The models are beginning to show a blocked and wintry outlook. Can’t believe the Model output thread is soooooooo quiet. Too many false dawns perhaps? I have a feeling this might be the one that verifies.
A combination of the winter crowd moving on (leaving those who for whatever reason are less keen on potenential snow in early spring), "once bitten twice shy" and it still being far too far out for any sense of reliability, I'd guess.
Meanwhile in the here and now, in the dying days of winter, I was amused to see the 15-30+mm of rain as forecast by the various models a couple of days out has turned into all of 6mm, as the low has tracked further south. To be fair the small-scale models such as ICON D2 picked the change up first, then the MetO hi-res, and last of all the GFS.
The usual wind tables have turned, too, with the MetO raw going for much higher winds right from the off - GFS has gradually caught up. I can only guess it's because of the direction, straight from the North Sea...
It's presently 7.7C with a strong and gusty NE'ly (gusting to 51-52mph), cloudy but dry.
The low so far is 7.4 and yesterday's high was 7.9.