The Weather Outlook

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Heavy Weather 2013
14 June 2026 18:33:49

GFS 12Z generating some heat.

UserPostedImage

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 

A lot of very warm weather going to be around and looking the 12z ensembles it feels like we could get a short notice burst of intense heat at anytime considering the spread.


Mark

Beckton, E London

Less than 500m from the end of London City Airport runway.

Bertwhistle
15 June 2026 17:04:19

Indeed. But, we're seeing western being Europe super hot in recent summers, but not the east of Europe afaict. Is the cold blob promoting warming over western Europe? There does often see to be a slow moving low to our west, but it just stays there or moves away NE (damaging drought is still my worry this year, for the south at least) . Or are the persistent scorching summers we see over western Europe just how AGW is able to manifest itself? Perhaps one or the other imo.

But, other place are seeing scary anomalies yet there is only one blob of cold like the N Atlantic one.. So, perhaps something else its at play.

I fear for western Europe, it's nature can only take so much heat stress?

Originally Posted by: Devonian 

I agree. Life here has evolved to enjoy a more benign scenario- with extremes like in 1911 being occasional enough or short lived enough for natural resilience to cope with. But the frequency of prolonged heat seems to be increasing rapidly. Very hot July gaps have shortened for example.

2006-2013 7 year gap.

2013-2018 5 year gap.

2018-2022 4 year gap.

2022-2025 3 year gap.

Sorry- off topic for June but I wonder after 2023 2025 and maybe 2026 if June is the new July.


Bertie, Itchen Valley.

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