So in the end, even the colder conditions for late in the month were watered down sufficiently that we ended up chasing a new high CET record, (most likely) only just falling short.
Who'd have thought we'd be anywhere near that given all the extended & seasonal modelling in the run-up to this month?
Definitely the most extreme case of dynamically-based forecast models falling flat that I can recall.
To be fair to them though, the usual sub-seasonal driving forces were all pointing toward an at least slightly colder than average month as of late Jan. Had we seen a true major SSW, or even just not had the unusual reflective variety, things would very likely have turned out that way.
I suppose I might as well continue estimating for the rest of this year just in case it goes stupendously well.
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T-Max: 30.4°C 21st Jul | T-Min: -6.8°C New Years Day! | Wettest Day: 34.1mm 2nd Oct | Ice Days: 2 (27th Jan & 8th Feb)
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