Eta is looking far more organised/compact compared to last night.

I'm not convinced it's still only a depression - mid table tropical storm I'd say it looks.

Air hunter has found it to be stronger at 50mph which is more like what the satellite would suggest.

 

Doh..... That's because it's now been updated, silly boy.  The earlier update said it was still just a disorganised cluster of thunderstorms with some evidence of a new centre forming.

Not when you posted the link it wasn't, and it's been a depression since it moves out to sea. 

 

Not when you posted the link it wasn't, and it's been a depression since it moves out to sea. 

Look at the time stamp and then look at the time of my post.

You're wrong.

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Look at the time stamp and then look at the time of my post.

You're wrong.

You are so childish 🙄  I checked it 35 minutes after you posted it and it was a topical depression in that link. It has always kept its tropical depression status (or above) as a minimum since making landfal - it never became a remnant low.  

 

You are so childish 🙄  I checked it 35 minutes after you posted it and it was a topical depression in that link. It has always kept its tropical depression status (or above) as a minimum since making landfal - it never became a remnant low.  

I've looked back at the NHC discussion and it says  "Satellite images show a large area of deep convection associated with Eta, but there is not much organization to the thunderstorm activity. An ASCAT-A pass from several hours ago showed that the circulation of Eta has become a little better defined, and the center was located a fair distance to the west-southwest of what was previously analyzed. The pass also showed that Eta has not strengthened to a tropical storm yet, with the maximum winds in the 25-30 kt range."

Given it said 'not much organisation' and then 'a little better organised' I interpreted that as meaning there wasn't a coherent system at that point.  That was the point I was making. 

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I've looked back at the NHC discussion and it says  "Satellite images show a large area of deep convection associated with Eta, but there is not much organization to the thunderstorm activity. An ASCAT-A pass from several hours ago showed that the circulation of Eta has become a little better defined, and the center was located a fair distance to the west-southwest of what was previously analyzed. The pass also showed that Eta has not strengthened to a tropical storm yet, with the maximum winds in the 25-30 kt range."

Given it said 'not much organisation' and then 'a little better organised' I interpreted that as meaning there wasn't a coherent system at that point.  That was the point I was making. 

Point is it was a tropical depression and this is what you said it wasn't (for some bizarre reason) despite NHC saying it was. 

Eta now back up to 65mph and could be a hurricane as it approaches Florida - Cuba might be the only thing stopping this from bombing out.

 

Point is it was a tropical depression and this is what you said it wasn't (for some bizarre reason) despite NHC saying it was. 

If it doesn’t have a circulation is it a depression?

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Never mind quibbling over arbitrary definitions, Eta was at one point in its history powerful enough to kill 100+ people in Guatemala and create devastation there. 

It now seems that it'll cause some damage as it briefly passes over Cuba before there's a good chance of further intensification over he warm waters over the Florida Straits, perhaps to hurricane level. Because of weak steering, it's gong to hang around of the Gulf Coast of Florida for some time, and NHC is forecasting serious damage through heavy rain and especially storm surge.

Finally in 3 or 4 days' time, there's even the possibility of it recurving to landfall in NW Florida

https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2020/11/eta-regains-tropical-storm-status-heads-for-florida/

 

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Eta now forecasted to be a hurricane as it crosses the Florida key's.

I wouldn't be surprised if it attained major hurricane strength again over the next few days as it sits out in the GOM.

It appears looking at the satellite that Eta drifted a little north then expected over Florida overnight halting it's strengthening for now. Still expected to strengthen when it moves back out to sea.

Eta not quite up to expectations, staying offshore and moving slowly north as a TS over the next few days, not that the west coast of Florid won't have flooding and storm surge. Meanwhile Theta has popped up in mid-Atlantic and is forecast to move across as a TS north of the Canaries, while yet another quite promising disturbance has appeared in the Caribbean (60% chance of development in 5 days - by the standards of this season, that makes it sound like a certainty). Next name up is Iota.

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🌀#Eta just keeps getting weirder.

Check out the latest spaghetti plot. Throwing the dab on Jacksonville. 🤨 pic.twitter.com/rQaMS1OPid

— Griffin Hardy (@GriffinHardyWX) November 10, 2020

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Eta not quite up to expectations, staying offshore and moving slowly north as a TS over the next few days, not that the west coast of Florid won't have flooding and storm surge. Meanwhile Theta has popped up in mid-Atlantic and is forecast to move across as a TS north of the Canaries, while yet another quite promising disturbance has appeared in the Caribbean (60% chance of development in 5 days - by the standards of this season, that makes it sound like a certainty). Next name up is Iota.

Will anyone care (about) one Iota?

😉

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Will anyone care (about) one Iota?

😉

 but joking aside, probability of development is up to 80% so needs watching.

Eta has got a move on and forecast a move to landfall as TS in NW Florida

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 but joking aside, probability of development is up to 80% so needs watching.

Eta has got a move on and forecast a move to landfall as TS in NW Florida

Do we have an ETA for that, DEW?

R.

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Eta now a hurricane again.

 

Do we have an ETA for that, DEW?

R.

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Do we have an ETA for that, DEW?

R.

After we pass Iota, I'll think up some joke to Kappa all of these

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After we past Iota, I'll think up some joke to Kappa all of these

I had considered that but controlled myself, David! Would have been like a λ to the slaughter....

R

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