Gooner
30 December 2020 19:34:09

Originally Posted by: Snow Hoper 

Latest BBC forecast suggests less cold as we move into this weekend with temps widely 5C and 6C.


Chart image


Fits in with the ENS before a drop off 


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Gavin D
31 December 2020 15:07:25

Tuesday 5 Jan - Thursday 14 Jan


The start of the period will see showers in the east becoming lighter and more isolated. These are likely wintry over high ground, and may become wintry over lower levels, particularly overnight. More extensive spells of precipitation will spread across the south and southeast, though it is unclear how far north they will spread. Dry and sunny weather likely elsewhere, especially in sheltered locations in the west and northwest. Wintry hazards, particularly frost, are likely throughout the period, especially in the north and west. Patchy freezing fog is also likely in the northwest. There is a chance for more organised rain to develop, along with strong winds, but confidence on this is currently low. Temperatures remaining colder than average for this time of year.


Thursday 14 Jan - Thursday 28 Jan


Through the second half of the month the chance of colder than average conditions remain most likely, although occasional milder spells are possible. There is potential for unsettled conditions to develop across the south bringing above average precipitation, although the risk of wintry hazards will persist nationwide.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/


 

dagspot
31 December 2020 21:59:13

‘Cold air to surge (exaggerated tone) down from the northwest towards end of next week’
Darker blue graphics and snow seen on zoomed out graphics...


Says Ben Rich  BBC weather for week


Neilston 600ft ASL
Gavin D
01 January 2021 14:28:04

Wednesday 6 Jan - Friday 15 Jan


Scattered showers will feed across eastern parts of the UK during Wednesday with a chance of more prolonged rain and hill snow across the southeast later. Elsewhere it will be mostly fine and cold, although some sleet and snow is likely to reach the far northwest by the end of the day. For the rest of the week and into the weekend conditions are likely to turn more widely unsettled with a mixture of rain, sleet and snow for many parts of the UK. Overnight frosts and icy stretches are also expected with temperatures below average. By the middle of January conditions will probably begin to become a little less cold with the potential for periods of rain and strong winds.


Friday 15 Jan - Friday 29 Jan


During the middle of January unsettled conditions are likely to affect southern and central parts of the UK with drier weather expected for the north and west. Whilst generally remaining colder than average some milder interludes are possible in the south. Toward the end of the month colder conditions become more probable, this bringing an increasing chance of snow.


https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/


 

Joe Bloggs
01 January 2021 14:30:14

Surprised nobody has posted the latest MetO update 


UK long range weather forecast




Scattered showers will feed across eastern parts of the UK during Wednesday with a chance of more prolonged rain and hill snow across the southeast later. Elsewhere it will be mostly fine and cold, although some sleet and snow is likely to reach the far northwest by the end of the day. For the rest of the week and into the weekend conditions are likely to turn more widely unsettled with a mixture of rain, sleet and snow for many parts of the UK. Overnight frosts and icy stretches are also expected with temperatures below average. By the middle of January conditions will probably begin to become a little less cold with the potential for periods of rain and strong winds.


Updated:





During the middle of January unsettled conditions are likely to affect southern and central parts of the UK with drier weather expected for the north and west. Whilst generally remaining colder than average some milder interludes are possible in the south. Toward the end of the month colder conditions become more probable, this bringing an increasing chance of snow.


Updated:


www.MetO.gov.uk


Hints at the effects of a SSW towards the end of Jan? 




Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL

Joe Bloggs
01 January 2021 14:31:18
Beat me to it.

Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL

Gooner
01 January 2021 14:41:53

Toward the end of the month colder conditions become more probable, this bringing an increasing chance of snow.


I wonder if they are linking that to a SSW


 


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


White Meadows
01 January 2021 15:13:29

Originally Posted by: Gooner 


Toward the end of the month colder conditions become more probable, this bringing an increasing chance of snow.


I wonder if they are linking that to a SSW


 


Almost certainly, yes. They are rarely so bullish this far out, about something right at the end of the forecast range.

marting
01 January 2021 15:17:43

Yes, positive signs of their views of the SSW outcome and impact on UK. Matches what others have said about a slightly milder spell followed by the SSW impacts.


Martin


Martin
Greasby, Wirral.
Rob K
01 January 2021 15:34:15
Frustrating that, certainly for the south, there seems little of interest until towards the end of the month.
Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl
"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome
dagspot
Whiteout
01 January 2021 16:44:23

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

Frustrating that, certainly for the south, there seems little of interest until towards the end of the month.


 


Patience Rob, am loving that update 👍


Home/Work - Dartmoor
240m/785 ft asl

Winter 22/23:

Snow falling days - 3
Snow lying days - 3
dagspot
01 January 2021 21:59:35

BBC Ben getting giddy again with ‘northwest flow’ ‘low pressures’ ‘cold side of Jet’ and ‘snow to low levels’


Neilston 600ft ASL
phlippy67
01 January 2021 22:53:59
Pretty underwhelming LRF really for most in my opinion, just general winter conditions with snow for some who live at elevation or a sweet spot where favourable conditions occur, this period showed so much promise with charts not seen for years yet it's failing to deliver anything memorable...
ballamar
02 January 2021 07:47:41
https://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/latest-news/uk-weather-long-range-forecast-23250378#source=breaking-news 

Brian linked in a report about 30 inches of snow 😂. When in truth he mentions rain sleet and snow. The media like to mix their data up
dagspot
02 January 2021 11:26:24
‘Fears of new beast from the east’
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/uk-weather-forecast-met-office-b1781431.html 

Neilston 600ft ASL
doctormog
02 January 2021 11:29:18

Originally Posted by: dagspot 

‘Fears of new beast from the east’
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/uk-weather-forecast-met-office-b1781431.html


”Similar” to the Beast from the East in that the winds will be from the east? 


Gooner
02 January 2021 11:39:34

Chris Fawkes seemed quite  confident of more snow towards the end of the week for lower ground 


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


marting
02 January 2021 12:51:51

METO update also seem confident of more sleet and snow more widely. They also fancy some sleep!




Areas of rain, sleep and snow make erratic southeast progress into Thursday, with wintry showers mostly affecting coastal districts in central and southern areas. Elsewhere is likely to be fine and dry with some sunny spells, though freezing fog patches may also be likely for some. For the rest of the week, conditions are likely to turn more widely unsettled with a mixture of rain, sleet and snow for many areas. Overnight frosts and icy stretches are also expected with temperatures below average. A chance that by the middle of January conditions may become a little less cold and unsettled for a time at least across the south, although wintry hazards are still possible in many areas.


Updated:





Confidence is low during this time but more unsettled conditions may continue to affect at least southern and central parts of the UK, with drier and colder weather being retrained in the north. Whilst generally remaining colder than average some milder interludes are possible in the south. Later in the month an increased chance of colder conditions returning nationwide. Throughout there is a risk of snowfall and other wintry hazards.


An interest update and plenty of interest going forward 


Martin



Martin
Greasby, Wirral.
Brian Gaze
02 January 2021 13:26:15

Originally Posted by: marting 


METO update also seem confident of more sleet and snow more widely. They also fancy some sleep!




Areas of rain, sleep and snow make erratic southeast progress into Thursday, with wintry showers mostly affecting coastal districts in central and southern areas. Elsewhere is likely to be fine and dry with some sunny spells, though freezing fog patches may also be likely for some. For the rest of the week, conditions are likely to turn more widely unsettled with a mixture of rain, sleet and snow for many areas. Overnight frosts and icy stretches are also expected with temperatures below average. A chance that by the middle of January conditions may become a little less cold and unsettled for a time at least across the south, although wintry hazards are still possible in many areas.


Updated:





Confidence is low during this time but more unsettled conditions may continue to affect at least southern and central parts of the UK, with drier and colder weather being retrained in the north. Whilst generally remaining colder than average some milder interludes are possible in the south. Later in the month an increased chance of colder conditions returning nationwide. Throughout there is a risk of snowfall and other wintry hazards.


An interest update and plenty of interest going forward 


Martin




I like the idea of the UK's weather being retrained. 


Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
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