6Z GFS already showing more ridging across the south by Monday.

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Still a long way out yet, but GFS suggesting some blistering conditions over Spain and southern France.
https://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU06_300_2.png 

Still a long way out yet, but GFS suggesting some blistering conditions over Spain and southern France.
https://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU06_300_2.png

 

45+ there - That will be  coming in our direction probably a week or so later.

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45+ there - That will be  coming in our direction probably a week or so later.

Fingers crossed it doesn't and we get some nice storms instead 

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45+ there - That will be  coming in our direction probably a week or so later.

So what’s it to be? Moomin’s cold washout July, or Hungary’s 45C record heatwave?

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So what’s it to be? Moomin’s cold washout July, or Hungary’s 45C record heatwave?

 

I'm going for the odds-on favourite called "Somewhere In Between"

 

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I'm going for the odds-on favourite called "Somewhere In Between"

 

Probably right but with that sort of heat down to our south in early July it would surely be odds on to give us proper blast of the hairdryer at some point.

We've already exceeded forecasts with 27C reached here and 27.6C at Charlwood.

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I'm going for the odds-on favourite called "Somewhere In Between"

Brave choice.

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Brave choice.

 

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Probably right but with that sort of heat down to our south in early July it would surely be odds on to give us proper blast of the hairdryer at some point.

We've already exceeded forecasts with 27C reached here and 27.6C at Charlwood.

 

Nonetheless, I still think 45c is going to be a tad beyond us...

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Nonetheless, I still think 45c is going to be a tad beyond us...

I don't think HT was suggesting that we would get 45C, just saying that it was showing 45C in Spain and that airmass would be heading our way 

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When the UKMO model starts showing an Azores ridge, I get a little bit more interested. The 12z does just that. There is a fairly potent little low in the mid Atlantic too which could sweep the ridge away, but a much more promising 12z for sure.

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When the UKMO model starts showing an Azores ridge, I get a little bit more interested. The 12z does just that. There is a fairly potent little low in the mid Atlantic too which could sweep the ridge away, but a much more promising 12z for sure.

 

Yes the higher pressure 12z at it again.

 

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When the UKMO model starts showing an Azores ridge, I get a little bit more interested. The 12z does just that. There is a fairly potent little low in the mid Atlantic too which could sweep the ridge away, but a much more promising 12z for sure.

 

As an aside, I don't get anything like as excited about an Azores ridge as I do about a high settling just to our north or our east.

The pressure pattern of May & June 2018 was, for me, perfect, with an easterly  or south-easterly breeze.

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So what’s it to be? Moomin’s cold washout July, or Hungary’s 45C record heatwave?

I doubt Hungary would ever get as hot as that!?

Oh Mooms, this isn’t looking too good for you old boy;

http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT2_London_ens.png 

Oh Mooms, this isn’t looking too good for you old boy;

http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT2_London_ens.png

Maybe the weather will be different in Moomin Valley. 

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Oh Mooms, this isn’t looking too good for you old boy;

http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT2_London_ens.png

You do realise that shows average maximum temps of around or just below 20c and average pressure around 1010 to1015 mb, which would equate to relatively cool and unsettled conditions at the surface with showery troughs? I think you're misreading that if you think it is settled and warm.

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You do realise that shows average maximum temps of around or just below 20c and average pressure around 1010 to1015 mb, which would equate to relatively cool and unsettled conditions at the surface with showery troughs? I think you're misreading that if you think it is settled and warm.

I suggest we name this one Moomin. 

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I suggest we name this one Moomin. 

Storm Moomin has a ring to it. A lovely channel low in July. 🙃

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