Weather for the week ahead from weather online:

https://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/reports/week-ahead.htm 

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Met office

UK Outlook for Tuesday 29 Jan 2019 to Thursday 7 Feb 2019:

Cold with blustery wintry showers on Tuesday, these will be most frequent across western parts, although some central and eastern parts staying predominately dry with sunny spells. Wednesday will see a mixture of sunny spells and wintry showers, although less frequent and mainly confined to eastern parts. Beyond midweek, the unsettled weather looks set to continue, with further bands of rain and hill snow moving east or southeast across the UK, interspersed with brighter showery interludes. Snow remains a risk, mostly in the north, but perhaps further south too, and frosts could be quite widespread. There is still a chance that even colder conditions may develop during early February with winds swinging round to the east or northeast, bringing an increased possibility of snow.

UK Outlook for Friday 8 Feb 2019 to Friday 22 Feb 2019:

This period will most likely start changeable and cold, with spells of rain and hill snow, occasional stronger winds, and brighter showery interludes. As we head further through February there is an increased chance of seeing very cold conditions developing with a greater probability of northeasterly or easterly winds. This will bring an increased risk of widespread, perhaps severe frosts as well as snow, especially in eastern areas. In this scenario the driest conditions will be across the west and northwest, whilst the south could see wetter and occasionally milder spells, bringing the risk of some significant snow, but only if very cold air becomes established across much of the UK.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Met office


UK Outlook for Friday 8 Feb 2019 to Friday 22 Feb 2019:

This period will most likely start changeable and cold, with spells of rain and hill snow, occasional stronger winds, and brighter showery interludes. As we head further through February there is an increased chance of seeing very cold conditions developing with a greater probability of northeasterly or easterly winds. This will bring an increased risk of widespread, perhaps severe frosts as well as snow, especially in eastern areas. In this scenario the driest conditions will be across the west and northwest, whilst the south could see wetter and occasionally milder spells, bringing the risk of some significant snow, but only if very cold air becomes established across much of the UK.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

 

The latter is same as yesterday's  word by word - all that's different is the date:

UK Outlook for Thursday 7 Feb 2019 to Thursday 21 Feb 2019:

This period will most likely start changeable and cold, with spells of rain and hill snow, occasional stronger winds, and brighter showery interludes. As we head further through February there is an increased chance of seeing very cold conditions developing with a greater probability of northeasterly or easterly winds. This will bring an increased risk of widespread, perhaps severe frosts as well as snow, especially in eastern areas. In this scenario the driest conditions will be across the west and northwest, whilst the south could see wetter and occasionally milder spells, bringing the risk of some significant snow, but only if very cold air becomes established across much of the UK.

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Next week

Colder than average
Some sunshine
Wintry showers
Frosty nights

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/46995796

John Hammonds latest monthly forecast

• Cold weather dominates


• Snow and ice hazards


• Milder interludes

Full forecast for subscribers is here https://weathertrending.com/2019/01/25/john-hammond-month-ahead-icy-february/

Level 2 cold weather alert issued for all of England

Current alert level: Level 2 - Alert and Readiness

Issued at: 08:40 on Fri 25 Jan 2019

There is a 80% probability of severe cold weather, icy conditions and some snow showers between 0900 on Sunday 27 Jan and 1800 on Wednesday 30 Jan in parts of England. This weather could increase the health risks to vulnerable patients and disrupt the delivery of services. Please refer to the national Cold Weather Plan and your Trust's emergency plan for appropriate preventive action.

A brief milder interlude is expected on Friday, lasting into Saturday. Later Saturday, blustery rain should move eastwards across the UK, continuing into early Sunday, which will reintroduce cold air. This will likely be followed by some wintry showers, perhaps most frequent on the North Sea coast for a time, although there is low confidence in this aspect. Snow is possible across hills, especially in the north, with some more sporadic falls to lower levels here as well. The cold feel will be accentuated by a brisk northerly wind to start the new working week, although this does mean that overnight minimum temperatures will not fall quite as far. Icy stretches are possible by this time, especially overnight. Confidence regarding the extent and location of any wintry precipitation remains low beyond Monday, however cold conditions are currently expected to persist for much of the country.

There is then the potential for some slightly less cold air to make some progress northeastwards from the southwest through the middle of next week, but this remains very uncertain at this stage.

This alert is very likely to be superseded by a fresh cold weather alert with further details on Monday 28 January, once details for the coming week are more certain.

An update will be issued when the alert level changes in any region. Alerts are issued once a day by 0900 if required and are not subject to amendment in between standard issue times. Note that the details of the forecast weather are valid at the time of issue but may change over the period that an alert remains in force. These details will not be updated here unless the alert level also changes, the latest forecast details can be obtained at the following link: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/#?tab=map

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/cold-weather-alert/#?tab=coldWeatherAlert

Extreme weather: Australia breaks heat records as US shivers in big freeze

"Adelaide has endured the highest-ever temperature in a major Australian city, but as the heatwave continues Down Under, parts of the US could see Siberian-like lows of -45.5C (50F). Melbourne also had its hottest day in five years. Temperatures hit 42.8C (109F) early on Friday afternoon - reaching 46C (114.8F) at the city's airport.

The US is also experiencing its own extreme weather, with the National Weather Service (NWS) saying wind chill temperatures this weekend in parts of Wisconsin, Michigan and Minnesota could plunge to between -40C (-40F) and -45.5C (-50F)"

https://news.sky.com/story/extreme-weather-australia-breaks-heat-records-as-us-shivers-in-big-freeze-11617048?dcmp=snt-sf-twitter&utm_source=t.co&utm_medium=referral

Met office

UK Outlook for Wednesday 30 Jan 2019 to Friday 8 Feb 2019:

Sunshine and wintry showers on Wednesday, with these becoming more confined to eastern and perhaps southern areas. Otherwise, some sunshine around, before cloud and outbreaks of rain and hill snow will move into the west by the end of Wednesday. This will move east into Thursday, maintaining this changeable and at times unsettled and predominantly cold spell of weather. Snow is likely to lower levels at times, perhaps more so than during the cold weather so far as low pressure systems take a more southerly track towards Biscay, with overnight frost and ice remaining a risk too. There is still a small chance that even colder conditions may develop during early February with easterly or northeasterly winds dominating, bringing an increased possibility of disruptive snow.

UK Outlook for Saturday 9 Feb 2019 to Saturday 23 Feb 2019:

Cold or very cold conditions are likely to dominate the weather throughout this period, with a greater than average chance of easterly or northeasterly winds dominating. This would bring an enhanced risk of snow, as well as widespread and occasionally severe frosts, although the exact details remain very uncertain. In this setup, the driest and brightest weather is likely in the north and northwest. Despite the prevalence of cold weather, occasional milder interludes remain possible, most likely in the south, although the incursion of these introduce a significant risk of snow should very cold conditions become established.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Lol, while people are throwing in the towel the Met upgrade the outlook, southerly tracking lows 

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That is a brilliant update. Suggusts less chance of the low stagnating over the UK with milder temperatures coming into play.

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Suggesting then the low won't blow up over the UK.  Hopefully we see this in the 12s.

 

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I see the Met Office also have a warning for snow and ice for the northern half of Scotland tomorrow evening.

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Appears to have more confidence in very cold conditions coming into play than previously. We shall see.

That is a brilliant update. Suggusts less chance of the low stagnating over the UK with milder temperatures coming into play.

Totally disagree... as the opposite is likely to happen. 

I was going to throw my towel in on this Winter but I have always preached go with the pro's 

Quite an upgrade 

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Met office

UK Outlook for Tuesday 29 Jan 2019 to Thursday 7 Feb 2019:

Cold with blustery wintry showers on Tuesday, these will be most frequent across western parts, although some central and eastern parts staying predominately dry with sunny spells. Wednesday will see a mixture of sunny spells and wintry showers, although less frequent and mainly confined to eastern parts. Beyond midweek, the unsettled weather looks set to continue, with further bands of rain and hill snow moving east or southeast across the UK, interspersed with brighter showery interludes. Snow remains a risk, mostly in the north, but perhaps further south too, and frosts could be quite widespread. There is still a chance that even colder conditions may develop during early February with winds swinging round to the east or northeast, bringing an increased possibility of snow.

UK Outlook for Friday 8 Feb 2019 to Friday 22 Feb 2019:

This period will most likely start changeable and cold, with spells of rain and hill snow, occasional stronger winds, and brighter showery interludes. As we head further through February there is an increased chance of seeing very cold conditions developing with a greater probability of northeasterly or easterly winds. This will bring an increased risk of widespread, perhaps severe frosts as well as snow, especially in eastern areas. In this scenario the driest conditions will be across the west and northwest, whilst the south could see wetter and occasionally milder spells, bringing the risk of some significant snow, but only if very cold air becomes established across much of the UK.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

The time stamp is 01:42am this morning - do you think this will be downgraded after the ECM's fail?

Outlook for the UK over the next 6-30 days

UK Outlook for Saturday 9 Feb 2019 to Saturday 23 Feb 2019:

Cold or very cold conditions are likely to dominate the weather throughout this period, with a greater than average chance of easterly or northeasterly winds dominating. This would bring an enhanced risk of snow, as well as widespread and occasionally severe frosts, although the exact details remain very uncertain. In this setup, the driest and brightest weather is likely in the north and northwest. Despite the prevalence of cold weather, occasional milder interludes remain possible, most likely in the south, although the incursion of these introduce a significant risk of snow should very cold conditions become established.

Updated: 01:42 on Fri 25 Jan 2019 GMT

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They've had a look at the GFS 6z Para and thought **** it that will do.

 

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They've had a look at the GFS 6z Para and thought **** it that will do.

 

 

👍👍...

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Regional forecast on Met now mentioning possible snow Tuesday 

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I was just watching the Met office update on chances of significant snow next week for the south:

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