The Weather Outlook

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Rob K
24 January 2019 13:57:59

 

 

Has it ever snowed in the postwar era in your location?

Originally Posted by: Downpour 

 I have visions of Jason living in a Bond-villain lair surrounded by a moat of lava, and wondering why snow never settles.


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

soperman
24 January 2019 14:04:01

.......So, I am looking for cross-model consensus for T96 & T120.  Am I asking too much?

I suppose the two major opposing features of the outlook is this year's dominance of the AH and the split vortex caused by the SSW and the models are having a devil of a time forecasting how the atmosphere will react accurately.

What is clear is that we have certainly not had a Westerly dominated month and at this point there is no outlook of one either.

So from this upcoming mild interlude, it will only get better for fans of cold weather.


Happily living by the sea in Brixham......but sad to leave the snowy Chiltern Hills after 35 years!
Whiteout
24 January 2019 14:17:11

 

 

Has it ever snowed in the postwar era in your location?

Originally Posted by: Downpour 

LOL  Model related, it does look like with the Model output and the Met forecast in alignment we have a proper old fashioned Wintry week to look forward to 


Home/Work - Dartmoor

240m/785 ft asl

Ally Pally Snowman
24 January 2019 16:09:57

UKMO looking like a marginal snow event for many 120 -144

 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Russwirral
24 January 2019 16:14:00
broad pattern remains the same out to 120. with a little pulling and push of the systems at times. 120 onwards is where the attention is today though...

eyes down


ballamar
24 January 2019 16:14:14
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU12_144_1.png 

Not sure what’s coming but it looks like something wintry and interesting

Russwirral
24 January 2019 16:18:22
Looks like someones going to score the motherload on this run. Will be interesting to see some of the snow totals.
JACKO4EVER
24 January 2019 16:21:54

 

 

Has it ever snowed in the postwar era in your location?

Originally Posted by: Downpour 

yes we had a dusting the other day- I did mention it in the snow reports 🤣

Ally Pally Snowman
24 January 2019 16:22:11

Big snow event for the south at 150h with the channel low 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Ally Pally Snowman
24 January 2019 16:25:28

12s so far GEM and ICON blow the low up to far west again like yesterday.  UKMO and GFS don't and its a snowfest.


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Rob K
24 January 2019 16:27:34

12s so far GEM and ICON blow the low up to far west again like yesterday.  UKMO and GFS don't and its a snowfest.

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

Unfortunately ICON seems to have been the star performer so far this winter.


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

ballamar
24 January 2019 16:28:06

Big snow event for the south at 150h with the channel low 

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

 

also a lot of cold rain

SnowyHythe(Kent)
24 January 2019 16:31:43
Looking at the jet profile as it stands, that low at 144 could end up in Spain anyway...
Weathermac
24 January 2019 16:37:02

 

yes we had a dusting the other day- I did mention it in the snow reports 🤣

Originally Posted by: JACKO4EVER 

I remember you saying 2010 in the midst of that big freeze it was raining in your location Jacko

Ally Pally Snowman
24 January 2019 16:37:49

 

Unfortunately ICON seems to have been the star performer so far this winter.

Originally Posted by: Rob K 

 

Yes annoyingly so, the model of doom.


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Ally Pally Snowman
24 January 2019 16:43:26

Looking again I'm starting to think the UKMO actually looks more like the ICON at 144h. What does anybody else think?

 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
tallyho_83
24 January 2019 16:45:01

Big snow event for the south at 150h with the channel low 

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

Yes could be a little snow maker esp as it clears southward...it's the 3rd time it's cropped up now :


Home Location - Vixen Tor Close, Okehampton, Devon (221m ASL)

---------------------------------------

Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

David M Porter
24 January 2019 16:48:43

Looking again I'm starting to think the UKMO actually looks more like the ICON at 144h. What does anybody else think?

 

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

It doesn't look at all mild to be, that's for sure.

GFS 12z starting to look quite interesting as we go further into FI.


Lenzie, Glasgow

"A body of men holding themselves accountable to nobody ought not to be trusted by anybody." – Thomas Paine

Clare
24 January 2019 16:56:47
My birthday on the 30th.. I'd happily take a bumper (or even small!) snowfall as a present...!
On the Mid Sussex downs,156m amsl on ridge near Ardingly. Igloo built in our garden,2010, lasted till march !
Ally Pally Snowman
24 January 2019 16:57:40

 

It doesn't look at all mild to be, that's for sure.

GFS 12z starting to look quite interesting as we go further into FI.

Originally Posted by: David M Porter 

 

At 144h UKMO is a great chart but does it go on to look like ICON? 

 


Bishop's Stortford 85m ASL.
Chunky Pea
24 January 2019 17:09:13

GFS 12z starting to look quite interesting as we go further into FI.

Originally Posted by: David M Porter 

I'm giddy with anticipation David:

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU12_384_2.png

Why won't that high just flip off? 


Patrick,

East Galway, Ireland.

JACKO4EVER
24 January 2019 17:17:30

 

I remember you saying 2010 in the midst of that big freeze it was raining in your location Jacko

Originally Posted by: Weathermac 

please stop trolling. You know full well freezing rain was reported in the East Midlands on the occasion in question as other members reported it too. 

Rob K
24 January 2019 17:18:36

Nice south coast snow event this time next week on the GFSP too.


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

tallyho_83
24 January 2019 17:20:14

 

I'm giddy with anticipation David:

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/maps/GFSOPEU12_384_2.png

Why won't that high just flip off? 

Originally Posted by: Chunky Pea 

It's Brexit yet again taking it's toll and the weather punishing us for leaving! - Yet again cold air goes down into the Bulkans and Greece and eventually Turkey! - That want to join the EU). BUt as for the UK - it's the same old really!


Home Location - Vixen Tor Close, Okehampton, Devon (221m ASL)

---------------------------------------

Sean Moon

Magical Moon

www.magical-moon.com

David M Porter
24 January 2019 17:26:34

 

 

At 144h UKMO is a great chart but does it go on to look like ICON? 

 

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

We won't get an answer to that one Ally as T144 is as far ahead as the UKMO runs go.

For me, generally speaking, it is a case of steady as she goes at the moment. No frigid easterlies on the horizon, but at the same time no return to mild conditions any time soon seems likely once the milder blip of tomorrow and Saturday has passed.


Lenzie, Glasgow

"A body of men holding themselves accountable to nobody ought not to be trusted by anybody." – Thomas Paine

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