The Weather Outlook

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bledur
02 June 2018 19:30:15

UK HOT weather forecast: Britain to BAKE in two-week 30C June HEATWAVE to start in 3 days

BRITAIN is about to be thrust back into the furnace as thunderstorms give way to a two-week heatwave heralding the start of a sizzling summer.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/968228/UK-weather-forecast-hot-long-range-forecast-June-2018-Britain-heatwave-Met-Office-summer

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 

 

 Yes it is amusing, but really these people writing this garbage should be put in the stocks, failing that fine them for spreading bullshit

DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
04 June 2018 06:13:10

Weather for the Week Ahead hinting at storms in Germany/ the Low Countries forming at the end of the week and drifting across to us, as they did a week ago. The synoptic pattern seems remarkably persistent, despite talk of a more active Atlantic.


War is God's way of teaching Americans geography - Ambrose Bierce

Chichester 12m asl

Gavin D
05 June 2018 10:42:16
Met office

UK Outlook for Sunday 10 Jun 2018 to Tuesday 19 Jun 2018:

A north/south split in the weather across the UK is likely at the start of the period with plenty of fine, sunny weather in the north with a chance of the odd shower. In contrast the south is more likely to have more humid, cloudy conditions with perhaps some heavy, thundery downpours. Eastern coastal counties may continue to be rather cool and grey at times with mist and low cloud spreading off the North Sea. Light winds, warm days and mild nights are widely expected. Through the week similar conditions are likely to continue, but showers may become more widespread across the north, meanwhile the risk of thundery showers in the south may gradually reduce. By the end of the period temperatures may start to decline, especially across the north.

UK Outlook for Wednesday 20 Jun 2018 to Wednesday 4 Jul 2018:

Slowly evolving weather patterns are most likely to be in place at the start of the outlook. A mixture of some good sunny and warm spells and occasional showery periods are likely, with the chance of some thundery downpours especially in the south. Temperatures are likely to be warmer than average overall both by day and overnight. There is a possibility of some very warm or even hot spells particularly in the south. Whilst signals are weak; a generally settled picture is most likely through the end of June and the start of July but with low confidence.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/gfjr8524k#?date=2018-05-27 

DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
07 June 2018 06:41:44

Met office

UK Outlook for Sunday 10 Jun 2018 to Tuesday 19 Jun 2018:

A north/south split in the weather across the UK is likely at the start of the period with plenty of fine, sunny weather in the north with a chance of the odd shower. In contrast the south is more likely to have more humid, cloudy conditions with perhaps some heavy, thundery downpours.

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 

MetO forecast for Chichester unusually cloudy for the next week, for this time of year and location, without very much in the way of rain - just a few showers. But I suspect the MetO of putting in a cloud symbol as a marker until they think of anything better 


War is God's way of teaching Americans geography - Ambrose Bierce

Chichester 12m asl

Gavin D
09 June 2018 14:22:06
Met office

UK Outlook for Thursday 14 Jun 2018 to Saturday 23 Jun 2018:

Thursday is likely to be unsettled and windy with a band of cloud and rain moving eastwards. The heaviest rain is likely to be in northwestern areas, but lighter and patchier towards the south and east. Rain should clear by Friday to leave a mixture of sunshine and showers. Temperatures around average, but feeling cooler than preceding days. Going into the weekend, mixed weather is probable. Occasionally cloudy and windy conditions are likely, although most places should see some sunny spells. Cloudier periods will bring outbreaks of rain or showers to some areas. The west and northwest are likely to be the wettest, and there is a risk of thundery showers, mainly in the south. This unsettled pattern is likely to continue through the rest of this forecast period.

UK Outlook for Sunday 24 Jun 2018 to Sunday 8 Jul 2018:

Whilst there is low confidence in the forecast detail during this outlook period, there is a signal that there will be a gradual return to more settled and drier weather through the end of June and the first week of July, but still with a chance of more showery interludes. Temperatures are likely to be warmer than average overall both by day and overnight, and there is a possibility of some very warm or even hot spells, these most likely in the south.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

Gavin D
11 June 2018 12:25:49

BBC monthly outlook

Monday 11 June—Sunday 17 June

Turning breezier and more unsettled. Some rain.

The first half of the week will see a ridge of high pressure moving across the UK. This doesn't guarantee dry and sunny weather - some showers are likely - but on the whole it will be relatively settled. However, there have been conflicting signals concerning how long the settled weather will last. There have been indications of a front moving in from the west later on Wednesday, bringing rain to some parts of the country. But whilst there is some uncertainty over how unsettled the weather will be on Wednesday, the second half of next week is much more likely to be wetter, windier and cooler.

Whereas the first half of the week will be relatively settled due to a ridge of high pressure, the second half of the week looks wetter and windier and cooler. This is due to low pressure systems over the North Atlantic Ocean having more of an influence on our weather, something we haven't seen of a little while.
The three main themes are an increasing risk of rain for most parts of the country, but mainly in the north-west; chances of some spells of windy weather; cooler conditions, and although temperatures are only likely to dip to near normal for the time of year it will feel fresher. It is worth stressing that although we are looking at more unsettled weather during the second half of next week, it isn't going to be a washout. There will be periods of largely dry and often sunny weather too. The best of the dry and sunny weather will be in the south and east, where high pressure over mainland Europe is likely to spread across the Channel at times.

Monday 18 June—Sunday 24 June

Settling down as pressure builds

How long will the dry, settled, high pressure dominated weather last? Well, during this week we can ask how long will it remain unsettled. Because whilst low pressure is expected to be around during the middle of the month, there are still signs that after mid-month high pressure will move over the country again. This has been a fairly consistent feature of many medium to long range forecasts issued over the last few weeks. So, we should see the weather settling down after the middle of June. As ever, precise details and timings are difficult at this range. We can say that temperatures look likely to be above normal for the time of year and there are indications of drier, calmer weather. Again, there are no guarantees that this will mean summery weather for the whole country. For example, our recent spell of high pressure brought easterly winds which kept North Sea coasts cloudy and cool.

Monday 25 June—Sunday 8 July

Settled for a time. Cooler and wetter early July.

While there should be a fair amount of dry and settled weather around, there are signs of an Atlantic influence returning at the end of the month and into the start of July, So, we may see another spell of more unsettled weather with showers or longer spells of rain at times. It is likely to turn cooler with winds swinging around to the northwest at times. However, the summer as a whole is expected to feature a lot of high pressure, so a late June unsettled spell may be fairly short-lived.

Next Update

What can we expect from the forecast as the school summer holidays begin?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

Gavin D
11 June 2018 12:26:49
Met office

UK Outlook for Saturday 16 Jun 2018 to Monday 25 Jun 2018:

Saturday is likely to be changeable with a mixture of sunshine and scattered showers. Some showers could be heavy with a risk of hail and thunder. Temperatures will be around average, but it will feel cooler than of late. A band of rain is then likely to move in from the west during Sunday, possible turning heavy at times, mainly in the west. Rain may be accompanied by strong winds, particularly in the northwest, although most places will be breezy. This changeable pattern is likely to continue through the rest of this forecast period with most places seeing sunny spells interspersed with cloudier skies, scattered showers and some longer spells of rain. There is a chance that drier and warmer conditions could develop towards the end of this period.

UK Outlook for Tuesday 26 Jun 2018 to Tuesday 10 Jul 2018:

Whilst there is low confidence in the forecast detail during this outlook period, there is a signal that there will be a return to more settled and drier weather through the end of June and the first week of July, but still with a chance of more showery interludes. Temperatures are likely to be warmer than average overall both by day and overnight, and there is a possibility of some very warm or even hot spells, these most likely in the south.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

RobR
  • RobR
  • Advanced Member
13 June 2018 07:59:29

The Irish Met have now named Thursdays storm as 'Hector'. I wasn't sure if they were naming storms all year round but appears so.


Winter 23/24 in Nantwich

Days Snow Falling: 4

Days Snow Lying: 1

Deepest Snowfall: 3rd December 23 (2cm)

Winter 22/23 in Nantwich

Days Snow Falling: 4

Days Snow Lying: 2

Deepest Snowfall: 10th March (3cm)

Latest Snowfall: 10th March

Winter 21/22 in Nantwich

Days Snow Falling: 3

Days Snow Lying: 1

Deepest Snowfall: 28th November (3cm)

Latest Snowfall: 31st March

Winter 20/21 in Solihull

Days Snow Falling: 21

Days Snow Lying: 8

Deepest Snowfall: 24th January (9cm)

Latest Snowfall: 12th April

Winter 19/20 in Stoke

Days Snow Falling: 5

Days Snow Lying: 2

Deepest Snowfall: 10th Feb (5cm)

Winter 18/19 in Stoke

Days Snow Falling: 6

Days Snow Lying: 6

Deepest Snowfall: 29th Jan (3cm)

Winter 17/18 in Stoke

Days Snow Falling: 27

Days Snow Lying: 24

Deepest Snowfall: 18th March 2018 (10cm)

cultman1
13 June 2018 14:07:16
The Times newspaper yesterday had a column on what to expect for Summer 2018 . In a word going to be hot ! Interesting column and viewpoint
TimS
  • TimS
  • Advanced Member
13 June 2018 14:15:34

The Times newspaper yesterday had a column on what to expect for Summer 2018 . In a word going to be hot ! Interesting column and viewpoint

Originally Posted by: cultman1 

Do you have the link? It's interesting and unusual to have a broadsheet making predictions like this unless it comes from the Met Office.


Brockley, South East London 30m asl
cultman1
13 June 2018 17:47:49
I will try to source this and copy and send the link
Gavin D
14 June 2018 14:43:59
Met office

UK Outlook for Tuesday 19 Jun 2018 to Thursday 28 Jun 2018:

Cloudier skies are expected in the northwest on Tuesday and Wednesday, with rain at times that may be heavy, but many other areas will be fine and dry. It will be windy in the northwest and temperatures will be near normal here, but further south and eastwards it will become warm, or very warm for some. The changeable conditions will continue, with most places seeing sunny spells interspersed with scattered showers. There will possibly be some longer spells of rain in the northwest too, where it will be windy at times. Through the period temperatures will average out near normal, but it is likely to stay warmer in the south and east, with a general trend to more settled conditions for all areas for the last week of June.

UK Outlook for Friday 29 Jun 2018 to Friday 13 Jul 2018:

It will perhaps be changeable in the north at first, with a mixture of sunny spells and showers, or longer spells of rain, however there will be a general trend to more settled conditions for all into the start of July. Areas of high pressure are likely to be to the west of the UK, bringing the potential that frontal systems could affect northern and western areas at times. This means the northwest will see cooler conditions, with occasional spells of rain, while for the south and east it will be mostly dry, with warm or very warm temperatures.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/gcpvj0v07#?date=2018-06-14 

Gavin D
18 June 2018 20:52:10

Into next week

High pressure dominates
Dry for most
Increasing warmth in south?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/feeds/44528797

Gavin D
18 June 2018 20:53:18

BBC monthly outlook

Monday 18 June—Sunday 24 June

Warm in the south. Some rain for the north.

On Monday and Tuesday, north-western areas of the UK, including Scotland, Northern Ireland, north-west England and north-west Wales are likely to be breezy with a lot of cloud at times together with patchy rain. Western Scotland could see some more prolonged and heavier outbreaks of rain. Meanwhile, further south and east across the UK, it will be mainly dry with some periods of sunshine and becoming warmer too with highs rising to the mid to high 20s Celsius in places. For the rest of the week, the day to day details become a little more uncertain. However, the overall story will remain the same, with central and southern areas of the UK having a lot of dry and warm weather, probably with some strong sunshine at times. Temperatures are likely to be quite widely into the low to mid-20s Celsius. Further north, it is likely to be breezy at times and less warm with patchy rain but one or two drier days as well.

Monday 25 June—Sunday 1 July

Less warm for a time. Patchy rain spreading south.

For the last week of June, indications are that high pressure is likely to move a little further away, allowing some rain-bearing fronts to move in from the north-west. Therefore, a couple of bands of rain could be expected to spread south-eastwards across the UK. However, the rain could be quite patchy by the time it reaches southern and eastern areas of England. Temperatures are expected to take a tumble for at least a few days, with temperatures falling near or perhaps even slightly below the seasonal average. However, towards the end of the week, we may begin to see high pressure extending north-eastwards again towards the UK. Therefore, there are growing chances of drier, calmer and somewhat warmer conditions re-emerging before the end of the week. Indeed, there may be a change to drier and more settled weather even for northern areas of the UK by then. The main uncertainty is on the timing and extent of any cooler and damper conditions over the UK. Indeed, there do seem to be some chances that high pressure holds across much of the UK, which would lead to a much drier and calmer week over large parts of the country than is currently anticipated.

Monday 2 July—Sunday 15 July

Plenty of settled weather. Generally warm.

Current indications for the first half of July point towards often dry and settled conditions over the UK with some decent periods of summery weather. The reason for this outlook is that an area of high pressure is likely to be often somewhere near, or over, the UK, keeping rain-bearing low pressure areas well to the south and north of the country. Overall, temperatures are expected to be slightly above the seasonal average over the UK with rainfall amounts probably below normal. Indeed, the lack of rainfall could start to become a concern for gardeners. There should also be a lack of windy days. However, the exact positioning of any high pressure areas will dictate the day to day temperatures. High pressure would occasionally be expected to move away westwards to allow a few breezier and cooler episodes of weather to develop in what is expected to be an often warm and dry spell. However, there is also the chance that high pressure occasionally sits overhead or just east of the UK to bring a few hot days at times.

Next Update

We will take another look to see whether central and southern areas could see any significant rainfall before the end of the month or whether it is likely to just end up being mostly dry. And we will look for any clues where the anticipated high pressure areas may end up in early July, which will govern the temperatures then and the chances of any hot weather.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

Gavin D
18 June 2018 20:54:20

Met office

UK Outlook for Saturday 23 Jun 2018 to Monday 2 Jul 2018:

Saturday and Sunday will both be largely fine and dry days across much of the UK with plenty of warm sunshine in store. However it is likely to turn cloudier and breezier across northwestern parts with some outbreaks of rain possible at times, particularly on Sunday. During the last week of the month dry, fine and sometimes very warm weather is expected to continue in southern and central parts and this fine, settled weather is also expected for much of the week across northern parts of the country too. However, from time to tim conditions will become unsettled and generally cooler in the northwest with short-lived spells of rain or showers possible along with stronger winds.

UK Outlook for Tuesday 3 Jul 2018 to Tuesday 17 Jul 2018:

Although confidence is low as we head into July, early indications are that the first half of the month may well bring a good deal of dry and settled weather across the UK, particularly in southern and eastern parts, where temperatures are expected to be warm, and sometimes very warm. Northern and western areas are more likely to see changeable spells with showers and more persistent rain at times. During these changeable spells temperatures will be close to average for the time of year, but there will be some drier and warmer interludes here too.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

Nick Gilly
20 June 2018 06:42:55
I wonder what happened to the 19th June BBC weather for the week ahead on their website? It never got published, and this morning it still has the 18th June edition. I was eagerly awaiting it last night.
johncs2016
20 June 2018 07:27:43

I wonder what happened to the 19th June BBC weather for the week ahead on their website? It never got published, and this morning it still has the 18th June edition. I was eagerly awaiting it last night.

Originally Posted by: Nick Gilly 

If you are in the UK and have a TV License, you can watch it here. It looks as though they have probably just forgotten to add that to the BBC Weather website itself.

 


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

Col
  • Col
  • Advanced Member
20 June 2018 07:37:20

 

If you are in the UK and have a TV License, you can watch it here. It looks as though they have probably just forgotten to add that to the BBC Weather website itself.

 

Originally Posted by: johncs2016 

You can even watch it without a TV licence :)


Col

Bolton, Lancashire

160m asl

Snow videos:

http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg

Nick Gilly
20 June 2018 07:50:56
Ah yes thanks for that. I'd not thought to look for it on the iPlayer.
johncs2016
20 June 2018 07:57:14

 

You can even watch it without a TV licence :)

Originally Posted by: Col 

That is actually true, technically speaking. The BBC want you to have a License for watching that and will ask you whether you have one or not when you can go to watch that content from that website. However,  it possible to still watch that by saying there, that you have a license even if you actually don't (which would actually be lying in this instance).

 


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

Col
  • Col
  • Advanced Member
20 June 2018 08:36:23

 

That is actually true, technically speaking. The BBC want you to have a License for watching that and will ask you whether you have one or not when you can go to watch that content from that website. However,  it possible to still watch that by saying there, that you have a license even if you actually don't (which would actually be lying in this instance).

 

Originally Posted by: johncs2016 

Well I watched it without even being asked whether I had a licence.


Col

Bolton, Lancashire

160m asl

Snow videos:

http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg

johncs2016
20 June 2018 08:48:45

 

Well I watched it without even being asked whether I had a licence.

Originally Posted by: Col 

Maybe, it just depends on how you watch it because there are so many ways of doing so (such as through a TV set-top box for example).

I can only go by what I have seen myself and when I went to access that from a web browser on my computer, it did ask me whether or not, I had a TV License. However, that is only one of many ways of accessing this content and of course, your experience of that may well be different as a result as I have already gathered from you have said.

 


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

Col
  • Col
  • Advanced Member
20 June 2018 10:35:55

 

Maybe, it just depends on how you watch it because there are so many ways of doing so (such as through a TV set-top box for example).

I can only go by what I have seen myself and when I went to access that from a web browser on my computer, it did ask me whether or not, I had a TV License. However, that is only one of many ways of accessing this content and of course, your experience of that may well be different as a result as I have already gathered from you have said.

 

Originally Posted by: johncs2016 

I access iPlayer via my laptop and tablet and I am periodically asked whether I have a TV licence, perhaps every few weeks or so. It's certainly not every time.


Col

Bolton, Lancashire

160m asl

Snow videos:

http://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3QvmL4UWBmHFMKWiwYm_gg

johncs2016
20 June 2018 11:01:46

 

I access iPlayer via my laptop and tablet and I am periodically asked whether I have a TV licence, perhaps every few weeks or so. It's certainly not every time.

Originally Posted by: Col 

Well, it has been quite a long ago since I last accessed the iPlayer in this fashion (I normally only do that either through TalkTalk TV, through my Amazon Firestick or on my TV itself since that is a fairly old (from around 2012) Samsung smart TV). That might explain why I was asked this time, but I can't really bothered going back in to see whether or not, the same thing would happen again.

 


The north of Edinburgh, usually always missing out on snow events which occur not just within the rest of Scotland or the UK, but also within the rest of Edinburgh.

Gavin D
20 June 2018 11:55:33
Met office

UK Outlook for Monday 25 Jun 2018 to Wednesday 4 Jul 2018:

The final week of June will see plenty of dry and sunny weather across most of the UK, with only the far north and northwest seeing cloudier skies at times, with occasional rain. With the fine weather, temperatures will continue to rise for all parts, but especially so in the south where it could turn hot. The heat may spark an isolated thunderstorm although the majority will stay dry. As we head into the start of July confidence reduces, but most areas should continue to see plenty of fine, sunny and very warm weather. Northern and some western areas may begin to see cloudier conditions pushing in with the chance of some rain and stronger winds.

UK Outlook for Thursday 5 Jul 2018 to Thursday 19 Jul 2018:

Although confidence remains low through the first half of July, early indications bring a good deal of dry and settled weather across many parts of the UK. However, there are some signs that more changeable weather may develop at times, especially in the north and possibly the west potentially leading to cloud, stronger winds and some rain. Where the dry and settled weather continues it will remain very warm, especially in the south. Where it turns more changeable it will also become cooler.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast 

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