old averages when I meant to say 1961-1991.


Luckily, I was able to fix that in my own post but if someone then quotes what I have posted into their reply, I then can't fix that as the only person who can do that is the person who actually made that reply.


 


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.
Col
  • Col
  • Advanced Member
06 January 2022 18:38:22


 


Thanks for that Arty.


People often laugh at your typos not just on these threads, but also on the daily CC and monthly precipitation threads even though they are usually very few and far between.


The reason why I have mentioned that is because I realised after posting here that I had made a typo here myself, as I had written 1961-2020 as the old averages when I meant to say 1961-1991.


Luckily, I was able to fix that in my own post but if someone then quotes what I have posted into their reply, I then can't fix that as the only person who can do that is the person who actually made that reply.


 


Originally Posted by: johncs2016 


Don't worry about typos. Seriously, nobody cares.


Col
Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl
Snow videos:
http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg
johncs2016
06 January 2022 20:32:48


 


Don't worry about typos. Seriously, nobody cares.


Originally Posted by: Col 


I generally don't worry about typos, but they can be funny at times and there's nothing like a laugh every now and then.



The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.
western100
06 January 2022 20:54:08
It’s coming down slowly 🤣
IMBY now 5.9 still very high for January but I’m confident it’ll come under 5 this month

See how cold it gets next week if HP provides good conditions
Worcestershire / Warwickshire Border
100m ASL
Twitter…..@Weather4u2
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
07 January 2022 05:13:21


 


Don't worry about typos. Seriously, nobody cares.


Originally Posted by: Col 

  Spot on, but I do love Art’s farts!  They make me smile!  


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
Saint Snow
07 January 2022 11:24:05


 


I Have enquired to Met Office who will reply soon.


They may be staying with the present figures due to climate warming.


Originally Posted by: ARTzeman 


 


Let us know if you get a reply.


I'm still waiting after over a week, for a simple answer about where it was officially a white Xmas.



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
ARTzeman
07 January 2022 12:07:25

Met Office Hadley       6.9c       Anomaly       3.3c provisional to 6th


Metcheck                    6.13c      Anomaly       1.97c


Netweather                 6.82c      Anomaly       2.63c


Peasedown St John     6.21c      Anomaly       0.76c. 


    






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Hungry Tiger
07 January 2022 12:54:25


Met Office Hadley       6.9c       Anomaly       3.3c provisional to 6th


Metcheck                    6.13c      Anomaly       1.97c


Netweather                 6.82c      Anomaly       2.63c


Peasedown St John     6.21c      Anomaly       0.76c. 


    


Originally Posted by: ARTzeman 


I'm quite comfortable with my prediction - Went for 6.0C


Having said that - Bet we have a freeze now.


Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


ARTzeman
07 January 2022 13:18:29


 


 


Let us know if you get a reply.


I'm still waiting after over a week, for a simple answer about where it was officially a white Xmas.


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


Met Office has noted the request and will reply soon.






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
08 January 2022 10:55:47

Met Office Hadley       6.5c      Anomaly         3.0c provisional to 7th


Metcheck                    5.74c    Anomaly         1.59c


Netweather                 6.31c    Anomaly         2.12c


Peasedown St John     6.21c    Anomaly         0.73c. 






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
09 January 2022 11:19:15

Met Office Hadley       6.3c       Anomaly       2.8c provisional to 8th


Metcheck                    5.64c     Anomaly       1.4c


Netweather                 6.25c     Anomaly       2.06c


Peasedown St John     6.7c      Anomaly       1.25c. 






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Grandad
10 January 2022 09:36:12
Lets see if reverse psychology works.
First time ever I have been above average for January (pretty much any month if I am honest)
Second equal highest at 6,0C.
I feel quite dizzy.
This probably reflected my feelings when I submitted my guess on NY Eve!
Oh and have a healthy New Year to one and all.

Grandad.
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
10 January 2022 10:01:17

Lets see if reverse psychology works.
First time ever I have been above average for January (pretty much any month if I am honest)
Second equal highest at 6,0C.
I feel quite dizzy.
This probably reflected my feelings when I submitted my guess on NY Eve!
Oh and have a healthy New Year to one and all.

Grandad.

Originally Posted by: Grandad 


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
ARTzeman
10 January 2022 10:53:17

Met Office Hadley       6.2c      Anomaly      2.6c provisional to 9th


Metcheck                    5.46c    Anomaly      1.30c


Netweather                 6.08c    Anomaly      1.89c


Peasdedown  St John   6.6c     Anomaly      1.2c.  






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

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