ARTzeman
10 September 2018 10:57:25

Better buy a snow shovel in preparation..  Even if I only use to gather up fallen leaves.






Some people walk in the rain.
Others just get wet.
I Just Blow my horn or trumpet
tallyho_83
11 September 2018 22:15:51
Wow! They have gone a bit OTT or is it me!?

Still interesting what the WMO say:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-45471409 


Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


Col
  • Col
  • Advanced Member
16 September 2018 09:47:23
Nathan Rao is at it again.
'Mega-cyclone' indeed!
https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/1017698/uk-weather-forecast-latest-met-office-forecast-hurricane-helene-warning 
Col
Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl
Snow videos:
http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg
doctormog
16 September 2018 10:22:24

Even by the normal muppetry standards that article is impressive “The entire country will boil in temperatures almost 20C higher than normal for the time of year towards the middle of next week, experts say.”

Let me see - It is forecast to reach the high teens here.

<has a look at the mean maxima in September for this location..>

Righteo, I’m looking forward to some warmth next week compared with the ice days we apparently normally get in the third week of September. Thanks Nathan.


NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
16 September 2018 10:49:18

Originally Posted by: doctormog 


Even by the normal muppetry standards that article is impressive “The entire country will boil in temperatures almost 20C higher than normal for the time of year towards the middle of next week, experts say.”

Let me see - It is forecast to reach the high teens here.

<has a look at the mean maxima in September for this location..>

Righteo, I’m looking forward to some warmth next week compared with the ice days we apparently normally get in the third week of September. Thanks Nathan.



According to the BBC weather app the new boiling point for us in central southern England will be 19C max on Wednesday. So lets say it will be 20C higher than normal we should be basking in temps of 1C instead. 


I am sure there must be stronger word than muppetry but Mega Cyclone really takes this biscuit even by his warped standards.


 


Vale of the Great Dairies
South Dorset
Elevation 60m 197ft
Gavin D
18 September 2018 11:47:20
Met office

UK Outlook for Sunday 23 Sep 2018 to Tuesday 2 Oct 2018:

A fine, but cool start to the weekend is likely in most parts of the UK, with the best of the sunshine on Saturday expected in eastern areas. However, through Saturday wet weather is expected to arrive across the west, perhaps pushing across the UK on Sunday, potentially also bringing strong winds. Atlantic weather systems are then likely to continue to arrive from the west through the rest of the period bringing generally wetter conditions in the northwest, and drier conditions persisting for longest in the southeast. Strong winds are likely at times, particularly in the northwest with a low risk of gales. Inbetween spells of rain there will be some pleasant sunshine and these more settled spells may become more dominant with time.

UK Outlook for Wednesday 3 Oct 2018 to Wednesday 17 Oct 2018:

October will see periods of dry and fine weather at times, especially in the south and southeast where there may be some warm days. Occasional spells of more unsettled weather are likely, mainly in the northwest where there is a risk of gales and heavy rain at times. These conditions will perhaps occasionally extend across other areas too. Overall daytime temperatures are likely to be close to or slightly above average in the southeast with a cooler feel under cloud and rain in the northwest. However the lengthening nights means that there will be some cool overnight temperatures, with an accompanying risk of patchy morning fog in prone spots.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 
tallyho_83
20 September 2018 00:38:20

is it me or doesn't this work??


 



Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


doctormog
20 September 2018 06:15:16

Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 


is it me or doesn't this work??


 




Is it this you want? https://static.wixstatic.com/media/857cde_c3b3e7003b4e46458d1b801488d2193c~mv2.png 


Solar Cycles
20 September 2018 06:38:03

Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 

Wow! They have gone a bit OTT or is it me!?

Still interesting what the WMO say:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-45471409

It will be a weak to moderate one at best, if at all. 

tallyho_83
20 September 2018 21:47:53

Originally Posted by: doctormog 


 


Is it this you want? https://static.wixstatic.com/media/857cde_c3b3e7003b4e46458d1b801488d2193c~mv2.png 



 


Same thing?? Can't see their forecast?


Anyway , back to the here and now Helen Willetts of BBC said there could be some sleet over Pennines tomorrow morning!? Yet here in Exeter, Devon it's still a humid and warm muggy 18c at 11pm. (almost).


Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


Gavin D
21 September 2018 20:25:44
HEAVY SNOW warning: UK faces COLDEST winter for DECADE - shock long-range weather forecast

BRITAIN is facing the coldest and harshest winter for almost a decade with heavy, early snowfall threatening to blanket the nation by Christmas.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/1021047/UK-weather-long-range-forecast-Britain-heavy-snow-cold-winter-2018-Met-Office 
jhall
21 September 2018 20:48:51

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 

HEAVY SNOW warning: UK faces COLDEST winter for DECADE - shock long-range weather forecast

BRITAIN is facing the coldest and harshest winter for almost a decade with heavy, early snowfall threatening to blanket the nation by Christmas.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/1021047/UK-weather-long-range-forecast-Britain-heavy-snow-cold-winter-2018-Met-Office



Only for a decade? The Express must be slipping. Usually at this time of year they proclaim that we are facing the coldest winter for fifty years, a hundred years or since records began.


Cranleigh, Surrey
tallyho_83
21 September 2018 22:50:21

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 

HEAVY SNOW warning: UK faces COLDEST winter for DECADE - shock long-range weather forecast

BRITAIN is facing the coldest and harshest winter for almost a decade with heavy, early snowfall threatening to blanket the nation by Christmas.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/1021047/UK-weather-long-range-forecast-Britain-heavy-snow-cold-winter-2018-Met-Office


 


So let's wait a week or to as we head into October and then see what the Express say "Mildest & wettest winter in record forecast to hit the UK?"


I guess the only thing they have right is noting that we are approaching or at solar minimum with little or no sunspots for many days.


Last time we were at Solar Minimum was from 2008 and winter 09/10 was very cold and snowy early to mid winter and also early to mid winter 2010 (Dec of course) in and around solar minimum. So perhaps they have a point about it being cold earlier this winter and after all these milder or balmy Christmas day's, we are due for a colder than average Christmas day sooner rather than later ...surely!?


Express always hype which is why i take no notice of it - the Met Office usually over it'- with the warmer than average temps but even this isn't exactly a clear signal for a milder than average winter - bare in mind it's a tri-monthly period! It's not like we are in the dark orange colours like what's usually forecast around this time for D/J/F? Also there isn't a clear signal for wetter than average weather either! - I will be keen to see what happens during next months update.




Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


tallyho_83
23 September 2018 01:44:10
I think this need to be purchased!?

http://www.globalweatheroscillations.com/store-2018-winter-europe-prediction 


Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


Solar Cycles
23 September 2018 07:57:10

Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 

I think this need to be purchased!?

http://www.globalweatheroscillations.com/store-2018-winter-europe-prediction

David Dilley’s site. Though i never rather LRF per se his view on climate forcings mirrors mine.

tallyho_83
28 September 2018 01:35:16

This should be in climate forum but thought some may like a read of this:

Lot's to take in and really informative - I think this winter could be the one!!? Who knows? Even if we did end up with an El Nino or end the year in a westerly QBO etc - this is Grand solar Minimum, so a weaker cooling sun with many spotless weeks and months is more significant I would have thought!?!

https://nextgrandminimum.com/page/7/


 


Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


NMA
  • NMA
  • Advanced Member
28 September 2018 06:18:35

Another load of hyperbolic tosh from the Mirror this time.


UK weather forecast: Met Office warns of Arctic blast of subzero temperatures and snow this weekend



 

Surely it's the right time for the Met Office to call them out?

Nick


Vale of the Great Dairies
South Dorset
Elevation 60m 197ft
Brian Gaze
28 September 2018 07:08:28

Originally Posted by: NMA 


Another load of hyperbolic tosh from the Mirror this time.


UK weather forecast: Met Office warns of Arctic blast of subzero temperatures and snow this weekend



 

Surely it's the right time for the Met Office to call them out?

Nick



I was more interested in the Met Office video about blocking highs. I don't think it is very good. The discussion is quite nebulous and the definitions offered seem quite arbitrary, almost to the extent of being pointless. 


Brian Gaze
Berkhamsted
TWO Buzz - get the latest news and views 
"I'm not socialist, I know that. I don't believe in sharing my money." - Gary Numan
tallyho_83
29 September 2018 22:29:47
Worth a watch:



Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


lanky
02 October 2018 07:48:32

Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 

Worth a watch:

https://youtu.be/Ftr7rC_53Ug


Interesting vid


Winter Forecast for the whole of the USA using only 3 variables


ENSO Index prediction


SST / Warm pools locations in N Pacific between Alaska and Russia


NAO index prediction


Don't let Gav see it - he might think his job is at risk


 


Martin
Richmond, Surrey
Users browsing this topic

Ads