Frank H
13 December 2021 08:50:57

Originally Posted by: Spring Sun Winter Dread 

I've gone for an incredibly safe, conservative guess more or less bang on average.
I would perhaps have been more adventurous if I wasn't leading .
I do think average is more or less where we'll end up . Decembers since 2010 seem pathologically unable to stay cold


 


As we still haven't seen GW's table of predictions, are you willing to disclose your exact December prediction .


The three below you in the table Saint Snow 4.50, Bolty 4.50 and myself 3.33 have already done so.


Whilst you must be a strong favourite to win, we can then assess what Dec CET is required for anyone else to finish top .


The same request extends to others who are close enough in the table and may still be in with a shout e.g Sussex SM and AP Snowman.


Wrightington, Wigan
Ally Pally Snowman
13 December 2021 09:18:26

Originally Posted by: Frank H 


 


 


As we still haven't seen GW's table of predictions, are you willing to disclose your exact December prediction .


The three below you in the table Saint Snow 4.50, Bolty 4.50 and myself 3.33 have already done so.


Whilst you must be a strong favourite to win, we can then assess what Dec CET is required for anyone else to finish top .


The same request extends to others who are close enough in the table and may still be in with a shout e.g Sussex SM and AP Snowman.



I went for 3.7c , looking like a cold/very cold last week so your 3.33c has a chance.


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
ARTzeman
13 December 2021 10:08:18

My Prediction is for 4.90c. 






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
13 December 2021 10:47:08

Met Office Hadley       5.6c       Anomaly      0.7c provisional to 12th


Metcheck                    5.24c     Anomaly      0.24c


Netweather                 5.72c     Anomaly      0.63c


PeasedownSt John    5.27c    Anomaly    0.97c.  






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Saint Snow
13 December 2021 11:00:08

Worth noting that GW hasn't been on the site since 3rd December 



Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Spring Sun Winter Dread
13 December 2021 23:22:45
My prediction was 5.1C
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
14 December 2021 06:42:27

Originally Posted by: Saint Snow 


Worth noting that GW hasn't been on the site since 3rd December 


  Hope he’s OK.  Fingers crossed it’s just because he’s busy with work. 


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
Sussex snow magnet
14 December 2021 08:20:33

Originally Posted by: Frank H 


 


 


As we still haven't seen GW's table of predictions, are you willing to disclose your exact December prediction .


The three below you in the table Saint Snow 4.50, Bolty 4.50 and myself 3.33 have already done so.


Whilst you must be a strong favourite to win, we can then assess what Dec CET is required for anyone else to finish top .


The same request extends to others who are close enough in the table and may still be in with a shout e.g Sussex SM and AP Snowman.



 


I went 5.0

Frank H
14 December 2021 09:52:55

Thanks to all who disclosed their December predictions.


As far as I can see there are 4 possible overall winners for the following Dec CET ranges


 


7.21c and above - Rickm wins


4.59c to 7.20c - SSWD wins


4.58c - SSWD and Saint Snow tied (GW to advise who wins)


3.55c to 4.57c - Saint Snow wins


3.54c and below - Frank H wins


 


Wrightington, Wigan
GezM
  • GezM
  • Advanced Member
14 December 2021 10:04:50

Originally Posted by: Frank H 


Thanks to all who disclosed their December predictions.


As far as I can see there are 4 possible overall winners for the following Dec CET ranges


 


7.21c and above - Rickm wins


4.59c to 7.20c - SSWD wins


4.58c - SSWD and Saint Snow tied (GW to advise who wins)


3.55c to 4.57c - Saint Snow wins


3.54c and below - Frank H wins


 



Thanks for the analysis Frank. Exciting stuff then! At the moment I think that there are still 3 possible winners. All depends how this cold spell pans out. 


Living in St Albans, Herts (116m asl)
Working at Luton Airport, Beds (160m asl)
ARTzeman
14 December 2021 11:11:40

Met Office Hadley       5.9c      Anomaly      1.0c provisional to 13th


Metcheck                    5.56c    Anomaly       0.57c


Netweather                 6.07c    Anomaly       0.98c


Peasedown St John   6.45c    Anomaly    1.55c.              






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Saint Snow
14 December 2021 13:04:12

Originally Posted by: ARTzeman 


Met Office Hadley       5.9c      Anomaly      1.0c provisional to 13th


Metcheck                    5.56c    Anomaly       0.57c


Netweather                 6.07c    Anomaly       0.98c


Peasedown St John   6.45c    Anomaly    1.55c.              



 


It might sneak to 6c tomorrow, but I think then it's going to be gradual inching down. Just depends how far that gets!




Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Spring Sun Winter Dread
14 December 2021 18:26:54
So essentially we would then need a 3C second half for you to win. Roughly... could happen
Bolty
14 December 2021 18:32:18

Originally Posted by: Spring Sun Winter Dread 

So essentially we would then need a 3C second half for you to win. Roughly... could happen


Depends. This is looking like a gloomy high so the nights will most likely stay above freezing, apart from some areas lucky enough to see any brightness. If it had been a clear high, then things could be a lot more interesting now for the lower guessers.


Scott
Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.
My weather station 
rickm
14 December 2021 23:34:36

Mine was a bit of a ** or bust 'prediction'!

ARTzeman
15 December 2021 10:55:52

Met Office Hadley      6.1c      Anomaly     1.2c provisional to 14th


Metcheck                   5.86c    Anomaly      0.87c


Netweather                6.35c    Anomaly       1.26c


Peasedown St John    6.48c    Anomaly    1.52c. 






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
ARTzeman
16 December 2021 11:39:04

Met Office Hadley        6.3c       Anomaly       1.4c provisional to 15th


Metcheck                     6.10c     Anomaly        1.11c


Netweather                  6.6c       Anomaly        1.67c


Peasedown St John     6.04c     Anomaly        2.04c. 






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
Saint Snow
16 December 2021 15:35:51

Originally Posted by: ARTzeman 


Met Office Hadley        6.3c       Anomaly       1.4c provisional to 15th


Metcheck                     6.10c     Anomaly        1.11c


Netweather                  6.6c       Anomaly        1.67c


Peasedown St John     6.04c     Anomaly        2.04c. 



 




Martin
Home: St Helens (26m asl) Work: Manchester (75m asl)
A TWO addict since 14/12/01
"How can wealth persuade poverty to use its political freedom to keep wealth in power? Here lies the whole art of Conservative politics."
Aneurin Bevan
Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
17 December 2021 05:46:39

Originally Posted by: ARTzeman 


Met Office Hadley        6.3c       Anomaly       1.4c provisional to 15th


Metcheck                     6.10c     Anomaly        1.11c


Netweather                  6.6c       Anomaly        1.67c


Peasedown St John     6.04c     Anomaly        2.04c. 


Crikey!  But it looks like it’ll be on its way down after today. We have a hard frost at -1.8c this morning, although many places have fog which will be holding temps up.  How low will it go in the second half of December though?


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.
ARTzeman
17 December 2021 11:01:59

Met Office Hadley        6.5c      Anomaly      1.6c provisional to 16th


Metcheck                     6.20c     Anomaly       1.21c


Netweather                  6.71c     Anomaly       1.62c


Peasedown St John    6.78c     Anomaly       1.88c.      






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
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