DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
26 March 2018 06:22:26

Originally Posted by: forestedge 


 


Yes, I saw that our microclimate is stranger than Portsmouth 



Just the new Meteogroup graphics failing to distinguish heavy cloud (quite likely with a depression in the Channel) from snow?


War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
haghir22
26 March 2018 06:40:24

Originally Posted by: DEW 


 


Just the new Meteogroup graphics failing to distinguish heavy cloud (quite likely with a depression in the Channel) from snow?



i wish that had been the case, there was definitely snowflake activity being shown. 


YNWA
Gavin D
26 March 2018 12:04:16
Met office

UK Outlook for Saturday 31 Mar 2018 to Monday 9 Apr 2018:

Easter weekend looks set to bring rather changeable weather across the UK with a mixture of showers and more organised bands of rain and hill snow at times. Most areas will see some brighter spells, the best of these in the northwest. It will be rather cold and at times windy. There is a low risk of snow across all parts, but this is most likely over higher ground in the north. Overnight frosts possible, however temperatures by day in the south may start to recover closer to normal. This changeable theme looks set to remain through much of the week; there are signals for a spell of unsettled weather across the south while the north may remain drier and brighter. All areas may become more settled by the weekend.

UK Outlook for Tuesday 10 Apr 2018 to Tuesday 24 Apr 2018:

Settled, slow-moving conditions are likely to be more dominant by mid-April with overnight frosts and patchy fog. There is very low confidence in the latter part of April. Most likely a mixture of changeable or showery spells interspersed with drier and more settled periods. Temperatures overall are likely to remain below average although an increasing number of milder days can still be expected. Overnight frosts are still possible in more settled spells, but these should tend to become more restricted to the north.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 
Gavin D
26 March 2018 13:30:16
BBC monthly outlook

Monday 26 March—Sunday 1 April
Turning colder again ... but will there be snow?

After a cold start on Monday with local fog, many areas will have sunny spells before cloud and rain approach from the west later on. Widespread rain on Monday night, the rain could be heavy for many with sleet and snow on the high ground in Scotland.

Through Tuesday and Wednesday there will be showers or rain at times for many, wintry over northern hills, but some brighter interludes are possible too. It will start to feel colder again and there is a risk of gales for the Northern Isles on Tuesday.

For the second half of next week and into the Easter period the risk of significant cold and snowfall has reduced over the last few days. However, the jet stream will be meandering well to the south of the UK at times, keeping conditions fairly chilly and there will be some rain at times for most.
Wintry precipitation at times in the north but predominantly over hills.

Monday 2 April—Sunday 8 April
Any signs of Spring?

Heading through the first half of April, weather models are showing rather differing solutions for the synoptic pattern around Europe. This does reduce confidence levels, but nonetheless it seems reasonably likely that there will be high pressure to the west of the UK a times whilst low pressure circulates more frequently over mainland Europe. This will likely force further incursions of cold air from the north on occasion, maintaining the below average temperatures that have been a near constant feature so far in spring. The high pressure should prevent any deep low pressure areas from impacting from the UK through this period ensuring a lack of stormy weather, but this doesn't mean that unsettled conditions won't prevail.

Monday 9 April—Sunday 15 April
A change of type

Heading towards mid-April, there could be somewhat of a pattern change as high pressure that was to the west retreats south slightly, becoming centred closer to SE Europe. This may allow low pressure areas to track more readily into the North Sea/Scandinavia region for a time, thus the greatest chance of wet and breezy weather for northern and eastern parts of the UK. Whilst temperatures will probably still be slightly below average, there should be some intrusions of milder air on occasion as winds swing to the west.

Next Update

Winter appears to be slow to lose its grip on the UK this year. We will be looking for any indications of any drier, milder and calmer interludes of weather going into the second half of April or will it be cool and unsettled?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook 
Gavin D
26 March 2018 15:46:26
UK weather: Heavy snow to BLANKET Britain on Easter weekend as Scandinavian FREEZE hits

BRITAIN is bracing for a barrage of snow to hit the country this week as freezing northeasterly winds sweep across the country as Brits plan for the Bank Holiday weekend.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/936996/UK-weather-heavy-snow-Easter-weekend-BBC-forecast-Met-Office 
DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
27 March 2018 06:07:43

Rather more modestly, regional BBC forecast is suggesting 'wintriness' in showers later today (Tue) and with tomorrow's rain. I take this to mean sleet on high ground in the South.


War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
Gavin D
27 March 2018 07:48:21
Easter outlook

Cool start
Rain at times
Turning milder
Some sunny spells

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/43550225 
Gavin D
27 March 2018 11:58:24
Met office

UK Outlook for Sunday 1 Apr 2018 to Tuesday 10 Apr 2018:

Easter Sunday should be rather cool or cold with a band of cloud and light rain and hill snow across central and eastern areas. It'll turn cloudier in the south later with some rain potentially affecting the far southwest by end of the day. A drier day for Scotland. Overnight frost and icy likely. As we head into mid-week it remains cold with a risk of snow for all areas, although this is most likely over northern high ground. The driest and sunniest periods are expected in the northwest with unsettled weather persisting for central and southern parts of the UK. Again, windy at times with overnight frosts likely. Towards the second week of April more settled conditions may become more dominant with overnight frosts and patchy fog. Staying cool.

UK Outlook for Wednesday 11 Apr 2018 to Wednesday 25 Apr 2018:

Settled, slow-moving conditions are likely to be more dominant by mid-April with overnight frosts and patchy fog. There is very low confidence in the latter part of April. Most likely a mixture of changeable or showery spells interspersed with drier and more settled periods. Temperatures overall are likely to remain below average although an increasing number of milder days can still be expected. Overnight frosts are still possible in more settled spells, but these should tend to become more restricted to the north.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 
Gavin D
27 March 2018 12:05:45
Forget about Beast from the east 3 and Beaster it isn't happening

https://twitter.com/twitter/statuses/978602535094120448 
Gavin D
27 March 2018 12:40:22
@bbcweather

Turning chillier from Wed into the start of #Easter, but nothing desperately cold with any snow limited to hills. Temps coming up to average and it'll feel warm in sunny spells.

https://twitter.com/bbcweather/status/978612113424965632 
Gavin D
27 March 2018 19:13:32
Easter outlook

Rather cool
Rain at times
Sunny spells
Milder by Monday

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/43563334 
Gavin D
28 March 2018 07:57:36

Easter weather FREEZING forecast: UK faces THUNDER SNOW and Arctic winds in 24 hours


BRITAIN is just 24 hours away from the next big freeze as the nation battens down the hatches for sub-zero temperatures, bitter winds, rain and snow. Heavy wintry showers, hail and explosive outbreaks of ‘thundersnow' threaten chaos in parts of the country over the Easter weekend, forecasters warn. 


https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/937564/Easter-weather-forecast-snow-UK-2018-cold-weather-Met-Office

Gavin D
28 March 2018 11:37:07
Met office

UK Outlook for Monday 2 Apr 2018 to Wednesday 11 Apr 2018:

Easter Monday should start dry and cold across the north of the UK with a band of rain and, mainly, hill snow moving northwards into central and northern parts of England and Wales. Tuesday should remain unsettled with further spells of rain or showers and some strong winds, especially in the south and west. As we head through early April it will probably remain rather cold and changeable, with showers or outbreaks of rain, and a risk of snow, mainly over northern hills. The driest weather will be in the northwest with unsettled conditions most probably affecting central and southern areas. Spells of strong winds are likely for the southwest. However, more generally settled weather, with overnight fog or frost risk, may develop in the run up to mid-April.

UK Outlook for Thursday 12 Apr 2018 to Thursday 26 Apr 2018:

The start of this period should see more generally settled conditions develop across the UK bringing overnight frost and fog risks, with southern parts seeing the best of the dry and sunny weather in the lead up to mid-April. The latter half of April will probably see a mixture of changeable or showery spells interspersed with drier and more settled periods. Temperatures overall are likely to remain below average although an increasing number of warmer days can still be expected. There are likely to be overnight frosts in the more settled spells and these should tend to become more restricted to the north of the UK as we head into late April.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 
The Beast from the East
28 March 2018 12:45:43

Richard Madeley in trouble for a lewd comment about the lovely Lucy V. It's the sort of comment you would think in your head, but not say out load, let alone on live TV


 


www.dailymail.co.uk/tvshowbiz/article-5553003/Richard-Madeley-makes-pervy-comment-weather-girl-introducing-feature-GMB.html


 


"We have some alternative facts for you"
Kelly-Ann Conway - special adviser to the President
Gavin D
28 March 2018 17:36:30
10 day trend

Cool
Changeable
Often wet and windy

Hints it might settle down beyond next week

Arcus
29 March 2018 08:35:03
New look (or rather, "tweaked") weather warnings seem to be in operation on the MetO site
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings#?date=2018-03-29 

...and there's some dates/times on the warnings now as well!
Ben,
Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire
30m asl
Arcus
29 March 2018 10:05:09
Warning out for snow on Monday - some degree of uncertainty on areas likely to be affected and the amount of any disruption as you'd expect at this range.
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings#?date=2018-04-02 

Ben,
Nr. Easingwold, North Yorkshire
30m asl
Gavin D
29 March 2018 10:49:59
Easter weather WASHOUT: UK faces rain, hail, thunder and SNOW this Bank Holiday weekend

BRITAIN faces an Easter washout with torrential rain, hail, thunder and snow threatening to keep the nation on lockdown through the bank holiday. Weather models which had earlier favoured widespread wintry showers are now veering towards torrential Easter rainfall across Britain.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/938772/UK-weather-easter-forecast-2018-rain-snow-Bank-Holiday-weekend 
tallyho_83
29 March 2018 12:37:51

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 

Easter weather WASHOUT: UK faces rain, hail, thunder and SNOW this Bank Holiday weekend

BRITAIN faces an Easter washout with torrential rain, hail, thunder and snow threatening to keep the nation on lockdown through the bank holiday. Weather models which had earlier favoured widespread wintry showers are now veering towards torrential Easter rainfall across Britain.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/938772/UK-weather-easter-forecast-2018-rain-snow-Bank-Holiday-weekend


 


No not the Express! Don't give that newspaper more publicity than it already gets!!


Just watched the BBC 1 13:30 weather forecast by Ben Rich for Easter Monday - Snow or cloud?? If it's snow this looks very widespread or perhaps a snow to rain event even for the south??


 



Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
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Gavin D
29 March 2018 12:47:55
Met office

UK Outlook for Tuesday 3 Apr 2018 to Thursday 12 Apr 2018:

Tuesday and Wednesday should be largely dry and bright in the far north with some snow showers, but cloudier elsewhere with outbreaks of rain and hill snow for some. It will be generally cold with overnight frosts especially in the north, but temperatures may be closer to average in the south. As we head through early April it will probably remain rather cold and changeable, sometimes windy, with showers or outbreaks of rain, and a risk of snow mainly over northern hills. The driest weather may become more focussed in the southeast, with occasional warmer interludes, with more unsettled conditions most probably affecting northwestern areas. However, more generally settled, warmer weather may develop in the run up to mid-April.

UK Outlook for Friday 13 Apr 2018 to Friday 27 Apr 2018:

The start of this period should see more generally settled conditions develop across the UK, with southern parts seeing the best of the dry and sunny weather in the lead up to mid-April. There is a lot of uncertainty in the forecast detail going into the latter half of April, but there will probably be a mixture of changeable or showery spells interspersed with drier and more settled periods. Temperatures overall are likely to remain below average although an increasing number of warmer days can still be expected. There are likely to be overnight frosts in the more settled spells and these should become restricted to the north of the UK as we head into late April.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 
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