Gavin D
28 February 2024 14:06:09
Hadley

7.8c to the 27th

4.0c above the 61 to 90 average
3.4c above the 81 to 10 average
Saint Snow
28 February 2024 14:09:57
I'm relieved there was a closer bunching of guesses this month. I'm heading downwards at a rapid rate, but it could have been worse!!

 

Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Hungry Tiger
28 February 2024 22:04:05
Originally Posted by: Gavin D 

Hadley

7.8c to the 27th

4.0c above the 61 to 90 average
3.4c above the 81 to 10 average



So we've lost the record.
2nd place is this.  7.5C  1869 .

 
Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


Dickieboy68
28 February 2024 22:24:58
Yes, we are all scoring well this month - ho-hum. Will March be closer to its average? Or, will it be much colder to bring a rolling 3-month average back down?? Let's see. Keep it going everyone. Cheers.
Dickieboy - In the deep mid-Wiltshire
Formerly Guest (16) since 2004
Windy Willow
29 February 2024 09:38:01
What a month! I thought it would have been cooler. Let's see what March brings.
119.4 m /391.7 feet asl
Sunny Dartford, NW Kent

Don't feed the Trolls!! When starved of attention they return to their dark caves or the dark recesses of bridges and will turn back to stone, silent again!
Hungry Tiger
29 February 2024 10:38:34
Wish I'd gone for higher.    🙂  
Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


ARTzeman
29 February 2024 10:45:01
IMANSF22              7.6c              Nick's- 1BATH75        8.0c 
Metcheck               7.78c                 Anomaly       3.58c
Netweather           8.25c                 Anomaly       4.06c
Peasedown St John  8.05c             Anomaly       2.68c.  




Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Gavin D
29 February 2024 14:06:02
Hadley

7.8c to the 28th

4.0c above the 61 to 90 average
3.4c above the 81 to 10 average
Stormchaser
29 February 2024 19:43:34
So in the end, even the colder conditions for late in the month were watered down sufficiently that we ended up chasing a new high CET record, (most likely) only just falling short.

Who'd have thought we'd be anywhere near that given all the extended & seasonal modelling in the run-up to this month?

Definitely the most extreme case of dynamically-based forecast models falling flat that I can recall.
To be fair to them though, the usual sub-seasonal driving forces were all pointing toward an at least slightly colder than average month as of late Jan. Had we seen a true major SSW, or even just not had the unusual reflective variety, things would very likely have turned out that way.

I suppose I might as well continue estimating for the rest of this year just in case it goes stupendously well.
If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email [email protected] 🙂
https://twitter.com/peacockreports 
2021's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.4°C 21st Jul | T-Min: -6.8°C New Years Day! | Wettest Day: 34.1mm 2nd Oct | Ice Days: 2 (27th Jan & 8th Feb)
Keep Calm and Forecast On
Ally Pally Snowman
29 February 2024 19:51:52
You should definitely keep in the comp SC your analysis is very much appreciated in this thread. As you say this February has been a bit of a freak month with all the Pros getting it wrong. A month that will be analysed for many years to come as to why the models were so wrong.
 
Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Ally Pally Snowman
01 March 2024 13:09:12
7.8c looks like the final figure. Not quite the record but the warmest for 245 years. 
 
Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
scillydave
01 March 2024 13:31:35
Congratulations to Windywillow - it's not often that you can confidently say that you've won the monthly competition with just over half of the month gone and still be over a degree out on the final figure!
What an extraordinary month.
Currently living at roughly 65m asl North of Cowbridge in the Vale of Glamorgan.

Formerly of, Birdlip, highest village in the Cotswolds and snow heaven in winter; Hawkinge in Kent - roof of the South downs and Isles of Scilly, paradise in the UK.
Hungry Tiger
01 March 2024 16:38:59
Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

7.8c looks like the final figure. Not quite the record but the warmest for 245 years. 
 



So it came in a close second.
Phew.

 
Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


JMM2005
01 March 2024 18:12:37
Can anyone help me find the best way to get the final CET Figures for each completed month to 2 decimal places. Was able to use Hadley site for January as first month do the year but need help going forward. 

Thank you. 
J
 
Justin
Brighton seafront
Webcam of the beach and Brighton's palace pier
https://www.skylinewebcams.com/en/webcam/united-kingdom/england/brighton/brighton-pier.html 
Frank H
01 March 2024 19:36:28
Originally Posted by: JMM2005 

Can anyone help me find the best way to get the final CET Figures for each completed month to 2 decimal places. Was able to use Hadley site for January as first month do the year but need help going forward. 

Thank you. 
J
 



I used to key the Hadley Max and Min data into Excel

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/data/cet_mean_2024.txt 

Go into the Hadley CET data address bar and change the word ' Mean' to 'Max'.
Do likewise for the min, then take the average in Excel.

It saves time at month end if you collect the data throughout the month. However be careful as they sometimes change the earlier data.
Wrightington, Wigan
lanky
01 March 2024 20:39:40
Originally Posted by: JMM2005 

Can anyone help me find the best way to get the final CET Figures for each completed month to 2 decimal places. Was able to use Hadley site for January as first month do the year but need help going forward. 

Thank you. 
J
 



7.78 for Feb 2024

I just noticed Frank's comments above and that is how I do it too - although taking the average of the all the cetmeans is generally accurate enough without going back to all the daily maxs and mins

Incidentally the files Frank mentioned are internet text files so it is not necessary to rekey anything. I just highlight and copy the data display and paste it into notepad where you can open that file in Excel and pull out the average directly after a small amount of deleting unneeded rows and columns. Saves time and eliminates keying errors

 
Martin
Richmond, Surrey
JMM2005
02 March 2024 12:56:32
February Results 

Sorry it comes out as such a mess this forum is not easy to post tabled information and doesn't allow me to upload as an image or in any formatted way. 

Name     Feb 24    Variance                    
Actual     7.78    
windywillow             6.90    -0.88
kendalian                  6.70    -1.08
gezm                   6.65    -1.13
grandad                 6.40    -1.38
snowshoe              6.30    -1.48
bolty                      6.30    -1.48
jmm2005                 6.20    -1.58
hungry tiger               6.00    -1.78
frank h                      5.95    -1.83
rickm                     5.95    -1.83
bertwhistle                5.81    -1.97
Gavin D                   5.80    -1.98
caz                          5.80    -1.98
lanky                          5.62    -2.16
sussex snow magnet     5.50    -2.28
dingle rob              5.50    -2.28
scillydave                    5.45    -2.33
artzeman                   5.37    -2.41
ap snowman             5.30    -2.48
Spring Sun Winter Dread    5.20    -2.58
Dickieboy68             5.11    -2.67
Norseman     5.05    -2.73
1991 - 2020 Average     4.97    -2.81
redmoons                   4.95    -2.83
Saint Snow     4.90    -2.88
col                               4.87    -2.91
taylor1740              4.80    -2.98
Splinter    4.79    -2.99
Weather Idle     4.75    -3.03
stormchaser              4.69    -3.09
All time CET average     3.92    -3.86



 
Justin
Brighton seafront
Webcam of the beach and Brighton's palace pier
https://www.skylinewebcams.com/en/webcam/united-kingdom/england/brighton/brighton-pier.html 
JMM2005
02 March 2024 13:03:26


Year-to-date positions we have joint leaders as of February 

 Name     Variance to Feb  
gezm                 1.72
kendalian          1.72
bolty                 1.92
rickm                 1.94
hungry tiger      2.04
frank h                 2.13
lanky                     2.28
grandad             2.42
caz                     2.54
sussex snow magnet 2.62
jmm2005             2.62
scillydave               2.69
snowshoe         2.72
Spring Sun Winter Dread 2.74
windywillow         2.84
1991 - 2020 Average 2.85
dingle rob         2.94
Norseman         2.97
col                      3.03
Dickieboy68       3.04
Gavin D               3.12
artzeman               3.15
Weather Idle       3.49
taylor1740         3.52
Saint Snow        3.52
bertwhistle        3.59
stormchaser        3.63
Splinter             3.86
redmoons        4.34
All time CET average  5.31
ap snowman         5.52
 
Justin
Brighton seafront
Webcam of the beach and Brighton's palace pier
https://www.skylinewebcams.com/en/webcam/united-kingdom/england/brighton/brighton-pier.html 
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
03 March 2024 13:41:43
Well done windy!  Tough luck for everyone in February. 
Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
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