The Weather Outlook

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Jiries
24 July 2018 19:28:37

Does anyone know if the Boxworth site in Cambs that recorded the hottest temperature of 1995 is still in action? Google seems to imply not. Shame, as it would be nice for nostalgia’s sake if it managed the hottest temperature this year on Friday.

Originally Posted by: TimS 

Doesn't matter anyway and it likely either Heathrow or Gravesend will take the prize on Friday and they are both either side of London. It was Rickmanworth often being heard in 1995 now not heard so likely closed like Redhill. Will see if 18z make changes or correction.  

superteacher
24 July 2018 19:36:23

 

Doesn't matter anyway and it likely either Heathrow or Gravesend will take the prize on Friday and they are both either side of London. It was Rickmanworth often being heard in 1995 now not heard so likely closed like Redhill. Will see if 18z make changes or correction.  

Originally Posted by: Jiries 

Think Heathrow will be a contender on Thursday. However, current modelling suggests East Anglia to be the hottest place on Friday. Unless there is a correction west.

TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
24 July 2018 19:39:05

 

Think Heathrow will be a contender on Thursday. However, current modelling suggests East Anglia to be the hottest place on Friday. Unless there is a correction west.

Originally Posted by: superteacher 

Heathrow has underperformed this week. I note Hravesend managed the top spot today, and that may be a hint. But I still think somewhere further east - either in EA or North Kent - will be the place. Brogdale would also have nostalgia value.


Brockley, South East London 30m asl
Hungry Tiger
24 July 2018 19:55:13

GEFS 12z can hardly be described as a washout.  

Originally Posted by: Brian Gaze 


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danm
  • danm
  • Advanced Member
24 July 2018 19:55:18

 

Heathrow has underperformed this week. I note Hravesend managed the top spot today, and that may be a hint. But I still think somewhere further east - either in EA or North Kent - will be the place. Brogdale would also have nostalgia value.

Originally Posted by: TimS 

Yep, Heathrow has actually been a degree or so cooler than central London or places E/NE of the capital. Looking at readings over the last couple of days, City Airport has often been a degree or two hotter which doesn’t normally happen with City airport being by the river and closer to the estuary. 


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Polar Low
24 July 2018 20:06:28

Strange part was Southend on sea was 26c by 10:00 then 30c by 12:00 most unusual for sea town in Essex 

it then dropped out of the running

https://www.netweather.tv/live-weather/daily-top-20/maxt

 ps

 the other locations took another 2 or 3 hours to reach 30c Southend made by 12;00 most strange

 

 

Doesn't matter anyway and it likely either Heathrow or Gravesend will take the prize on Friday and they are both either side of London. It was Rickmanworth often being heard in 1995 now not heard so likely closed like Redhill. Will see if 18z make changes or correction.  

Originally Posted by: Jiries 

xioni2
24 July 2018 20:11:47

For fans of extreme heat, the EC ens has 5-6 perturbations for 4-5 Aug with >20C at 850mb and 2 runs with ~25C at 850 (>40C in SE England).

I guess a 10% risk of extreme heat sounds reasonable at this stage.

superteacher
24 July 2018 20:13:18

Strange part was Southend on sea was 26c by 10:00 then 30c by 12:00 most unusual for sea town in Essex 

it then dropped out of the running

https://www.netweather.tv/live-weather/daily-top-20/maxt

 

 

Originally Posted by: Polar Low 

Shoeburyness (east of Southend) often does well when the wind is westerly.

Maybe a sea breeze sprang up today, or the wind backed more SW dragging cooler air from the Thames.

Polar Low
24 July 2018 20:17:45

 

Perhaps it was due to high tide I know sea breeze increase at that time it certainly looked odds on this morning in being top spot it was easily in front at 9;00

 

Shoeburyness (east of Southend) often does well when the wind is westerly.

Maybe a sea breeze sprang up today, or the wind backed more SW dragging cooler air from the Thames.

Originally Posted by: superteacher 

TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
24 July 2018 20:32:04

For fans of extreme heat, the EC ens has 5-6 perturbations for 4-5 Aug with >20C at 850mb and 2 runs with ~25C at 850 (>40C in SE England).

I guess a 10% risk of extreme heat sounds reasonable at this stage.

Originally Posted by: xioni2 

Gosh. I bet those 25C perts end with rain and breakdown. That airmass requires a major southerly heat pump.

Out of interest, and if you know (I’m guessing you get this professionally) what 850s are they modelling for central France?


Brockley, South East London 30m asl
Brian Gaze
24 July 2018 20:36:31

I'll start a new thread and close this one at 22:40.


Brian Gaze

Berkhamsted

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