Thanks. I can see the similarly to what is forecast for next week.

Just checking my camera roll for that date - we had falling snow here but it didn't settle.

I literally just did the same and it did snow and settle that day in Stratford.

Stansted area had about 6 inches of snow from that

unfortunantly it was a propper M4 north event, I was in Southampton at a friends and decided to leave early in the morning, it took 6 hours to get back to home in the Cotswolds where there was 8+ inches and my car got stuck numerous times!

Impressive. I think the last time I had 6 inches or more here may have been January 1987. (Feb 91 and the very end of Nov 2010 came close, but didn't quite make it. In Feb 2009 there was 8-10 inches about ten miles to the north, but we had to make do with 2.)

6z GEFS has shifted colder again.

Shades of January 1984, best chance of wintry weather north of the M4 while I have regular southerly gales and cold rain at this end of Kent.

Well it fell as snow on low ground in Essex at 10.00 am this morning, just across the Estuary from you. And it settled very briefly.

Quite a lot of scatter in the 06z chart but the mean is still at or below -5 @ 850hpa from 29th Jan and the Op run is more in line with the mean:

Last Wednesday's 12z GFS control run had it perfectly as an outlier. The op run was a cold outlier.  By Thursday the mild blip was gone on all outcomes! Just goes to show ........

yes it was a complete bust for some, though if I remember correctly there was some freezing drizzle that made things hazardous 

Positive but to be taken as a pinch of salt after this week's easterly failure however a few ensembles going into the freeze (at or below -10 @ 850 hpa) this would denote a north or north easterly!? So potential is still there! I thought after yesterday evenings rubbish 12z ECM it was game over but the ECM recovered overnight to what it should be as have the ensembles which have trended colder by a degree or two in general!

Below shows that the potential for HLB is still there!? 

P 15 @ 360

P13 @ 312:

P 18 @ 258:

P 5 @ 384:

Yes, even the mean is shifting 3C between runs.

Indeed Brian. Forget what I said last night, that is the best set of ens this winter.

The GFSP 6z is even better than the GFS op, and is a belter in deep FI with significant HLB and frigid 850s heading our way from the East.

Epping Forest got hammered in that event. Superb day.

Yes, the 6z GFS P looks particularly cold with 850 hPA temps stuck between -6 and -8 throughout the period 120 - 324hrs for much of the UK!  This should provide the constant threat of snow for many throughout, albeit with temps likely to be above freezing in most parts.  Still unfavourable IMBY for snow but with four visits planned to Wembley Stadium between 30/1 and 13/2 I might be in for some travel disruption at some point!

Here is the 6z GFS P at 240hrs!

Waiting game

And a long wait it has been - I just hope the models don't get our hopes up again only to be let down!? 

Great spot looks similar to next week. I got about 10cm from that event it was marginal though as went from snow to rain back to snow. 

Less mild ones than yesterday and some big snow rows showing themselves. Less of an uptick at the end as well . All in all very good.

P15 is a truly frigid run, keeping the uppers below -10C from the 1st to the 9th, apart from a brief blip up to -7.5C on the 6th.

A decent uptick for Brighton

Has it ever snowed in the postwar era in your location?