I’m thinking the way it’s rising, we’ll miss out on a sub 5c March!  

Met Office Hadley            4.5c           Anomaly       -0.9c Provisional to 24th.

Metcheck                         4.42c         Anomaly       -1.74c

Netweather                      4.91c         Anomaly       -1.4c

Peasedown St John        4.9c          Anomaly        -1.74c

Warsop                          4.2c.

Met Office Hadley               4.6c.         Anomaly       -0.9c Provisional to25th.

Metcheck                            4.48c        Anomaly       -1.68c

Netweather                         5.01c        Anomaly       -1.3c

Peasedown St John           5.0c.         Anomaly       -1.64c.

Warsop 4.2c.       

Met Office Hadley            4.7c.          Anomaly       -0.8c.  Provisional to 26th

Metcheck                         4.60c         Anomaly       -1.56c

Netweather                      5.09c         Anomaly       -1.22c

Peasedown St John       5.2c.          Anomaly       -1.44c

Difficult to be sure of where it will end up.  Corrections are usually downwards, so I would suggest a finishing number between 4.3 and 4.8c?

Difficult to be sure of where it will end up.  Corrections are usually downwards, so I would suggest a finishing number between 4.3 and 4.8c?

Is there any particular reason corrections tend to be downwards? 

 

Is there any particular reason corrections tend to be downwards? 

A downward adjustment of 0.2C is made by the Met Office  to allow for urban warming

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/

I'm amazed it's remained so subdued. We've had temps up to 11/12c most days recently and few cold nights, and the CET wasn't that cold after the last cool snap. Thought it'd be up to around 5.5c by now

Met Office Hadley             4.8c.         Anomaly        -0.7c. Provisional to 27th.

Metcheck                          4.71c        Anomaly        -1.45c

Netweather                       5.19c        Anomaly        -1.12c

Alton                                5.0c          Anomaly       -3.0c      Compared to 2017

Canvey Island                   6.1c          Anomaly       -4.4c               "

Cheadle Hulme Weather   5.3c         Anomaly        -3.5c                 " 

Clevedon Weather           6.3c          Anomaly       -3.3c                 "

Darwen                          3.5c          Anomaly       -4.1c                 "

Hexam                           3.8c          Anomaly       -3.3c                 "

Mount Sorrel                  4.9c          Anomaly       -4.0c                 "

Mansfield Woodhouse      4.5c         Anomaly        -4.0c                "

Peasedown St John         5.3c.        Anomaly       -1.34c... My 5 year average...           

I'm amazed it's remained so subdued. We've had temps up to 11/12c most days recently and few cold nights, and the CET wasn't that cold after the last cool snap. Thought it'd be up to around 5.5c by now

The other day I calculated that with average daily CET’s of 7.5c to month end, we’d be around that.  We had a couple of days when night temps were zero and day temps reached teens, followed by milder nights but cooler days.  Now, with 4 days left, final adjustments aside, daily means need to be 7c for the month to end at 5c. 

Met Office Hadley           4.9c.           Anomaly        -0.7c.     Provisional to 28th.

Metcheck                        4.69c          Anomaly        -1.48c

Netweather                     5.2c           Anomaly         -1.11c     

Mansfield Woodhouse      4.5c           Anomaly         -4.0c

Peasedown St John      5.3c.          Anomaly         -1.34c.           

Apologies for the delay. Here are the predictions for March. Everyone went below average but still quite a range of predictions

Link to full size table TABLE 1

Link to full size table TABLE 2

Apologies for the delay. Here are the predictions for March. Everyone went below average but still quite a range of predictions

Link to full size table TABLE 1

IMAGE. Members enable at bottom of page

Link to full size table TABLE 2

IMAGE. Members enable at bottom of page

GW..

A sincere thank you from all of us for your continued  work on this competition.

I certainly hope that your short-term health and other issues settle down quickly and that you will be back on form as soon as possible.

Your factual based posts  are the best anywhere,  being the easiest to read and understand!!

Grandad 

Thank you for the Prediction Table .Had long since forgotten what mine was. 

My figures at the moment of my own doing----- Prediction 5.64c.  My backyard average 6.64c.  Weather Display has me down for 5.185c. 

My Spring Guess 8.36. .....

Roll )n April....  

Thanks for the prediction table. I don't think many of us anticipated the second cold snap which, though brief, must have been severe enough to have a considerable impact.

Thank you GW!   I second Grandad’s praise!  

What a month it’s been!  Exceptional for weather watching and some good calls on the CET.   But, I’m just hoping April brings some Spring weather now!  

Met Office Hadley             4.9c.        Anomaly      -0.7c.   Provisional to 29th.

Metcheck                          4.67c       Anomaly      -1.48c

Netweather                       5.19c       Anomaly      -1.12c

Mansfield Woodhouse         4.5c         Anomaly     -4.0c Compared to 2017 Month of March

Peasedown St John          5.2c.        Anomaly       -1.44c    

Many Thanks GW for the great work in this competition,best wishes to you.

As for the March cet figure iam actually suprised its so high,this month has well and trully been an extended winter month and there is still no sign of spring its still winter albeit with daylight.

Imby there has only been 6 days when the max temp has reached double figures with a top temperature of 11.9c which is also the warmest day of 2018. Its also been very wet as well.

I predicted 4.7c for the March cet comp and fingers crossed i might be pretty close for once,lol.

Great competition and will soon be time for Aprils predictions,another difficult month to call.

I am just preparing the April CET thread now. Don't forget predictions are by PM so you can make them as soon as you are ready.

Met Office Hadley          4.9c.        Anomaly       -0.8c. Provisional to 30th.

Metcheck                       4.69c       Anomaly       -1.47c

Netweather                    5.2c         Anomaly       -1.11c

Mansfield Woodhouse      4.6c.         Anomaly       -3.9c

Peasedown St John      5.2c.       Anomaly         -1.44c.