Nordic Snowman
24 February 2018 15:20:59

Originally Posted by: Retron 


 


Hmm, as the highest maxima so far today are listed as 7C I'd be very dubious about your 9C - dodgy exposure, perhaps?


http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/maps/current?LANG=en&CONT=euro&LAND=UK&KEY=UK&SORT=3&UD=0&INT=06&TYP=tmax&ART=tabelle&RUBRIK=akt&R=310&CEL=C&SI=mph


(My own Oregon station's thermometer, which was reading a steady 4-5, has shot up to 8 in the sunshine. No, it's not 8C out there - more like 5C!)



Indeed Darren.


My car thermometer was at 2c before midday when out and about and it maxed at 4c half an hour ago.


9c my foot!


Neil: Why on earth go to Fratton Park?!! Old Trafford is the other direction and kicks off tomorrow  And... you need to fix your car thermometer 


Bjorli, Norway

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Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
24 February 2018 15:40:42

My Met Office phone app now says:  


‘By the end of Wednesday, more than 20cm of snow may have accumulated in Eastern counties of England, Scotland and Northern Ireland from a culmination of Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday’s snow showers.’


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.
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DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
24 February 2018 17:39:00

Yellow warnings for snow now posted for 



  • Mon, E counties of England and Scotland

  • Tue, England and SCotlandexcept W fringes

  • Wed, repeat and include NI


Wales misses out. But MetO forecast for eg Chichester is only for occasional episodes  with 50% chance of pptn, which wouldn't seem to justify a warning,


War does not determine who is right, only who is left - Bertrand Russell

Chichester 12m asl
Gavin D
24 February 2018 18:58:55

Next week


Disruptive snow


Bitter winds


Frost and Ice


Some sunshine


https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/43184987


 

picturesareme
24 February 2018 19:18:10

Originally Posted by: Retron 


 


Hmm, as the highest maxima so far today are listed as 7C I'd be very dubious about your 9C - dodgy exposure, perhaps?


http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/maps/current?LANG=en&CONT=euro&LAND=UK&KEY=UK&SORT=3&UD=0&INT=06&TYP=tmax&ART=tabelle&RUBRIK=akt&R=310&CEL=C&SI=mph


(My own Oregon station's thermometer, which was reading a steady 4-5, has shot up to 8 in the sunshine. No, it's not 8C out there - more like 5C!)



8.5C this afternoon.. 🙂 Officially though down here the warmest in this region was Hurn @7.4C - but there are another sites which the met use but I don't have access to.

Gooner
24 February 2018 19:22:32

20cm of snow in Eastern areas by the end of Wednesday 


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


Gooner
24 February 2018 19:26:05

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 


Next week


Disruptive snow


Bitter winds


Frost and Ice


Some sunshine


https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/43184987


 



What a stunning forecast 


 


WOW


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


moomin75
24 February 2018 19:29:00

Originally Posted by: Gooner 


 


What a stunning forecast 


 


WOW


Yes a great forecast but luck of the draw with who the forecaster is. If this had been Susan Powell or Darren Bett it would have been very low key


 


Witney, Oxfordshire
100m ASL
Gooner
24 February 2018 19:29:34

Originally Posted by: moomin75 


Yes a great forecast but luck of the draw with who the forecaster is. If this had been Susan Powell or Darren Bett it would have been very low key


 



yes but it wasn’t 


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus
Banbury
North Oxfordshire
378 feet A S L


moomin75
24 February 2018 19:31:24

Originally Posted by: Gooner 


 


yes but it wasn’t 


I know. Which is why it was one of the classic forecasts. But totally at odds with the models (GFS and ECM) at the end of the week. 


Long long way to go yet.


Witney, Oxfordshire
100m ASL
nsrobins
24 February 2018 19:56:59

Originally Posted by: moomin75 


I know. Which is why it was one of the classic forecasts. But totally at odds with the models (GFS and ECM) at the end of the week. 


Long long way to go yet.



But it’s not is it? It’s looks in line with the GEFS 12Z set up to Friday and the recently issued EPS mean which shows the OP was a significant warm option.


It frustrates me how some people seem to be blinkered to basic analysis.


Neil
Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)
Stormchaser, Member TORRO
Weathermac
24 February 2018 20:09:21

Originally Posted by: nsrobins 


 


But it’s not is it? It’s looks in line with the GEFS 12Z set up to Friday and the recently issued EPS mean which shows the OP was a significant warm option.


It frustrates me how some people seem to be blinkered to basic analysis.



Some people seem to be looking at a breakdown that may not even happen based on one 12z op run its ridiculous tbh.

Gavin D
24 February 2018 21:27:52

Originally Posted by: Weathermac 


 


Some people seem to be looking at a breakdown that may not even happen based on one 12z op run its ridiculous tbh.



It isn't one run though the GFS ens mean has shown a rise in 850's for a few days now around the end of next week UKMO started to wobble this morning along with ECM and GEM was starting to wobble last night

David M Porter
24 February 2018 22:06:56

Originally Posted by: squish 

Remember the UKMO was steadfast in predicting this upcoming spell ( maybe not it’s probable severity) for a long time before the visible output (to us) fell in line ....especially the GFS/GEFS, but also the ECM


Indeed, therefore it would be somewhat unwise IMO for any of us to question what the MetO are saying at the moment about prospects for further into March.


Lenzie, Glasgow

"Let us not take ourselves too seriously. None of us has a monopoly on wisdom, and we must always be ready to listen and respect other points of view."- Queen Elizabeth II 1926-2022
Gandalf The White
24 February 2018 22:17:00

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 


 


It isn't one run though the GFS ens mean has shown a rise in 850's for a few days now around the end of next week UKMO started to wobble this morning along with ECM and GEM was starting to wobble last night



But we don't see the ensemble data available to the Met Office. I question anyone who wants to make a call based on a selection of operational runs. I do agree that GFS has trended towards LP pushing in from the south west and that ECM has also moved in that direction but it's still five days away and a lot will change before then. Experience tells us that entrenched surface cold is difficult to shift: warm air will ride up over the cold.


Location: South Cambridgeshire
130 metres ASL
52.0N 0.1E


tallyho_83
24 February 2018 23:31:59

Just saw the BBC weather forecast by Helen Willetts on N24 @ 2325 - She was really ramping up the snow Monday night into Tuesday and went on to say that this could potentially be the coldest spell of weather we have seen in some 10 - 12 years!? Well I guess she missed December 2010?


Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


SJV
  • SJV
  • Advanced Member
24 February 2018 23:43:33

Originally Posted by: tallyho_83 


Just saw the BBC weather forecast by Helen Willetts on N24 @ 2325 - She was really ramping up the snow Monday night into Tuesday and went on to say that this could potentially be the coldest spell of weather we have seen in some 10 - 12 years!? Well I guess she missed December 2010?



Without bothering to check I think next week will be colder than 2010 spell? Perhaps not as snowy or lengthy.


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LeedsLad123
25 February 2018 01:25:23
Met forecast now goes out to Saturday and it shows a high of 1C and low of -4C here, with light snow. Interesting - but will almost certainly change (for better or worse).
Whitkirk, Leeds - 85m ASL.
tallyho_83
25 February 2018 02:24:24

Originally Posted by: LeedsLad123 

Met forecast now goes out to Saturday and it shows a high of 1C and low of -4C here, with light snow. Interesting - but will almost certainly change (for better or worse).


Interesting!


Met has just updated too @01:54 (25/2/18)


Which also includes Saturday now/


If anything it's an upgrade in snow for Exeter/East Devon, with weather warnings for Tuesday and Wednesday and then after for Thursday - A Min of -3c and max of 0c during the day on Thursday and for it to snow from Thursday evening onto Friday evening and to stay as snow with temps only rising to +1 or +2c.


A long way off but the Met still seem bullish about this cold and snow lasting all this week into next weekend with no back tracking at all. As for whether or not it will end in a blizzard!? Who knows!?



 


Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
---------------------------------------
Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com


RobN
  • RobN
  • Advanced Member
25 February 2018 08:03:31

From Radio 4's 07:55 am forecast: "blizzards in the south at the end of the week"


Rob
In the flatlands of South Cambridgeshire 15m ASL.
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