idj20
Thursday, June 9, 2022 12:16:00 PM







It seems that the deep Atlantic low pressure system containing the remnants of TS Alex is enabling a "pattern reset" with us Kent massive getting the best deal with a better chance of warmer and even drier and brighter conditions. Better than a northern blocking pattern getting stuck for weeks on end, that's for sure.











 

 








Folkestone Harbour. 
Downpour
Thursday, June 9, 2022 1:50:47 PM

Originally Posted by: Bow Echo 


 


Yes. Yes they are. Quite remarkable comments sometimes on here.


 


 


 



 


Indeed. Sometimes the hysteria and hyperbole can be mildly entertaining, but it really grates after a while.


It's almost as if some members prefer naked attention-seeking over sober analysis of the models. 


Chingford
London E4
147ft
Rob K
Thursday, June 9, 2022 1:56:20 PM
Both the operational and the control go pretty scorchio on the GFS 6Z. Plenty of time to derail but I am starting to sniff something rather summery by the end of next week, even if it is of the "two hot days and a thunderstorm" variety.
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
Saint Snow
Thursday, June 9, 2022 2:04:10 PM

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

Both the operational and the control go pretty scorchio on the GFS 6Z. Plenty of time to derail but I am starting to sniff something rather summery by the end of next week, even if it is of the "two hot days and a thunderstorm" variety.


 


I hate changeable summers, even if they have a handful of brief scorchio spells


 


I'd rather have 10 weeks of dry, sunny, totally settled weather even if the temp never got past 24/25c


 


 



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Downpour
Thursday, June 9, 2022 2:06:02 PM

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


 


 


I hate changeable summers, even if they have a handful of brief scorchio spells


 


I'd rather have 10 weeks of dry, sunny, totally settled weather even if the temp never got past 24/25c


 


 



 


Can I gently suggest trading Wigan Pier for a windward harbour in Juan Les Pins? 


Chingford
London E4
147ft
Essan
Thursday, June 9, 2022 2:17:24 PM

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


I'd rather have 10 weeks of dry, sunny, totally settled weather even if the temp never got past 24/25c




Which, in the British Isles, is as likely as 10 weeks of heavy snow with the temp rarely getting above -5c


Mind, I always get the impression most people think a "normal" summer is 10 weeks of dry, sunny, totally settled weather with the temp above 28c every day (and often above 35c).


(I do sometimes wonder whether many Britons have actually lived here very long at all )


Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job - DNA
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
Thursday, June 9, 2022 2:50:11 PM

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 

 


I hate changeable summers, even if they have a handful of brief scorchio spells


I'd rather have 10 weeks of dry, sunny, totally settled weather even if the temp never got past 24/25c


That would be my perfect summer too!  


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
moomin75
Thursday, June 9, 2022 4:51:57 PM
GFS 12z again shows a very short lived (1-2 day burst) of heat followed again by a very significant cool down, almost by 15c in one day.
ECM looked a lot more stable this morning so will be interested to see how the ECM 12Z pans out.
It is starting to look like a very brief hot spell, but if GFS is right, it will be very much blink and miss it.


Witney, Oxfordshire
100m ASL
Saint Snow
Thursday, June 9, 2022 5:06:31 PM

Originally Posted by: Downpour 


 


 


Can I gently suggest trading Wigan Pier for a windward harbour in Juan Les Pins? 



 


 


Can I kindly suggest that mistaking a Sintellser for a pie-eating scumbag from Wigan is deeply insulting. You can tell us apart as we St Helens folk have just the five fingers on each hand.


 


(and, loving the South of France - in fact, France in general - I'd merrily live in Juan les Pins; but the summer temp would exceed 25c almost all the days)


 


 


Anyway, I've experienced summers in the UK that have had 10 or so weeks of settled, dry sunny weather (OK, perhaps with the odd couple of days of rain/showers dotted about)


1976, 1995, 2018 spring to mind - with plenty of others in my 50 years of existence having probably briefer periods of great, sunny weather lasting 4+ weeks.


 



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
moomin75
Thursday, June 9, 2022 6:01:50 PM
GEM 12Z prolongs the heat and goes into record breaking territory. 🥵🥵🥵
Now for the ECM.
Witney, Oxfordshire
100m ASL
Super Cell
Thursday, June 9, 2022 6:02:41 PM

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 


Lol gotta love the GFS 6z temps for next week 


Thursday 30c


Friday 33c


Saturday 32c




We set off for Gran Canaria on Thursday 16th


Farnley/Pudsey Leeds
40m asl
doctormog
Thursday, June 9, 2022 6:14:14 PM

Originally Posted by: Super Cell 




We set off for Gran Canaria on Thursday 16th



Any chance you could stay there until August? 


P.S. Enjoy! 


Frank H
Thursday, June 9, 2022 6:29:41 PM

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


 


 


 


Can I kindly suggest that mistaking a Sintellser for a pie-eating scumbag from Wigan is deeply insulting. You can tell us apart as we St Helens folk have just the five fingers on each hand.


 


Whilst us Wigan folk needed all our fingers to lift the Rugby League challenge cup last month.


Anyway back to the models.....


 


 


 


 


Wrightington, Wigan
ozone_aurora
Thursday, June 9, 2022 6:41:20 PM

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


 


 


I hate changeable summers, even if they have a handful of brief scorchio spells


 


I'd rather have 10 weeks of dry, sunny, totally settled weather even if the temp never got past 24/25c


 


 



Me, too, especially hate changeable, thundery summers (i.e, those with brief, 3 hot days and a thunderstorm type, then cool and showery).

Much prefer prolonged settled, sunny weather, even if not particularly hot. Wouldn't mind brief cool, wet interludes, especially if there was prolonged heatwave.

Downpour
Thursday, June 9, 2022 6:56:58 PM
I feel I may have blundered into some northwestern faux pas. Apologies. Let us all move to Antibes and forget about it.


Chingford
London E4
147ft
moomin75
Thursday, June 9, 2022 6:58:59 PM
ECM is in the GFS camp this evening with a very fleeting blink and miss it hot snap (only 24 hours, if that), so much to be determined still.
Witney, Oxfordshire
100m ASL
Saint Snow
Thursday, June 9, 2022 7:15:34 PM

Originally Posted by: Frank H 

 


Whilst us Wigan folk needed all our fingers to lift the Rugby League challenge cup last month.


Anyway back to the models.....



 


Fighting talk!



 



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Essan
Thursday, June 9, 2022 7:20:19 PM

If we had the weather many of us want we wouldn't have the landscape and flora and fauna (I hope) we also want.

Personally 3 hot days and a thunderstorm every 2 or 3 weeks is perfect for me.   I just wish we'd get some cold weather in winter once in a while!


Andy
Evesham, Worcs, Albion - 35m asl
Weather & Earth Science News 

Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job - DNA
ozone_aurora
Thursday, June 9, 2022 7:32:37 PM

Originally Posted by: Essan 


If we had the weather many of us want we wouldn't have the landscape and flora and fauna (I hope) we also want.

Personally 3 hot days and a thunderstorm every 2 or 3 weeks is perfect for me.   I just wish we'd get some cold weather in winter once in a while!



Yes, of course, it would be like Tenerife. 

Ally Pally Snowman
Thursday, June 9, 2022 7:34:40 PM

My perfect summer would be 28c to 32c with the occasional 40c thrown in. Thunderstorms every few days to keep things green.


 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
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