The Weather Outlook

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johncs2016
01 August 2018 00:19:20

We have now entered the final month of the meteorological summer and so far, this has been a dry summer in this part of the world. This is a month which has generated a lot of recent interest because for a whole, it had looked as though this month would be much wetter and more unsettled according to a lot of predictions. Whilst there are many people who still believe that this is the case, some computer models are now suggesting otherwise with many predictions appearing now, that this month could actually just end up being a continuation of the dry summer which we have had so far.

If this does end up being another dry month, this thread might end up being rather quiet. If it ends up being much wetter and more unsettled though, this thread could end up being quite busy. Whichever way that it all ends up though, this is the place to enter those all important rainfall totals as this month progresses.

 


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

johncs2016
02 August 2018 06:26:49

In the end, a total of 2.2 mm of rain fell at Edinburgh Gogarbank during yesterday, along with 3.8 mm at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh.

So far as at 7am, a further 0.2 mm of rain has been recorded at Edinburgh Gogarbank during this morning whilst the botanic gardens in Edinburgh has been completely dry.

For Edinburgh Gogarbank, that takes this month's total so far to 2.4 mm, the total for this summer so far to 100.4 mm and the total for this year so far to 367.8 mm as at 7am this morning.

For the botanic gardens in Edinburgh, that takes this month's total so far to 3.8 mm, the total for this summer so far to 88.0 mm and the total for this year so far to 359.2 mm as at 7am this morning.

In contrast to the very dry start which we had to last month, this month has started off on a wetter note. The general outlook is for it to become a bit drier but there are no signs of any extended dry spells, such as what we had during the first two months of this summer.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

johncs2016
03 August 2018 06:36:08
In the end, a total of 1.4 mm of rain fell at Edinburgh Gogarbank during yesterday, along with 5.6 mm at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh.

So far as at 7am, it has been completely dry this morning at both of those stations.

For Edinburgh Gogarbank, that takes this month's total so far to 3.6 mm, the total for this summer so far to 101.6 mm and the total for this year so far to 369.0 mm as at 7am this morning.

For the botanic gardens in Edinburgh, that takes this month's total so far to 9.4 mm, the total for this summer so far to 93.6 mm and the total for this year so far to 364.8 mm as at 7am this morning.

Despite the rather wet start to this month especially at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh, I'm not really seeing much in the way of rain in the last day or so. Any rain which is forecast to be around in the next day or so, seems likely to be either to the north of here or just to the south of here which nothing at all in this area itself.

As we go into the weekend, it then looks likely to be generally drier right across the board and whilst the week ahead might become more unsettled again, there are no signs of any significant amounts of rain there.

If all of that plays out, this month looks likely to be drier than average again in the end, albeit without us going into an absolute drought or seeing even any of those extended dry spells which we saw during June and July.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

johncs2016
07 August 2018 06:40:12
A total of 0.2 mm of rain fell at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh during yesterday, but with Edinburgh Gogarbank remaining completely dry.

However, a total of 1.0 mm has fallen during this morning so far at Edinburgh Gogarbank as at 7am this morning, along with 1.4 mm at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh.

For Edinburgh Gogarbank, that takes this month's total so far to 4.6 mm, the total for this summer so far to 102.6 mm and the total for this year so far to 370.0 mm as at 7am this morning.

For the botanic gardens in Edinburgh, that takes this month's total so far to 11.0 mm, the total for this summer so far to 95.2 mm and the total for this year so far to 366.4 mm as at 7am this morning.

When I last looked out, it was still raining which means that the above totals for today are unlikely to be today's final totals. Although the last few days have been dry, the outlook is for the weather to become increasingly unsettled as the week goes on with the risk of further rain increasing over time as a result.

There are a few hints that a build of high pressure could dry things out once we get to next week, but that is in the unreliable time frame as far as the model output is concerned, and is therefore only mere speculation at this stage.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

Bolty
07 August 2018 13:46:22
0.0mm to the end of the 6th... quite unusual for August already!

Saying that, I sense this figure will soon rocket up looking at the rest of this week's forecast.


Scott

Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.

My weather station 

P+ve Giant
07 August 2018 14:32:03

Nothing measurable here so far this month. 


John.
Snow Hoper
08 August 2018 05:18:05

Some overnight showers have freshened things up and set the total at 3.6mm.


Going to war over religion is like killing each other to see who has the better imaginary friend.

Home : Mid Suffolk.

48m Asl

johncs2016
08 August 2018 06:13:26

In the end, a total of 1.6 mm of rain fell at Edinburgh Gogarbank during yesterday, along with 2.4 mm at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh.

However, this morning has been completely dry so far at both of those stations, as at 7am this morning.

For Edinburgh Gogarbank, that takes this month's total so far to 5.2 mm, the total for this summer so far to 103.2 mm and the total for this year so far to 370.6 mm as at 7am this morning.

For the botanic gardens in Edinburgh, that takes this month's total so far to 12.0 mm, the total for this summer so far to 96.2 mm and the total for this year so far to 367.4 mm as at 7am this morning.

Showers are forecast for today with that risk of showers being much reduced during tomorrow and Friday. However, more rain is then forecast right at the end of the week, going into the weekend and then what happens after that is a lot more uncertain, albeit with a few hints that it could become a bit drier then as high pressure builds back in.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

Andy J
08 August 2018 14:52:22

0.0mm so far here.


Gainsborough, Lincolnshire.
ARTzeman
08 August 2018 15:09:06

1.5mm. The first measure of precipitation this month. Started At 15:39.  




Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

P+ve Giant
08 August 2018 23:10:20

Off and running with just 1mm from showers here on the 8th - settled the dust! Maybe more useful rain for the garden over the weekend ...

 


John.
LeedsLad123
08 August 2018 23:50:38
Had a shower yesterday but didn't register in the gauge, so still 0mm.

The grass is mostly green again here but the ground is still very dry and dusty.


Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
Bolty
09 August 2018 09:11:04
A few showers around yesterday, but not really equating to much. 0.3mm to the end of the 8th.
Scott

Blackrod, Lancashire (4 miles south of Chorley) at 156m asl.

My weather station 

ARTzeman
09 August 2018 11:34:55

1.8mm To Date.




Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

ARTzeman
10 August 2018 09:17:44

3.0 mm. This Morning

4.8 mm To Date.




Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

redmoons
10 August 2018 09:20:16
Had no rain up to the 8th and now 10.2mm after yesterday.
ARTzeman
10 August 2018 11:05:37

5.4 This morning.

9.3mm To Date. 




Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

Snow Hoper
10 August 2018 14:23:26

Checked a short while ago and the total was 34mm.


Going to war over religion is like killing each other to see who has the better imaginary friend.

Home : Mid Suffolk.

48m Asl

ARTzeman
10 August 2018 15:19:15

6.0mm   Today.

9.9 mm  To Date




Some people walk in the rain.

Others just get wet.

I Just Blow my horn or trumpet

picturesareme
10 August 2018 17:21:33
over 40mm of rain in one afternoon!!
picturesareme
10 August 2018 20:12:59
As if i needed it confirmed over 46mm fell at Thorney in 12 hours up to 6pm so I suspect it to be around 50mm for the 24 hour ad it was still raining at 6pm!
sunny coast
10 August 2018 22:16:46
herstmonceaux around 50mm to in torrential rain mid to late pm altho worst of it stayed just inland from coast. thunderstorm late evening last night here too.
picturesareme
10 August 2018 22:35:47

herstmonceaux around 50mm to in torrential rain mid to late pm altho worst of it stayed just inland from coast. thunderstorm late evening last night here too.

Originally Posted by: sunny coast 

Yes 49mm in the 12 hours up to 6pm

Snow Hoper
11 August 2018 04:31:20

37mm here.


Going to war over religion is like killing each other to see who has the better imaginary friend.

Home : Mid Suffolk.

48m Asl

johncs2016
11 August 2018 06:31:20
In the end, a total of 2.6 mm of rain fell at Edinburgh Gogarbank during yesterday, along with 1.2 mm at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh.

So far as at 7am, a further 0.2 mm of rain has been recorded at the botanic gardens in Edinburgh during this morning whilst Edinburgh Gogarbank has been completely dry.

For Edinburgh Gogarbank, that takes this month's total so far to 7.8 mm, the total for this summer so far to 105.8 mm and the total for this year so far to 373.2 mm as at 7am this morning.

For the botanic gardens in Edinburgh, that takes this month's total so far to 13.4 mm, the total for this summer so far to 97.6 mm and the total for this year so far to 368.8 mm as at 7am this morning.

Unlike in the other two summer months which we have had this year, there has been no absolute drought during this month and there is unlikely to be one either.

Yet, this month is still running significantly drier than average so far. This is happening because on a number of occasions, heavy showers which have been forecast have often failed to materialise altogether and even when we have been getting rain, the amounts of rain which which we are getting are consistently turning out to be rather small and less than what had been forecast.

As long as this continues to be the case, this month will never end up being anything other than substantially drier than average in the end, even though the general outlook according to the latest model output is still unsettled.


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

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