RobSnowman
09 November 2011 21:34:48
Good information there GW. My head says mild, my heart says cold. I'll stew on it a couple of weeks first I think.
I built this snowman of myself.
broken nail
09 November 2011 21:39:35

Originally Posted by: RobSnowman 

Good information there GW. My head says mild, my heart says cold. I'll stew on it a couple of weeks first I think.


Don't forget TomP or Waterspout, both said we would be cooling down in the run up to the winter(s) to follow 2012

RobSnowman
09 November 2011 21:53:02

Originally Posted by: broken nail 


Originally Posted by: RobSnowman 

Good information there GW. My head says mild, my heart says cold. I'll stew on it a couple of weeks first I think.


Don't forget TomP or Waterspout, both said we would be cooling down in the run up to the winter(s) to follow 2012



Well if they were to spring back up and tell us the prophecy was about to come true I may sit up and listen, but until those oracles reappear, I'll carry on stewing and see how November pans out.


I built this snowman of myself.
Steam Fog
09 November 2011 21:56:38
Basically average. 4.1C. Presumably it's just the one guess rather than chopping and changing between now and the end of the month?
Millsey
09 November 2011 22:07:51

I'll reckon around about 2.9, starting off mild then colder spells before the milder temperatures return.


I don't think this winter will be as bad as predicted or expected.


 

Roonie
09 November 2011 22:09:27
3.9 please..
Still Lurking.......

North Worcestershire
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
09 November 2011 23:35:29

I'm going to guess at 3.5c  Thank you!


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
LeedsLad123
10 November 2011 00:32:32

4.1c


 


Mild December, average January and cold February please. 


Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
alan
  • alan
  • Advanced Member
10 November 2011 07:17:13

I'll go 4.8c please.

nsrobins
10 November 2011 10:09:27

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

4.3C for me. Slightly below average overall, with a mild December, cold January and average February.

The above forecast is based on advanced aqueous phytoanalytical techniques* and is thus at least as reliable as most LRFs.



* tea leaves.


 I too use the same technique but have included some code in the algorithm which allows for Tanin-modulated jasminesis (Earl Grey tea leaves)


Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
Solar Cycles
10 November 2011 10:28:18

The signals are far more mixed than the previous three years, but I would guess anything from average to well below average would be in the offering. So with that I'm going with 3.1c,  slightly below  average for December, well below average for January, and slightly below for February. 

tallyho_83
10 November 2011 10:38:01
Milder winter then last year and we will get a cold spell between 17th December - 24th and everyone will panic and it will make the news!!

I honestly do not know!

Anyway - I am in Prague now enjoying the cold crisp air and seeing the sunshine for a change.

Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


Jonesy
10 November 2011 11:28:29

I will wait just a while longer before entering, My Winter Predictions in the other Fun competition could be a few days out, I think we could get a short sharp shock regarding temps but I'm still not sure wether very late in November or the start of December which could make December's CET a tricky one.


Medway Towns (Kent)
The Weather will do what it wants, when it wants, no matter what data is thrown at it !
Gusty
10 November 2011 12:05:27

I'm going to go for a cheeky 4.0c.


Steve - Folkestone, Kent
Current conditions from my Davis Vantage Vue
https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/IFOLKE11 
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AlvinMeister
10 November 2011 12:11:16

4.8C please

Whether Idle
10 November 2011 21:19:36

December 5.2 Jan 4.2 Feb 3.0 making winter avaerage of 4.2, I thank you. i dont honesly have a clue.  Its called gut feeling.


Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
10 November 2011 23:00:09

Originally Posted by: Jonesy 


I will wait just a while longer before entering, My Winter Predictions in the other Fun competition could be a few days out, I think we could get a short sharp shock regarding temps but I'm still not sure wether very late in November or the start of December which could make December's CET a tricky one.


Now then Jonesy!  I wonder whether waiting nearer to the time to guess, statistically produces more accurate guesses?  No, seriously!    Anyway, snow for Christmas eh? 


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
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roger63
  • roger63
  • Advanced Member Topic Starter
11 November 2011 11:05:26

Originally Posted by: Steam Fog 

Basically average. 4.1C. Presumably it's just the one guess rather than chopping and changing between now and the end of the month?


Won't be posting any  table until beginning of December and the end of winter is over 3 months way.So no problem in changing  forecast as long as its  before end of November.To avoid duplication simply delete original post and replace with new one.

Jonesy
11 November 2011 15:05:59

Right I'll throw my hat into the ring and my prediction will be 4.6c


 


Medway Towns (Kent)
The Weather will do what it wants, when it wants, no matter what data is thrown at it !
Gandalf The White
11 November 2011 16:31:53

Ho hum....


The long-term trend says average to mild but four below average winters in a row is not without predecent.


I'm going to go for an average December but a cold to very cold mid- to end of winter.


2.9C - just inside the lower quartile.


Location: South Cambridgeshire
130 metres ASL
52.0N 0.1E


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