Meanwhile Euro 4 suggest laying snow up to 10cms thick around here by tomorrow morning 9am  I simply don't believe it.

Judging by the precip radar that band of snow is pivoting back up country, so some places will get a good covering!  Not me though as I’m in the clear middle bit at the centre!  

Something interesting going on out in the Northern Channel. The snow belt having exited east is now pivoting back away from France and moving NW towards the S.E. Not sure how far it will get but something to keep an eye on.

Something interesting going on out in the Northern Channel. The snow belt having exited east is now pivoting back away from France and moving NW towards the S.E. Not sure how far it will get but something to keep an eye on.

The ICON modelled this well.  As soon as the emerging LP system left the mainland into the channel it would invigorate.  Kent could do well out of this.  

Something interesting going on out in the Northern Channel. The snow belt having exited east is now pivoting back away from France and moving NW towards the S.E. Not sure how far it will get but something to keep an eye on.

Light -Moderate continuous snow +0.7/-0.1 here at sea level on the coast, slushy deposits.  On the tops 130m + where there is a layer and its sub zero.  off to bed.

 

 

The ICON modelled this well.  As soon as the emerging LP system left the mainland into the channel it would invigorate.  Kent could do well out of this.  

East Kent mainly, not here? Out of the first lot I had nothing of note, not even a dusting, yet only a few miles West was witnessing the biggest flakes some had ever seen falling!!!

Looking at the radar and the existing conditions, I would suggest that in the Dover area, that a further 5cms of fresh snow is possible on top of the existing 3cms in the Whitfield area to the north of the town, so more significant than any snowfall since March 2013 potentially, and potentially much deeper than anything the BftE delivered there last year! A finishing total of 10cms is not out of the question. Temperatures are in the region 0 to -1 in the hiller parts there at the moment.

Looking at the radar and the existing conditions, I would suggest that in the Dover area, that a further 5cms of fresh snow is possible on top of the existing 3cms in the Whitfield area to the north of the town, so more significant than any snowfall since March 2013 potentially, and potentially much deeper than anything the BftE delivered there last year! A finishing total of 10cms is not out of the question. Temperatures are in the region 0 to -1 in the hiller parts there at the moment.

Nice

Obviously a proper coastal clipper as over in these parts it cloudy but dry!

Interesting feature slipping southwards tonight.

Interesting feature slipping southwards tonight.

Not another surprise!  Totally amazing last night - Very heavy, quick and totally unexpected.  Orographics at work me suspects!

Interesting feature slipping southwards tonight.

Just noticed that. The temps look to be below freezing too as it moves through. No idea how much to expect of this.

Yes, a cheeky trough wanders down the country overnight giving some snow for some. Picked up nicely on the new 6z T+24 Fax:

Tonight has come as a bit of a surprise! Looks to primarily affect NW England and the Midlands.

UKV shows the possibility of some light snow.

Euro4 shows a line of precipitation https://expert-images.images-weatheronline.com/daten/proficharts/web/en/euro4/2019/01/23/basis06/ukuk/prec/19012406_2306.gif

But suggests rain as DPs are above freezing https://expert-images.images-weatheronline.com/daten/proficharts/web/en/euro4/2019/01/23/basis06/ukuk/taup/19012406_2306.gif

Looks more marginal than last night, eastern parts/Midlands may have more luck (if you get the precipitation).

One to watch.

I'm expecting rain.

I'm expecting rain.

A wise man will always manage expectations.

I'm expecting 20cm of powder!!!

 

 

A wise man will always manage expectations.

 

 

 

 

 

I'm expecting 20cm of powder!!!

 

 

I'll say this quietly - but next week is looking promising for us. For now. 

Tonight's 'event' courtesy of a very weak occluded front moving south ahead of the main warm sector to the west. I wouldn't expect much of this, its a very weak feature indeed. 

Shower activity associated with the trough developing nicely now in S. Scotland. MetO Auto going for light snow/heavy snow IMBY from 2am to 7am. We'll see...

 

Nice

Obviously a proper coastal clipper as over in these parts it cloudy but dry!

The sweet spot had around 7-8cms of fresh snow by 0930 this morning.  This has melted and compacted to a stodgy 3-4cms.

The most significant snowfall locally on the hills to my North  for 6 years, which shows how far things have gone downhill.  A nice little fall very locally, but a pitiful wider scenario.

Shower activity associated with the trough developing nicely now in S. Scotland. MetO Auto going for light snow/heavy snow IMBY from 2am to 7am. We'll see...

If anything the automated forecasts look better for the Vale of York than here. More milder air moving into the west. Also i am always highly sceptical of anything from the NW. Tends to break up . I reckon one area of heavier precipation moving down the eastern side of N England, some in the west and nothing in the middle...