Looking outside it seems to be a fast developing situation. Very gusty SSE (F4 to 6) winds and looking at the radar some thundery activity over the Channel Islands which appeared only recently. Feeling warm too and 23C earlier.

Several spells of intense rainfall between 5 and 6, no thunder but a very humid feel to the weather.

After last night's underwhelming 0.6 mm, it looks like a higher chance of thundery stuff for my back yard late tonight. Failing that, Friday looks like being good for the lawn.

After last night's underwhelming 0.6 mm, it looks like a higher chance of thundery stuff for my back yard late tonight. Failing that, Friday looks like being good for the lawn.

Not much if any rain on BBC forecast earlier today for the SE on Friday 

 

Not much if any rain on BBC forecast earlier today for the SE on Friday 

expect that to change - would say currently looks a poor forecast for Friday

There is a yellow thunderstorm weather warning for SE England from 9pm to 3am tonight.

Tricky one this evening but I’ve seen enough to tickle my interest. The convection biased models are rapidly developing cells from 19.00hrs in a line Poole to Jersey which develop and move NNE. Given the backing surface flow as pressure falls across the Brest Peninsula some organised or even supercell structure is possible although the bases will be relatively high (at first).

Still nothing of note towards Normandy where I expect things to fire up. 

NOT a whole lot shaking so far.

8pm. It begins with some explosive convection over Jersey. 

8pm. It begins with some explosive convection over Jersey. 

yep textbook imports migrating north

Animation

http://www.lightningmaps.org/blitzortung/europe/index.php?bo_page=archive&bo_map=0&bo_animation=now

Lots of high flashes and distant rumbles here in Southmoor, Oxfordshire, Got in from evening walk just in time

Portsmouth harbour webcam picking up the channel lightning