https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/46852763

Susan Powell's latest week-ahead forecast teases beyond the week: behind this is some 'properly cold air' and '...increasing risk of snow'.

Lovely.

KevBrads wherever you are- bank this one for years to come.

Very misleading Article intro beneath the title! Poor journalism indeed! 

I do think they mean "Temperatures to fall to about 3.5c below the January average?" NOT falling to 3.5c? There is a difference because 3.5c below the January average would be cold!

Great video from Gav

ST has a report saying the MetO has warned the government of a 70% chance of severe cold in early Feb to rival BFTE 2018.

Martin

UK Outlook for Friday 18 Jan 2019 to Sunday 27 Jan 2019:

It will be mostly settled for a time on Friday, especially in the east, before thickening cloud and outbreaks of rain, perhaps with some hill snow, try to move eastwards later, with strong winds. The rain and hill snow will make further eastward progress on Saturday, perhaps with northeastern areas staying dry. Thereafter, it looks set to remain mainly cold, unsettled and sometimes windy, with gales possible in the north. Any milder spells will tend to be brief, and associated with longer spells of rain. The rain could turn to snow almost anywhere, but particularly across northern and central areas, especially later in this period. Some drier, brighter spells are likely, perhaps with snow showers, especially in the east. During such spells, frost could become widespread and severe.

UK Outlook for Monday 28 Jan 2019 to Monday 11 Feb 2019:

For the end of January and into early February, there is an increased likelihood of cold weather being established across all of the UK, with temperatures continuing a downward trend to become cold or very cold. This would bring a greater risk of snow, ice and widespread frost, particularly across northern parts of the country. However, there remains uncertainty over the extent of the cold weather and how long it will last, and it is still possible that some milder and wetter interludes will intersperse this generally cold period, especially in the south.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Martin

The Polar Vortex Has Fallen Apart, Which Could Unleash a Much Colder End to January

• The polar vortex was broken apart in early January.
• This could lead to a blocked jet-stream pattern by the end of January.
• Persistent cold is likely to be the result in Europe and the U.S.
• But there are other factors that also influence winter weather patterns.

https://weather.com/forecast/national/news/2019-01-10-the-polar-vortex-has-fallen-apart-and-that-could-unleash-a-much

UK Outlook for Saturday 19 Jan 2019 to Monday 28 Jan 2019:

Outbreaks of rain, sleet and some snow are likely to move slowly south and eastwards on Saturday, but tending to become lighter and more patchy as it does so. Sunday looks generally quiet, with a good deal of dry and bright weather. Thereafter, it looks set to remain mainly on the cold side, but also unsettled and sometimes windy, with gales possible in the north. Any milder spells will tend to be brief, and associated with longer spells of rain. The rain could turn to snow at times, particularly across northern, central and eastern areas, especially later in this period. Some drier, brighter spells are likely, perhaps with snow showers, during such spells, frost could become widespread and severe.

UK Outlook for Tuesday 29 Jan 2019 to Tuesday 12 Feb 2019:

For the end of January and into early February, there is an increased likelihood of colder weather being established across the UK, with temperatures continuing a downward trend. This would bring a greater risk of snow, ice and widespread frost, particularly across northern parts of the country. However, there remains uncertainty over the extent of the cold weather and how long it will last, and it is still possible that some milder and wetter interludes will intersperse this generally cold period, especially in the south.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

What happened to that "to become cold or very cold." - after the downward trend. Which was in the Met Office 16-30 day text update yesterday?

Instead it says " frosts could become widespread and severe".

So I wonder if the JMA, Met Office Glosea 5, BCC and ECMWF as well as the MeteoFrance longer range seasonal model output will back away from this too?

UK Outlook for Sunday 20 Jan 2019 to Tuesday 29 Jan 2019:

Sunday will be cold across the UK, but for many it will be dry; brightest in the southeast. Some light rain or sleet is possible in the southwest at first; then a band of rain, sleet and snow is likely to spread across the northwest later, moving erratically southeast. Overnight frost and freezing fog patches are likely overnight into Monday. Cold weather is likely to continue through mid-week, remaining unsettled and at times windy with fronts spreading southeast across the UK bringing rain, sleet and snow. Snow is most likely over north and eastern areas and over high ground. Similar cold conditions are likely to remain in place until the end of the period, interspersed with brighter showery spells, although these could also be wintry. Overnight frosts will remain likely.

UK Outlook for Wednesday 30 Jan 2019 to Wednesday 13 Feb 2019:

Cold but changeable conditions will be in place at the start of the extended outlook with spells of strong winds and rain, turning to snow at times. Overnight frosts are likely and snow, mainly over higher ground in the north, but with an increased risk to lower levels. The details of any disruptive snow remains uncertain. Milder, wetter interludes are possible, most likely in the south but with these comes an increased risk of snow and ice further north.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast