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Offline Caz  
#41 Posted : 07 January 2022 05:13:21(UTC)
Caz

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 28/10/2008(UTC)
Posts: 23,948
Woman
United Kingdom
Location: Market Warsop, Nottinghamshire, East Midlands

Originally Posted by: Col Go to Quoted Post

 

Don't worry about typos. Seriously, nobody cares.

  Spot on, but I do love Art’s farts!  They make me smile!  

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition. Discuss monthly temperatures and records.CET competition

Offline Saint Snow  
#42 Posted : 07 January 2022 11:24:05(UTC)
Saint Snow

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 05/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 55,468
Man
Location: St Helens

Originally Posted by: ARTzeman Go to Quoted Post

 

I Have enquired to Met Office who will reply soon.

They may be staying with the present figures due to climate warming.

 

Let us know if you get a reply.

I'm still waiting after over a week, for a simple answer about where it was officially a white Xmas.

Martin

Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)

A TWO addict since 14/12/01

"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."

Aneurin Bevan

Offline ARTzeman  
#43 Posted : 07 January 2022 12:07:25(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 30,250
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley       6.9c       Anomaly       3.3c provisional to 6th

Metcheck                    6.13c      Anomaly       1.97c

Netweather                 6.82c      Anomaly       2.63c

Peasedown St John     6.21c      Anomaly       0.76c. 

    

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

Offline Hungry Tiger  
#44 Posted : 07 January 2022 12:54:25(UTC)
Hungry Tiger

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 11/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 25,840
Location: South Cambridgeshire

Originally Posted by: ARTzeman Go to Quoted Post

Met Office Hadley       6.9c       Anomaly       3.3c provisional to 6th

Metcheck                    6.13c      Anomaly       1.97c

Netweather                 6.82c      Anomaly       2.63c

Peasedown St John     6.21c      Anomaly       0.76c. 

    

I'm quite comfortable with my prediction - Went for 6.0C

Having said that - Bet we have a freeze now.

Gavin S. FRmetS.

TWO Moderator.

Contact the TWO team - twomoderationteam@gmail.com

South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.

Offline ARTzeman  
#45 Posted : 07 January 2022 13:18:29(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

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Posts: 30,250
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow Go to Quoted Post

 

 

Let us know if you get a reply.

I'm still waiting after over a week, for a simple answer about where it was officially a white Xmas.

Met Office has noted the request and will reply soon.

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

Offline ARTzeman  
#46 Posted : 08 January 2022 10:55:47(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 30,250
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley       6.5c      Anomaly         3.0c provisional to 7th

Metcheck                    5.74c    Anomaly         1.59c

Netweather                 6.31c    Anomaly         2.12c

Peasedown St John     6.21c    Anomaly         0.73c. 

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

Offline ARTzeman  
#47 Posted : 09 January 2022 11:19:15(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 30,250
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley       6.3c       Anomaly       2.8c provisional to 8th

Metcheck                    5.64c     Anomaly       1.4c

Netweather                 6.25c     Anomaly       2.06c

Peasedown St John     6.7c      Anomaly       1.25c. 

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

Offline Grandad  
#48 Posted : 10 January 2022 09:36:12(UTC)
Grandad

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 30/10/2014(UTC)
Posts: 2,160
Man
United Kingdom
Location: Central Solihull

Lets see if reverse psychology works.

First time ever I have been above average for January (pretty much any month if I am honest)

Second equal highest at 6,0C.

I feel quite dizzy.

This probably reflected my feelings when I submitted my guess on NY Eve!

Oh and have a healthy New Year to one and all.

Grandad.

Offline Caz  
#49 Posted : 10 January 2022 10:01:17(UTC)
Caz

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 28/10/2008(UTC)
Posts: 23,948
Woman
United Kingdom
Location: Market Warsop, Nottinghamshire, East Midlands

Originally Posted by: Grandad Go to Quoted Post
Lets see if reverse psychology works.
First time ever I have been above average for January (pretty much any month if I am honest)
Second equal highest at 6,0C.
I feel quite dizzy.
This probably reflected my feelings when I submitted my guess on NY Eve!
Oh and have a healthy New Year to one and all.

Grandad.

Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition. Discuss monthly temperatures and records.CET competition

Offline ARTzeman  
#50 Posted : 10 January 2022 10:53:17(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 30,250
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley       6.2c      Anomaly      2.6c provisional to 9th

Metcheck                    5.46c    Anomaly      1.30c

Netweather                 6.08c    Anomaly      1.89c

Peasdedown  St John   6.6c     Anomaly      1.2c.  

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

Offline western100  
#51 Posted : 10 January 2022 19:07:23(UTC)
western100

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 20/10/2010(UTC)
Posts: 494
Location: Worcestershire / Warwickshire Border

Temperatures falling and the CET region may be in for a coldish week which could drop it down

IMBY down to 5.3 now

Something between 4-5 is a good bet I feel for month end

Worcestershire / Warwickshire Border

100m ASL

Twitter…..@Weather4u2

Offline ARTzeman  
#52 Posted : 11 January 2022 12:26:05(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 30,250
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley       6.2c      Anomaly      2.7c provisional to 10th

Metcheck                    5.66c    Anomaly       1.51c

Netweather                 6.09c    Anomaly        1.9c

Peasedown St John     5.34c    Anomaly       0.11c.      

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

Offline Gusty  
#53 Posted : 11 January 2022 20:02:13(UTC)
Gusty

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 07/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 15,451
Man
Location: Folkestone

Interesting month this one. 

Those who have gone colder (in the 4's) will be hoping this weeks anticyclone will trap a lot of fog at the surface and that next weeks Scandinavian grazer advects enough cold air at the surface before the lid comes down and traps it in again. Those like me who have gone in the mid to high 5's will be wishing that high pressure holds further south allowing for a milder, cloudier set up.

On balance its looking like a mid 4 finish at the moment.  

 

Steve - Folkestone, Kent

Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue

https://www.wunderground...m/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11

Join Kent Weather on Facebook.

https://www.facebook.com/stevewall69/

Offline western100  
#54 Posted : 11 January 2022 21:15:29(UTC)
western100

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 20/10/2010(UTC)
Posts: 494
Location: Worcestershire / Warwickshire Border

It shows how a mild few days can take nearly 2 weeks to pull back to closer to average in our current pattern

IMBY down to 5.2 now

This week is a crucial week if you want an average to below average month….

Worcestershire / Warwickshire Border

100m ASL

Twitter…..@Weather4u2

Offline ARTzeman  
#55 Posted : 12 January 2022 10:47:19(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 30,250
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley       6.5c      Anomaly       2.7c provisional to 11th

Metcheck                    5.46c    Anomaly       1.31c

Netweather                 6.15c    Anomaly     1.96c 

Peasedown St John     5.8c      Anomaly     0.35c. 

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

Offline Stormchaser  
#56 Posted : 12 January 2022 21:35:25(UTC)
Stormchaser

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 24/10/2008(UTC)
Posts: 12,076
Man
Location: West Hants

High sensitivity to the exact positioning and orientation of the high pressure relative to the UK in the coming week or two.

The initial airmass is clear enough that cold nights and fog are dominating the scene until Saturday.

This weekend, some milder air looks to scoot across, taking effect by Sunday when double digit maximums may occur widely.

Next week, signs are, we see the high centre more or less over the UK in the early to mid-stages, so the inversion may redevelop, depending on how much moisture-laden Atlantic air has been entrained during the weekend. Most model runs shrug much of that off and some draw in some drier air from the near continent, so there seems to be a good shot at developing a new inversion.

Later in the week, there are signs the high will shift west a bit, at least for a time, giving a chance of cold air from the north. Probably just a glancing blow if anything, but it should tend to help keep skies more clear than grey.

Beyond that, the models are keen on repeating the sequence - high pressure spilling back across the UK, then heading west again. An astonishingly 'stuck cycle', which likely has a lot to do with anomalous tropical convection persisting over the western-central Pacific for a record-long spell, by far, for the time of year. A huge distortion to the zonal flow has gradually built up, almost like debris behind a dam - it's going to take some shifting!

If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email twomoderationteam@gmail.com :)

Homeland: Rural Mid-West Hants nearly 10 miles S of Salisbury (near Fordingbridge). More insights: https://twitter.com/peacockreports

2021's Homeland Extremes:

T-Max: 30.4°C 21st Jul | T-Min: -6.8°C New Years Day! | Wettest Day: 34.1mm 2nd Oct | Ice Days: 2 (27th Jan & 8th Feb)

Keep Calm and Forecast On

Offline ARTzeman  
#57 Posted : 12 January 2022 23:42:56(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 30,250
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Expecting lower figures for the last week of the month.

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

Offline ARTzeman  
#58 Posted : 13 January 2022 11:52:03(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 30,250
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley       6.2c       Anomaly       2.6c provisional to 12th

Metcheck                    5.24c     Anomaly       1.08c

Netweather                 5.92c     Anomaly       1.75c

Peasedown St John    6.7c       Anomaly        1.25.  

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

Offline ARTzeman  
#59 Posted : 14 January 2022 11:04:08(UTC)
ARTzeman

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 14/07/2012(UTC)
Posts: 30,250
Man
Location: Peasedown St John. N.E. Sommerset

Met Office Hadley        6.0c       Anomaly         2.5c provisional to13th

Metcheck                     5.03c     Anomaly         0.88c

Netweather                  5.07c     Anomaly         1.51c 

Peasedown St John      6.5c      Anomaly          1.05c.  

Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

Offline GezM  
#60 Posted : 14 January 2022 13:51:49(UTC)
GezM

Rank: Advanced Member

Joined: 18/04/2006(UTC)
Posts: 1,386
Man
United Kingdom
Location: St Albans

Originally Posted by: ARTzeman Go to Quoted Post

Met Office Hadley        6.0c       Anomaly         2.5c provisional to13th

Metcheck                     5.03c     Anomaly         0.88c

Netweather                  5.07c     Anomaly         1.51c 

Peasedown St John      6.5c      Anomaly          1.05c.  

With the frosty nights we're getting now, I'm wondering if this will be a month with a large downward adjustment? Always seems to happen when nights are cold. 

Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)

Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)

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