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Hungry Tiger
Sunday, December 5, 2021 11:24:39 AM

I'm happy with what I've gone for this month. 4.75C


I think we'll have to wait til January for any dramatic cold.


 


Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


ARTzeman
Monday, December 6, 2021 12:06:17 PM

Met Office Hadley       5.3c      Anomaly      0.0c provisional to 3rd


Metcheck                   4.22c     Anomaly       -0.77c


Netweather                5.01c     Anomaly       -0.1c


Peasedown St John    4.77c    Anomaly     -0.13c.   






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
Tuesday, December 7, 2021 11:39:58 AM

Met Office Hadley       5.0c      Anomaly      -0.2c provisional to 6th


Metcheck                    4.03c    Anomaly      -0.96c


Netweather                 4.81c    Anomaly      -0.29c


Peasedown St John   4.92c    Anomaly     0.02c.






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Grandad
Wednesday, December 8, 2021 12:27:28 PM
Hey Guys...
How do I find out where the Annual CET competition results are?
Do we have to register somewhere to be able to view them?
You guys obviously know whats going on. I haven't seen any results.
Grandad
Hungry Tiger
Wednesday, December 8, 2021 2:49:49 PM

Hey Guys...
How do I find out where the Annual CET competition results are?
Do we have to register somewhere to be able to view them?
You guys obviously know whats going on. I haven't seen any results.
Grandad


Originally Posted by: Grandad 


Probably the best way to do this is to PM GW. He runs the competition and is pretty good.


 


Gavin S. FRmetS.
TWO Moderator.
Contact the TWO team - [email protected]
South Cambridgeshire. 93 metres or 302.25 feet ASL.


ARTzeman
Wednesday, December 8, 2021 3:06:08 PM

Met Office Hadley       4.9c     Anomaly       -0.2c provisional to 7th


Metcheck                    4.18c   Anomaly       -0.82c


Netweather                 4.82c   Anomaly       -0.29c


Peasedown St  John    5.4c    Anomaly      0.5c. 






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Saint Snow
Wednesday, December 8, 2021 3:50:41 PM

Hey Guys...
How do I find out where the Annual CET competition results are?
Do we have to register somewhere to be able to view them?
You guys obviously know whats going on. I haven't seen any results.
Grandad

Originally Posted by: Grandad 


 


 


Each month GW will post both a table of the entries for the current month (in that month's thread), and the amended league table for the previous month (in that previous month's thread).


Depending on how busy he is, that could be a few days after, or over a week. 



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
GezM
  • GezM
  • Advanced Member
Wednesday, December 8, 2021 4:12:06 PM


Met Office Hadley       4.9c     Anomaly       -0.2c provisional to 7th


Metcheck                    4.18c   Anomaly       -0.82c


Netweather                 4.82c   Anomaly       -0.29c


Peasedown St  John    5.4c    Anomaly      0.5c. 


Originally Posted by: ARTzeman 


I must admit this is much higher than I expected for the first week. I was banking on something closer to 3.5C and then rising after that. Doesn't bode well for my slightly below average prediction unless we get that high pressure to sit on us for a couple of weeks!


Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)
Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)
Whether Idle
Wednesday, December 8, 2021 7:17:27 PM

I've won more "months" this year than when I topped the competition in 2016, but decided my strategy of going either high or low had back fired at least as often as it had been successful, so I went around average for December, having given up any hope of winning the competition in October.   Well done to the November winners and good luck to all those in the hunt.  I await the list of predictions with interest.


The CET for the months of this year have been notoriously difficult to predict and some of the stratagems deployed in the past by some of the more seasoned competitors have not been effective.  I am convinced that as the weather gyrates in ever more extreme episodes in response to the background warming, that more extreme months will become even more frequent, making an already fiendishly difficult competition even more challenging.  


Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
ARTzeman
Thursday, December 9, 2021 12:13:10 PM

Met Office Hadley        5.0c      Anomaly      -0.0c provisional to 8th


Metcheck                     4.30c    Anomaly       -0.70c


Netweather                  4.97c    Anomaly       -0.14c


Peasedown St John      5.04c    Anomaly     0.14c.






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Saint Snow
Friday, December 10, 2021 9:35:09 AM

I'm not giving this up, yet! 


Going off current output, it could be close - all depends on the exact conditions the UK high delivers, and how long it can stick around.



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
ARTzeman
Friday, December 10, 2021 11:18:06 AM

Met Office Hadley      5.1c      Anomaly     0.1c provisional to 9th


Metcheck                   4.41c     Anomaly     -0.58c


Netweather                5.09c     Anomaly     -0.02c


Peasedown St John   5.17c     Anomaly     0.27c.






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
Saturday, December 11, 2021 8:10:25 AM


I'm not giving this up, yet! 


Going off current output, it could be close - all depends on the exact conditions the UK high delivers, and how long it can stick around.


Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 

I think you’ll be OK. I’ve gone a degree higher at 5.5c. Too high but I’m well out of the running anyway. 


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
springsunshine
Saturday, December 11, 2021 9:03:26 AM


I think you’ll be OK. I’ve gone a degree higher at 5.5c. Too high but I’m well out of the running anyway. 


Originally Posted by: Caz 


I think you`ll have a good month Caz.The cet could be as high as 7c this time next week and anything is possible after that.Everyone is assuming this high pressure is going north  but it could also return south and keep the mild flow going. I went for 5.8c so am in the same boat

ARTzeman
Saturday, December 11, 2021 10:49:23 AM

Met Office Hadley       5.2c      Anomaly       0.2c provisional to 10th


Metcheck                    4.32c    Anomaly       -0.67c


Netweather                 5.08c    Anomaly       -0.03c


Peasedown St John     5.22c    Anomaly      0.32c.






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
GezM
  • GezM
  • Advanced Member
Saturday, December 11, 2021 11:38:01 AM


 


I think you`ll have a good month Caz.The cet could be as high as 7c this time next week and anything is possible after that.Everyone is assuming this high pressure is going north  but it could also return south and keep the mild flow going. I went for 5.8c so am in the same boat


Originally Posted by: springsunshine 


I agree. I think a mild month overall is the most likely outcome. Based on current  model output I think it's going to need a very cold last 10 days to get the CET back down to 4.5C or below. 


Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)
Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)
Stormchaser
Saturday, December 11, 2021 7:57:47 PM


I agree. I think a mild month overall is the most likely outcome. Based on current  model output I think it's going to need a very cold last 10 days to get the CET back down to 4.5C or below. 


Originally Posted by: GezM 


I'm afraid I must contradict you there, for while the 850 temperatures look to stay high for some time, by Friday, models agree on a drier continental flow establishing, allowing surface temps to drop away. An inversion may set up over the CET zone, if winds are light enough. Even without one, I can see overnight lows being at least a little below what GFS currently predicts for 17th onward.


https://twitter.com/peacockreports/status/1469757482658631680


 


As things stand, it looks most likely to be another 'neutralisation' like we saw in November, though there are events afoot in the tropics which could facilitate a cold final week to the month via a -NAO pattern and push the CET below average.


If you have any problems or queries relating to TWO you can Email [email protected]

https://twitter.com/peacockreports 
2023's Homeland Extremes:
T-Max: 30.2°C 9th Sep (...!) | T-Min: -7.1°C 22nd & 23rd Jan | Wettest Day: 25.9mm 2nd Nov | Ice Days: 1 (2nd Dec -1.3°C in freezing fog)
Keep Calm and Forecast On
ARTzeman
Sunday, December 12, 2021 11:17:30 AM

Met Office Hadley        5.3c        Anomaly       0.3c provisional to 11th


Metcheck                     4.72c      Anomaly       -0.28c


Netweather                  5.17c      Anomaly       0.08c


Peasedown  St John     5.8c     Anomaly    0.94c.


 


Roll on the 17th. Cooler then.... 






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
Sunday, December 12, 2021 8:19:03 PM


 


I think you`ll have a good month Caz.The cet could be as high as 7c this time next week and anything is possible after that.Everyone is assuming this high pressure is going north  but it could also return south and keep the mild flow going. I went for 5.8c so am in the same boat


Originally Posted by: springsunshine 

If I have a good month, it’ll be a total fluke!  I’ve been rubbish this year!   


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
western100
Sunday, December 12, 2021 9:26:17 PM
After a relatively cool / cold start to December, IMBY comfortably under 5 at 4.1 average

It’s going to take a hammering upwards over this week with DD temps widely and high night maxes

Still think something around 5-6 is possible based on the output for some cold inversion possible next week.
Worcestershire / Warwickshire Border
100m ASL
Twitter…..@Weather4u2
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