Hmm, Page 42 date Oct. 28th 2019.
The years that end with 08,09 seem to favour our Normal Autumn Weather Sequences.
Will this Locked in Low Pressure pattern happen as forecasted over the UK, I think it is good to check the forecast models at the T72 to T192 range.
What matters is how long it rains- how heavy and how large an area get’s hmm. Breaks in these wet and windy spells are a feature we know a lot- dry spells with lighter winds. They are good.
Under the 72-96 hr time frame it is a good idea to see where we are position in the Jetsream and if it settles down we can see some interest that points us at dry and nice weather. If it gets windy and wet it will be or not and be changed as we get closer to those days- no point saying we are confident in cold and dry condictions returning to the UK.
Page 42. Nice model output today but it does not appear to show much in the way of cold and wintry weather.