Yet another stunning 30 day update.

Met office update

UK Outlook for Sunday 11 Mar 2018 to Sunday 25 Mar 2018:

The start of this period is likely to remain very cold across much of the UK, with bitterly cold easterly winds giving a significant wind chill. 

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

[/quote]  Not too shabby

The fact that from 11th March the Met Office seem very confident - it is at odds with GFS model output.

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Home Location - Kellands Lane, Okehampton, Devon (200m ASL)
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Sean Moon
Magical Moon
www.magical-moon.com

Have we ever seen blizzards forecast in these text updates? Away from mountainous Scotland? 

World class update can't ask for anymore especially in March. 

">https://www.express.co.uk/news/weather/923045/Snow-UK-2018-weather-forecast-heavy-snow-Met-Office

Hyperbole in the headlines, saying the most snow in a decade in the opening paragraph, then next paragraph saying "could be hit by up to four inches of snow in the worst hit places". Hardly the blizzard of the century is it!?

World class update can't ask for anymore especially in March. 

 

world class indeed 

Well they were right after all on local radio ...temp has just hit 9C ...actually 2 degrees warmer than forecast ! ...on the costa del solent.

Hmm, as the highest maxima so far today are listed as 7C I'd be very dubious about your 9C - dodgy exposure, perhaps?

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/maps/current?LANG=en&CONT=euro&LAND=UK&KEY=UK&SORT=3&UD=0&INT=06&TYP=tmax&ART=tabelle&RUBRIK=akt&R=310&CEL=C&SI=mph

(My own Oregon station's thermometer, which was reading a steady 4-5, has shot up to 8 in the sunshine. No, it's not 8C out there - more like 5C!)

 

Hmm, as the highest maxima so far today are listed as 7C I'd be very dubious about your 9C - dodgy exposure, perhaps?

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/maps/current?LANG=en&CONT=euro&LAND=UK&KEY=UK&SORT=3&UD=0&INT=06&TYP=tmax&ART=tabelle&RUBRIK=akt&R=310&CEL=C&SI=mph

(My own Oregon station's thermometer, which was reading a steady 4-5, has shot up to 8 in the sunshine. No, it's not 8C out there - more like 5C!)

Agreed, I am maxing with 7.5c, Davis vp2 in brilliant sunshine.

I see the BBC Weather site is showing the Met Office warnings. I thought somebody said they weren't allowed to use them now?

BTW Thorney Island was showing 5.9C at 1pm. I can't imagine it has reached 9C since then. 

 

Hmm, as the highest maxima so far today are listed as 7C I'd be very dubious about your 9C - dodgy exposure, perhaps?

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/maps/current?LANG=en&CONT=euro&LAND=UK&KEY=UK&SORT=3&UD=0&INT=06&TYP=tmax&ART=tabelle&RUBRIK=akt&R=310&CEL=C&SI=mph

(My own Oregon station's thermometer, which was reading a steady 4-5, has shot up to 8 in the sunshine. No, it's not 8C out there - more like 5C!)

I had 8C just now on my uncalibrated car thermometer on the way to Fratton Park.

 

I had 8C just now on my uncalibrated car thermometer on the way to Fratton Park.

My car thermometer was showing 10C earlier when I set off. Actual temp is more like 5C here. 

It's taken several days, but at long last the Met Office text forecast cottons on to the fact we're likely to get convective stuff off the North Sea later tomorrow down here!

This is a very wintry update from the Met Office - it's the SE local forecast, of which Kent is the only county to have North Sea coasts.

Sunday:
A dry day with plenty of sunshine. However still feeling bitterly cold with strengthening winds through the day. Some snow showers are expected near North Sea coasts during the evening. Maximum temperature 3 °C.

Outlook for Monday to Wednesday:
Extremely cold. Snow showers developing, becoming widespread and heavier later Monday. Frequent, occasionally heavy snow showers continuing Tuesday and Wednesday, leading to locally significant accumulations. Becoming windy from Tuesday.

It's taken several days, but at long last the Met Office text forecast cottons on to the fact we're likely to get convective stuff off the North Sea later tomorrow down here!

This is a very wintry update from the Met Office - it's the SE local forecast, of which Kent is the only county to have North Sea coasts.

Sunday:
A dry day with plenty of sunshine. However still feeling bitterly cold with strengthening winds through the day. Some snow showers are expected near North Sea coasts during the evening. Maximum temperature 3 °C.

Outlook for Monday to Wednesday:
Extremely cold. Snow showers developing, becoming widespread and heavier later Monday. Frequent, occasionally heavy snow showers continuing Tuesday and Wednesday, leading to locally significant accumulations. Becoming windy from Tuesday.

A similiar picture here on today’s Met Office text forecast (for NE Scotland/Grampian Region)

Sunshine and a few snow showers on Monday. Some heavier snow showers Monday night into Tuesday and Wednesday, with some moderate to heavy falls, and feeling bitterly cold.

Without wishing to go too offtopic, I'm intrigued - I know you don't like easterlies, but surely a deep cold one (like this upcoming one) would bring plenty of snow for you? There's far more sea-track to build up showers, after all...

Also, any ideas as to the Met Office's definition of snowfall amounts? They say "significant accumulations" down here, which used to mean 4 inches IIRC. For your forecast, however, they've been more specific... moderate and heavy falls.