doctormog
06 March 2021 14:41:21

Originally Posted by: Joe Bloggs 


 


He does the regional weather on North West Tonight. A very decent replacement for Dianne Oxberry (RIP).


He knows his stuff and comes across as a very nice bloke. 



He’s a decent drummer too. 


Joe Bloggs
06 March 2021 16:45:12

Originally Posted by: doctormog 


 


He’s a decent drummer too. 



ha so he is! 



Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL

Gavin D
07 March 2021 15:01:44

Friday 12 Mar - Sunday 21 Mar


Staying unsettled and often windy into the start of this period. All areas are likely to see showers or longer spells of rain at times. Some snow is likely over northern hills. Western areas will be wettest with eastern areas seeing more prolonged, drier interludes. Temperatures around average. Into the following week there is a chance of more settled, drier and brighter conditions in southern areas, but overall, most are likely to observe alternations between wet and rainy weather, interspersed with settled conditions. There remains a potential for strong winds, with these most likely across the west and northwest of the UK. Temperatures are expected to remain around average with overnight frosts still possible, especially during settled interludes.


Sunday 21 Mar - Sunday 4 Apr


Into the latter part of March, unsettled conditions are likely to be increasingly confined to the north and west of the UK, with the south and east probably seeing more settled conditions. Into the beginning of April, there is a chance that the settled conditions will become more widespread to bring some drier spells of weather for most. Temperatures are most likely to remain near to or slightly above average, with any colder or cooler intervals short-lived.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/


 

Gavin D
08 March 2021 15:37:11

Saturday 13 Mar - Monday 22 Mar


The weather is likely to remain unsettled and often windy into the start of this period. All areas in the UK are likely to see showers or longer spells of rain at times. Western areas will be wettest with eastern areas seeing more prolonged, drier interludes. Some snow is likely over northern hills, as is expected for the time of year, but overall, temperatures will be around average. Into the following week there is a chance of more settled, drier and brighter conditions in southern areas initially but perhaps extending to the rest of the country for a time. Temperatures are again expected to remain around average initially, but may become milder as things settle down next week.


Monday 22 Mar - Monday 5 Apr


Into the latter part of March, unsettled conditions are likely to be increasingly confined to the north and west of the UK, with the south and east probably seeing more settled conditions. Into the beginning of April, there is a chance that the settled conditions will become more widespread to bring some drier spells of weather for most. Temperatures are most likely to remain near to or slightly above average, with any colder or cooler intervals short-lived.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/


 

Gavin D
09 March 2021 14:53:47

Sunday 14 Mar - Tuesday 23 Mar


At the start of this period, the weather is likely to remain unsettled, with often blustery conditions. Further showers are expected Sunday with intermittent dry spells, with showers becoming less frequent in the south through the day, and winds easing throughout. Southern areas are likely to see settled conditions after this, with a good deal of dry weather, though some rain remains possible at times. However, there is more uncertainty across northern areas, where spells of rain and stronger winds are more likely at times, though still with some reasonable drier interludes. Furthermore, some morning fog patches are likely to develop in the settled regime, these more likely in the Southwest. There is much uncertainty in temperatures for this period, but likely to see above average temperatures for a time.


Tuesday 23 Mar - Tuesday 6 Apr


Into the latter portion of March, the weather across the country will most likely be alternating between more settled spells, especially early on in this period, and wetter, windier periods. Northwestern areas are likely to see the most unsettled conditions, with southeastern areas looking to remain the driest, though overall rainfall amounts are most likely to be around average. Temperatures are largely expected to remain near or a little above average. Some colder spells are possible heading into April, but these are most likely to be fleeting.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/


 

Gavin D
09 March 2021 21:43:16

BBC monthly outlook


Summary


Wet and windy then calmer mid-month


_________________________________


Wednesday 10 March – Sunday 14 March


Unsettled, wet and windy for the rest of the week


The rest of this week will remain unsettled and often very wet and windy, even stormy, with a succession of Atlantic low pressure systems pushing energetic fronts and troughs across the UK. This set-up could bring a risk of localised flooding, as well as potential for disruptive winds.


On Wednesday, Northern Ireland and Scotland will be drier for a while with just a few showers scattered around, wintry over high ground in Northern Scotland. However, a new band of rain will soon start to move across Northern Ireland from the southwest and then continue into Scotland. Meanwhile, England and Wales will have rain through most of the day, easing in the evening. Winds will strengthen everywhere, with gusts of 50-55 mph possible inland and 60-70mph over exposed coasts and hills, especially in the west and northwest. Rain will continue over Scotland and Northern Ireland overnight but change to scattered showers in England and Wales.


Thursday will be less wet with further showers rather than widespread rain, most of them in northern and western areas. Some will be wintry over high ground in the north, chiefly in Scotland, and in all areas there will be a risk of isolated hail and thunderstorms. Strong winds will continue into the morning but gradually ease through the afternoon and evening. Friday and Saturday will be similar, with blustery showers, mainly in the north and west, some of them heavy with a risk of hail and thunder, while northern high ground has further wintry showers. Southeast England will have fewer showers and more sunshine. Overnight there is a chance of more widespread rain for a while, and on Sunday another band of rain could pass through.


Monday 15 March – Sunday 21 March


Drier and less windy for a while


Rain or showers could linger into Monday but indications are for a change in the pattern early next week. Although timing is uncertain, it looks like a ridge of high pressure will build by Tuesday and linger through midweek into the second half of the week. The position of this ridge will be crucial to the weather type but there is moderate confidence that it will at least cut off the path of Atlantic low pressure systems and steer them farther north.


Scotland and Northern Ireland might still be susceptible to a couple of bands of frontal rain but for most areas this high pressure should mean a drier few days with more sunshine and much less wind, although fog could be possible overnight. An alternate scenario has the high a little farther south which would mean risks of occasional rainfall moving southwards. This is about a 30 per cent chance and has some support from similar setups in the past. One model pushes the expected high pressure centre farther north, which would induce colder north to north-easterly wind flows and bring a risk of wintry showers, mainly to northern and eastern areas but this looks to be a low risk at the moment. More likely, colder air will stay away to the east.


The end of next week has low confidence. High pressure could weaken and slip away but just where it moves to will dictate the weather pattern. Most likely it will shift into the Atlantic and allow cooler west to northwest flows to develop and bring occasional ran bands west and southwards. This change could hold off until the following week, while there is also still a minor risk that a colder north to northeast flow develops for a couple of days.


Monday 22 March – Sunday 4 April


A typically unsettled spring period is expected


For the end of March and first part of April, an unsettled pattern is expected with the main low pressure track shifting back southwards. This will probably bring wetter conditions back across the country with occasional stronger winds and greater fluctuations in temperatures ahead of and behind these systems. There is greater potential for some stronger weather fronts to push in from the Atlantic, so although there can be no specifics this far ahead, there will at least be potential for some stormy days to return.


Temperatures should be near normal averaged through the week but with fluctuations as frontal systems come and go, and some temporary chillier northwest winds are possible in between. Of course, there is no way to identify timing of fronts this far ahead but this broadly unsettled pattern has support from both models and similar past setups. High pressure reasonably close by could occasionally extend a ridge across the country and allow some temporary drier and calmer spells.


Position and strength of that nearby high pressure remains uncertain in model outlooks, so larger scale statistical forecasts come into play. Strong signals for Pacific Ocean temperature anomalies in the tropics as well as higher-than-normal tropical rainfall in Africa in mid-March tend to point towards the unsettled outlook for the UK.


Like the middle of March, the main alternate scenario would be for high pressure to be more dominant and closer to the country, potentially right overhead, which would mean drier and calmer conditions through late March and into early April. This has about a 30% probability.


Further ahead


Will March go out like a lamb as the proverb says? Or more like a lion as the forecast indicates? We will see if it starts to bare its teeth.


https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook


 

Gavin D
10 March 2021 15:09:39

Monday 15 Mar - Wednesday 24 Mar


At the start of this period, the weather is likely to start to settle down with high pressure building from the SW. Temperatures will likely be near or a little above average at first, but chilly at night with rural frost. Southern areas are likely to see primarily settled conditions, with a good deal of dry weather, though some rain remains possible at times. However, there is more uncertainty across northern areas, where spells of rain and stronger winds are more likely at times, though still with some reasonable drier interludes. Furthermore, some morning fog patches are likely to develop in the settled regime, these more likely in the Southwest. There is much uncertainty in temperatures for this period, but likely to see above average temperatures for a time.


Wednesday 24 Mar - Wednesday 7 Apr


Into the latter portion of March, the weather across the country will most likely be alternating between more settled spells, especially early on in this period, and wetter, windier periods. Northwestern areas are likely to see the most unsettled conditions, with southeastern areas looking to remain the driest, though overall rainfall amounts are most likely to be around average. Temperatures are largely expected to remain near or a little above average. Some colder spells are possible heading into April, but these are most likely to be fleeting.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/


 

Gavin D
11 March 2021 15:14:30

Tuesday 16 Mar - Thursday 25 Mar


At the start of this period, the weather is likely to begin settling down with high pressure building from the southwest. Temperatures will likely be near or a little above average at first, but chilly at night with rural frost. Southern and western areas are likely to see primarily settled conditions, with a good deal of dry weather, though some rain remains possible at times. However, there is more uncertainty across northern and eastern areas, where spells of rain, showers and stronger winds are more likely, though still with some reasonable drier interludes. Some morning fog patches are likely to develop in the settled regime, most likely in the southwest. There is much uncertainty in temperatures for this period, but likely to see above average temperatures for a time.


Thursday 25 Mar - Thursday 8 Apr


Into the latter portion of March, the weather across the country will most likely be alternating between more settled spells, especially early on in this period, and wetter, windier periods. Northwestern areas are likely to see the most unsettled conditions, with southeastern areas looking to remain the driest, though overall rainfall amounts are most likely to be around average. Temperatures are largely expected to remain near or a little above average. Some colder spells are possible heading into April, but these are most likely to be fleeting.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/


 

Gavin D
12 March 2021 14:30:21

Wednesday 17 Mar - Friday 26 Mar


The start of the period is likely to see largely settled conditions. This will give dry weather for most, though some showers are possible, mainly in the north and east. There is a risk of morning frost and fog patches, particularly in the west. Temperatures potentially colder than average in the south, particularly the south east, but likely milder across the north. The end of the period will most likely see another period of unsettled weather, with spells of rain and some strong winds crossing all parts of the UK, interspersed with drier and brighter interludes. Temperatures are expected to be at or slightly below average for this time of year by the end of the period.


Thursday 25 Mar - Thursday 8 Apr


Into the latter portion of March, the weather across the country will most likely be alternating between more settled spells, especially early on in this period, and wetter, windier periods. Northwestern areas are likely to see the most unsettled conditions, with southeastern areas looking to remain the driest, though overall rainfall amounts are most likely to be around average. Temperatures are largely expected to remain near or a little above average. Some colder spells are possible heading into April, but these are most likely to be fleeting.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/


 

Gavin D
12 March 2021 19:16:44

BBC monthly outlook


Summary


Turning drier then wet again. Drier April


_________________________________


Saturday 13 March – Sunday 21 March


Unsettled for a while longer then becoming drier


Saturday will have blustery showers, mainly across the north and west, some of them briefly heavy with a risk of hail and thunder. Northern high ground will have sleet or snow showers. Southeast and eastern England will be drier with sunny spells but a few isolated showers are possible. On Sunday, a new frontal system will move across from the northwest, bringing rain to all areas. This will be followed by scattered showers during the evening and night, although becoming confined to northern and western areas, with the gusty winds easing.


Monday should be largely dry with just the odd isolated shower as a ridge of high pressure topples across the UK. However, this will be a rather weak feature, and a new frontal system will move towards Scotland and Northern Ireland, bringing rain during the evening with some sleet or snow for the Highlands. Overnight, rain will also spread across Wales and England, although it might not quite reach eastern and southernmost England.


During Tuesday, rain will reach all areas and it should linger across the eastern half of the country through to the evening. Northern Ireland, Wales, western Scotland and southwest England will become drier with some sunshine developing through the afternoon.


Wednesday onwards will be drier with some sunshine as high pressure builds. Any patchy drizzle should die away and there will be some sunshine for most also a chance of overnight frost and fog patches. High pressure should gradually weaken, though, which might allow some rain to start moving in from the northwest on Sunday or Sunday night. An alternate scenario takes high pressure farther northwest, inducing colder north-easterly flows with wintry showers in the east, and this would be a 20-30% chance.


Monday 22 March – Sunday 28 March


Wet at times early in the week then turning drier


For the end of March, an unsettled pattern is expected as high pressure recedes back to the Atlantic. This will allow the main low pressure track to shift back southwards, with systems moving across the country from the west or northwest and bringing periods of rain and showers with occasional stronger winds. In this sort of set-up, most rain and strongest winds would be expected in northern and western regions. This will also mean greater fluctuations in temperatures ahead of and behind frontal systems. There is higher potential for some stronger systems to develop as the week wears on, and so potential for some stormy days to return but this cannot be pinpointed this far ahead.


Temperatures should be near normal averaged through the week but with fluctuations as frontal systems come and go, and some temporary chillier northwest winds are possible in between. High pressure reasonably close by could occasionally extend a ridge across the country and allow some temporary drier and calmer spells. Confidence is not high on this period of weather because we are seeing some discrepancies in the medium and long range models. Although a return to unsettled weather is the most likely outcome, an alternate scenario could be for that high pressure to build more strongly across the British Isles and maintain more settled, drier and less windy conditions. This is about a 30% chance.


Given the contradictions in the numerical models, larger scale statistical forecasts can be useful. A positive Arctic Oscillation in February often indicates the general dominance of low pressure in the second half of March. Pacific Ocean temperature anomalies in the tropics also tend to point towards the unsettled outlook for the UK.


Monday 29 March – Sunday 11 April


Possibly settling down again for a while


Moving into April, the outlook is very uncertain. While models tell one story the statistical indications are for another. Looking at the models first, both of the major global models suggest a re-build of high pressure, bringing a return to generally settled weather by the end of the first week of April, with less wind and rain than normal during this part of the springtime. Temperatures would most likely be close to normal during the day but the nights could be rather chilly in places, and perhaps foggy.


However, models are struggling with the possible position of this high pressure, and there will always be chances of frontal systems brushing past from time to time, so it will not necessarily be completely dry. Scotland and Northern Ireland would be more likely to see rain from these systems, and an alternate scenario indicates weaker high pressure with chances of unsettled weather returning to a wider area. This is about a 35% chance.
Interestingly, another alternate but lower-risk scenario, around a 15% probability, has high pressure shifting farther north with low pressure developing over the near-continent. This would mean chances of rain and even thundery outbreaks in the south rather than in northern and western areas.


The exact alignment of this expected high pressure is therefore clearly crucial to the outcome and explains the high level of uncertainty through early April.


Further ahead


April showers or a drier start to the month? We will see if models continue to indicate the latter.


https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook


 

Gavin D
13 March 2021 15:15:03

Thursday 18 Mar - Saturday 27 Mar


Largely settled conditions overall are expected at first during this period. This will give dry weather with light winds, with the main chance of rain being in the far north-west, and also the east. There is a risk of morning frost and fog patches, particularly in the west. Temperatures potentially much colder than average in the south, particularly the south east, where showers could be wintry for a time, but likely milder across the north. The end of the period will most likely see another period of unsettled weather, with spells of rain and some strong winds crossing all parts of the UK, interspersed with drier and brighter interludes. Temperatures are expected to be at or slightly below average for this time of year by the end of the period.


Saturday 27 Mar - Saturday 10 Apr


Following an unsettled spell a gradual change back to more settled conditions looks likely during early April. Whilst some areas will still see showers at times, there is likely to be a good deal of dry weather. The focus of any shorter-lived unsettled interludes is more likely to be across the northwest of the UK. Around the turn of the month temperatures are most likely to be around if not a little below average. Temperatures probably remaining around average during early April but with an increased chance of some warmer spells.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/


 

Gavin D
14 March 2021 15:16:25

Friday 19 Mar - Sunday 28 Mar


Largely settled conditions overall are expected at first during this period. This will give dry weather with light winds, with the main chance of rain being in the far north-west, and also the east. There is a risk of morning frost and fog patches, particularly in the west. Temperatures potentially much colder than average in the south, particularly the south east, where showers could be wintry for a time, but likely milder across the north. The end of the period will most likely see another period of unsettled weather, with spells of rain and some strong winds crossing all parts of the UK, interspersed with drier and brighter interludes. Temperatures are expected to be at or slightly below average for this time of year by the end of the period.


Sunday 28 Mar - Sunday 11 Apr


Following an unsettled spell a gradual change back to more settled conditions looks likely during early April. Whilst some areas will still see showers at times, there is likely to be a good deal of dry weather. The focus of any shorter-lived unsettled interludes is more likely to be across the northwest of the UK. Around the turn of the month temperatures are most likely to be around if not a little below average. Temperatures probably remaining around average during early April but with an increased chance of some warmer spells.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/


 

Gavin D
15 March 2021 14:50:35

Saturday 20 Mar - Monday 29 Mar


Largely settled conditions are expected at first during this period. This will give dry weather with light winds, with the main chance of rain being in the far north or northwest. There is a risk of morning frost and fog patches, particularly in the west. Daytime temperatures will potentially be colder than average in the south, particularly the southeast at first, where showers may be wintry at times, and on the milder side elsewhere. The end of the period will most likely see another period of unsettled weather, with spells of rain and some strong winds crossing all parts of the UK, interspersed with drier and brighter interludes. Temperatures are expected to be at or slightly below average for this time of year by the end of the period.


Monday 29 Mar - Monday 12 Apr


Following an unsettled spell, a gradual change back to more settled conditions looks likely during early April. Whilst some areas will still see showers at times, there is likely to be a good deal of dry weather. The focus of any shorter-lived unsettled interludes is more likely to be across the northwest of the UK. Around the turn of the month temperatures are most likely to be around if not a little below average. Temperatures probably remaining around average during early April but with an increased chance of some warmer spells.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/


 

Gavin D
16 March 2021 15:53:56

Sunday 21 Mar - Tuesday 30 Mar


High pressure is likely to remain dominant for many through this period, bringing settled, mainly dry conditions and light winds. Cloud cover will be varied, with sunny spells at times but also the chance of some drizzle or light showers. There is a continued risk of frosts and localised fog patches on clear nights. However, unsettled conditions will gradually move in from the northwest through this period. Strengthened westerly winds could bring fontal zones, rain, and thicker cloud to northern and western areas intermittently, being interspersed with drier and brighter spells. Occasionally these conditions may reach central areas, but southeastern areas will likely stay largely dry. Temperatures are expected to be near or milder than average, though short-lived cooler interludes could occur in the showery conditions following weather fronts.


Tuesday 30 Mar - Tuesday 13 Apr


Going into April, settled conditions are likely to continue in southern and eastern areas, where a good deal of dry and bright weather will occur. The weather in the northwest will be changeable and unsettled, and there is a slight possibility that some of the wet and windy weather may push southwards into central areas at times, allowing clearer but showery weather into the northwest. Conditions look to be drier than average for most. Temperatures are expected to be near or milder than average, with any cooler interludes likely to be short-lived, and mostly in the north. With the year progressing and temperatures warming, there is an increased chance of afternoon showers, even in the settled southeast.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/

fairweather
17 March 2021 12:01:01

Originally Posted by: doctormog 


 


He’s a decent drummer too. 



..... and a dapper dresser 


S.Essex, 42m ASL
Gavin D
17 March 2021 15:46:53

Monday 22 Mar - Wednesday 31 Mar


High pressure is likely to remain dominant for many through this period, bringing settled, mainly dry conditions and light winds. Cloud cover will be varied, with sunny spells at times but also the chance of some drizzle or light showers. There is a continued risk of frosts and localised fog patches on clear nights. However, unsettled conditions will gradually move in from the northwest through this period. Strengthened westerly winds could bring frontal zones, rain, and thicker cloud to northern and western areas intermittently, these being interspersed with drier, brighter spells. Occasionally these conditions may reach central areas, but southeastern areas will likely stay largely dry. Temperatures are expected to be near to or milder than average, though short-lived cooler interludes could occur in the showery conditions following weather fronts.


Wednesday 31 Mar - Wednesday 14 Apr


Going into April, settled conditions are likely to continue in southern and eastern areas, where a good deal of dry and bright weather will occur. The weather in the northwest will be changeable and unsettled, and there is a slight possibility that some of the wet and windy weather may push southwards into central areas at times, allowing clearer but showery weather into the northwest. Conditions look to be drier than average for most. Temperatures are expected to be near to or milder than average, with any cooler interludes likely to be short-lived, and mostly in the north. With the year progressing and temperatures warming, there is an increased chance of afternoon showers, even in the settled southeast.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/


 

Gavin D
17 March 2021 20:46:53

BBC monthly outlook


Summary


A changeable end to March. Drier, settled in April


_________________________________


Wednesday 17 March – Sunday 21 March


Drier for most with a cooler weekend in the South


From Wednesday onwards this week the weather will turn drier for most with some sunshine as high pressure builds. However, eastern areas may be clipped by some patchy rain or drizzle moving southwest through the North Sea, especially on Thursday. These winds will bring in some colder air from Scandinavia too, but only in the south-east of the UK. High pressure will remain in place throughout the rest of the working week and the weekend, keeping things mostly dry but with plenty of cloud around at times.


A north-south temperature contrast is likely to develop into the weekend, with the south and south-east of England seeing below average temperatures while the rest of the country is near or a bit above average. Clearer skies and calm winds in the south will lead to some widespread frost overnight on the weekend mornings. Meanwhile, cloudier skies and a warmer air mass in Scotland will keep things above freezing, leading to a peculiar situation where London is likely to freeze while Glasgow stays well above zero!


There is potential for a weak weather front to push into western areas late on Saturday or perhaps Sunday, bringing some patchy rain. This is dependent on the strength of high pressure overhead, which may well keep this front offshore to the west.


Monday 22 March – Sunday 28 March


Wet at times early in the week then turning drier


For the end of March, an unsettled pattern is expected as high pressure recedes back to the Atlantic. This will allow the main low pressure track to shift back southwards, with weakened weather systems moving across the country from the northwest. In this sort of set-up, most rain would be expected in northern and western regions, while eastern and southern areas see lighter, patchier rain, if any. However, high pressure is likely to return from the middle of the week, bringing drier conditions and milder air from the southwest again. This high will keep moving eastwards in contrast with the high from this week that will be largely stationary, so the dry weather will be shorter-lived.


Temperatures should be near normal averaged through the week but with fluctuations as frontal systems come and go, some temporary chillier northwest winds are possible early on. Confidence is not high on this period of weather because we are seeing some discrepancies in the medium and long-range computer models. Although we expect the weather to be unsettled with some lengthy dry spells, there is a possibility that high pressure will be much more dominant and keep things very dry, cloudy, and a bit colder than normal. This is about a 30% chance.


As is typical every spring, the computer models are really struggling with pressure patterns as we head into April, which is hampering our forecast confidence. This happens because the mid-latitude regions are beginning to warm up from their winter state, and this warmth gives weather systems more energy. The energy boost causes them to be a bit more unpredictable in the long-range.


Monday 29 March – Sunday 11 April


Possibly settling down again later in April


Moving into April, the outlook is very uncertain. While models tell one story, our statistical forecasts (where we examine previous years with similar large-scale weather patterns around the globe) are for another. Looking at the computer models first, they suggest a re-build of high pressure, bringing a return to generally settled weather by the second week of April, with less wind and rain than normal during this part of the springtime. Temperatures would most likely be close to normal during the day, but the nights could be rather chilly in places, and perhaps foggy. The computer models have been consistently forecasting a very dry, high pressure dominated pattern all through March which has so far failed to materialise. There are some encouraging signs that this will eventually develop later in April, so perhaps the adage that a broken clock is still right twice a day has some merit here.


However, models are struggling with the possible position of this high pressure, and there will always be chances of frontal systems brushing past from time to time, so it will not necessarily be completely dry. Scotland and Northern Ireland would be more likely to see rain from these systems, and an alternate scenario indicates weaker high pressure with chances of unsettled weather returning to a wider area. This is about a 35% chance.


Interestingly, another alternate but lower-risk scenario, around a 10% probability, has high pressure shifting farther north with low pressure developing over the near-continent. This would mean chances of rain and even thundery outbreaks in the south rather than in northern and western areas.


Further ahead


We will be able to examine early April for more detail and perhaps pin down the likelihood of a drier middle of spring versus some proverbial April showers.


https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook


 

Gavin D
18 March 2021 16:43:50

Tuesday 23 Mar - Thursday 1 Apr


High pressure is likely to remain dominant for many through this period, bringing settled, mainly dry conditions and light winds. Cloud cover will be varied, with sunny spells at times but also the chance of some drizzle or light showers. There is a continued risk of frosts and localised fog patches on clear nights. However, unsettled conditions will gradually move in from the northwest through this period. Strengthened westerly winds could bring frontal zones, rain, and thicker cloud to northern and western areas intermittently, these being interspersed with drier, brighter spells. Occasionally these conditions may reach central areas, but southeastern areas will likely stay largely dry. Temperatures are expected to be near to or milder than average, though short-lived cooler interludes could occur in the showery conditions following weather fronts.


Thursday 1 Apr - Thursday 15 Apr


Going into April, settled conditions are likely to continue in southern and eastern areas, where a good deal of dry and bright weather will occur. The weather in the northwest will be changeable and unsettled, and there is a slight possibility that some of the wet and windy weather may push southwards into central areas at times, allowing clearer but showery weather into the northwest. Conditions look to be drier than average for most. Temperatures are expected to be near to or milder than average, with any cooler interludes likely to be short-lived, and mostly in the north. With the year progressing and temperatures warming, there is an increased chance of afternoon showers, even in the settled southeast.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/


 

Gavin D
20 March 2021 15:33:43

Thursday 25 Mar - Saturday 3 Apr


Bands of rain are likely to move in from the northwest, with the heaviest rain across northern and western parts of the UK. Some rain could extend into southeastern areas, bringing unsettled conditions for all at times. Otherwise southeastern parts are most likely to experience the best of any dry and sunny conditions. The strongest winds are likely to be across far northern and northwestern areas, with winds possibly being from fresh to strong across other parts too. Unsettled conditions may continue in the northwest through to the end of March. Temperatures are expected to be near to or a little above average, although short-lived cooler interludes could occur in the showery conditions following any weather fronts.


Saturday 3 Apr - Saturday 17 Apr


At the start of this period, unsettled and changeable conditions are likely to continue across northwestern areas. However, high pressure may spread northwards through early April, which will bring a period of settled conditions for most. Following this, drier than average and brighter conditions may prevail, with areas away from the far northwest of the country receiving below average rainfall. Temperatures will mostly be around average or above, with any cooler periods likely to be short-lived, and mostly across northern areas.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/


 

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