The Weather Outlook

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Gooner
24 February 2018 13:11:49

World class update can't ask for anymore especially in March. 

 

Originally Posted by: Ally Pally Snowman 

world class indeed 


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus

Banbury

North Oxfordshire

378 feet A S L



squish
24 February 2018 13:17:36
Remember the UKMO was steadfast in predicting this upcoming spell ( maybe not it’s probable severity) for a long time before the visible output (to us) fell in line ....especially the GFS/GEFS, but also the ECM


D.E.W on Dartmoor. 300m asl
Chiltern Blizzard
24 February 2018 14:06:47
UKMO now showing mby dropping below 0c from tomorrow at 5pm and remaining sub-zero for the entire duration of the working week!! That would be unprecedented since probably Feb 1986?
Rendlesham, Suffolk 20m asl
PFCSCOTTY
24 February 2018 14:26:22
Well they were right after all on local radio ...temp has just hit 9C ...actually 2 degrees warmer than forecast ! ...on the costa del solent.

Let's hope the +3 and +4C they are showing on the BBC app for this area on Tuesday/weds is to high rather than today's too low prediction

Retron
24 February 2018 14:29:03

Well they were right after all on local radio ...temp has just hit 9C ...actually 2 degrees warmer than forecast ! ...on the costa del solent.

Originally Posted by: PFCSCOTTY 

Hmm, as the highest maxima so far today are listed as 7C I'd be very dubious about your 9C - dodgy exposure, perhaps?

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/maps/current?LANG=en&CONT=euro&LAND=UK&KEY=UK&SORT=3&UD=0&INT=06&TYP=tmax&ART=tabelle&RUBRIK=akt&R=310&CEL=C&SI=mph

(My own Oregon station's thermometer, which was reading a steady 4-5, has shot up to 8 in the sunshine. No, it's not 8C out there - more like 5C!)


Leysdown, north Kent
forestedge
24 February 2018 14:44:34

 

Hmm, as the highest maxima so far today are listed as 7C I'd be very dubious about your 9C - dodgy exposure, perhaps?

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/maps/current?LANG=en&CONT=euro&LAND=UK&KEY=UK&SORT=3&UD=0&INT=06&TYP=tmax&ART=tabelle&RUBRIK=akt&R=310&CEL=C&SI=mph

(My own Oregon station's thermometer, which was reading a steady 4-5, has shot up to 8 in the sunshine. No, it's not 8C out there - more like 5C!)

Originally Posted by: Retron 

Agreed, I am maxing with 7.5c, Davis vp2 in brilliant sunshine.


Roger

Ashurst Bridge (New Forest)

9m ASL

https://www.newforestweather.co.uk 

Rob K
24 February 2018 14:46:20

I see the BBC Weather site is showing the Met Office warnings. I thought somebody said they weren't allowed to use them now?

 

BTW Thorney Island was showing 5.9C at 1pm. I can't imagine it has reached 9C since then. 


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

nsrobins
24 February 2018 14:48:14

 

Hmm, as the highest maxima so far today are listed as 7C I'd be very dubious about your 9C - dodgy exposure, perhaps?

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/maps/current?LANG=en&CONT=euro&LAND=UK&KEY=UK&SORT=3&UD=0&INT=06&TYP=tmax&ART=tabelle&RUBRIK=akt&R=310&CEL=C&SI=mph

(My own Oregon station's thermometer, which was reading a steady 4-5, has shot up to 8 in the sunshine. No, it's not 8C out there - more like 5C!)

Originally Posted by: Retron 

I had 8C just now on my uncalibrated car thermometer on the way to Fratton Park.


Neil

Fareham, Hampshire 28m ASL (near estuary)

Stormchaser, Member TORRO

Rob K
24 February 2018 14:49:29

 

I had 8C just now on my uncalibrated car thermometer on the way to Fratton Park.

Originally Posted by: nsrobins 

My car thermometer was showing 10C earlier when I set off. Actual temp is more like 5C here. 


Yateley, NE Hampshire, 73m asl

"But who wants to be foretold the weather? It is bad enough when it comes, without our having the misery of knowing about it beforehand." — Jerome K. Jerome

Justin W
24 February 2018 14:51:55
Not the right thread but in bright sunshine am registering 3.1C here.
Yo yo yo. 148-3 to the 3 to the 6 to the 9, representing the ABQ, what up, biatch?
Retron
24 February 2018 14:55:56

It's taken several days, but at long last the Met Office text forecast cottons on to the fact we're likely to get convective stuff off the North Sea later tomorrow down here!

This is a very wintry update from the Met Office - it's the SE local forecast, of which Kent is the only county to have North Sea coasts.


Sunday:
A dry day with plenty of sunshine. However still feeling bitterly cold with strengthening winds through the day. Some snow showers are expected near North Sea coasts during the evening. Maximum temperature 3 °C.


Outlook for Monday to Wednesday:
Extremely cold. Snow showers developing, becoming widespread and heavier later Monday. Frequent, occasionally heavy snow showers continuing Tuesday and Wednesday, leading to locally significant accumulations. Becoming windy from Tuesday.


Leysdown, north Kent
Whether Idle
24 February 2018 14:57:51

It's taken several days, but at long last the Met Office text forecast cottons on to the fact we're likely to get convective stuff off the North Sea later tomorrow down here!

This is a very wintry update from the Met Office - it's the SE local forecast, of which Kent is the only county to have North Sea coasts.


Sunday:
A dry day with plenty of sunshine. However still feeling bitterly cold with strengthening winds through the day. Some snow showers are expected near North Sea coasts during the evening. Maximum temperature 3 °C.


Outlook for Monday to Wednesday:
Extremely cold. Snow showers developing, becoming widespread and heavier later Monday. Frequent, occasionally heavy snow showers continuing Tuesday and Wednesday, leading to locally significant accumulations. Becoming windy from Tuesday.

Originally Posted by: Retron 


Dover, 5m asl. Half a mile from the south coast.
doctormog
24 February 2018 15:02:27
A similiar picture here on today’s Met Office text forecast (for NE Scotland/Grampian Region)

“Sunday:

Moray and Banffshire will stay dry with some spells of sunshine, and after a cloudy start Deeside will become sunnier. More cloud towards Aberdeen and the east, with wintry flurries. Maximum Temperature 5 °C.

Outlook for Monday to Wednesday:

Sunshine and a few snow showers on Monday. Some heavier snow showers Monday night into Tuesday and Wednesday, with some moderate to heavy falls, and feeling bitterly cold.

Updated at: 1352 on Sat 24 Feb 2018”


Retron
24 February 2018 15:07:04

A similiar picture here on today’s Met Office text forecast (for NE Scotland/Grampian Region)

Sunshine and a few snow showers on Monday. Some heavier snow showers Monday night into Tuesday and Wednesday, with some moderate to heavy falls, and feeling bitterly cold.

Originally Posted by: doctormog 

Without wishing to go too offtopic, I'm intrigued - I know you don't like easterlies, but surely a deep cold one (like this upcoming one) would bring plenty of snow for you? There's far more sea-track to build up showers, after all...

Also, any ideas as to the Met Office's definition of snowfall amounts? They say "significant accumulations" down here, which used to mean 4 inches IIRC. For your forecast, however, they've been more specific... moderate and heavy falls.


Leysdown, north Kent
doctormog
24 February 2018 15:10:32
Your second question was one I was wondering about too (and will see I for I can’t find the answer). Regarding your first point, I think with the depth of cold and the time of year (SST’s) it may be one of those rare occasions where the easterly sea track is actually an advantage rather than a disadvantage, but they are rare beasts!
Nordic Snowman
24 February 2018 15:20:59

 

Hmm, as the highest maxima so far today are listed as 7C I'd be very dubious about your 9C - dodgy exposure, perhaps?

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/maps/current?LANG=en&CONT=euro&LAND=UK&KEY=UK&SORT=3&UD=0&INT=06&TYP=tmax&ART=tabelle&RUBRIK=akt&R=310&CEL=C&SI=mph

(My own Oregon station's thermometer, which was reading a steady 4-5, has shot up to 8 in the sunshine. No, it's not 8C out there - more like 5C!)

Originally Posted by: Retron 

Indeed Darren.

My car thermometer was at 2c before midday when out and about and it maxed at 4c half an hour ago.

9c my foot!

Neil: Why on earth go to Fratton Park?!! Old Trafford is the other direction and kicks off tomorrow  And... you need to fix your car thermometer 


Bjorli, Norway

Website 

Caz
  • Caz
  • Advanced Member
24 February 2018 15:40:42

My Met Office phone app now says:  

‘By the end of Wednesday, more than 20cm of snow may have accumulated in Eastern counties of England, Scotland and Northern Ireland from a culmination of Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday’s snow showers.’


Market Warsop, North Nottinghamshire.

Join the fun and banter of the monthly CET competition.

DEW
  • DEW
  • Advanced Member
24 February 2018 17:39:00

Yellow warnings for snow now posted for 

  • Mon, E counties of England and Scotland
  • Tue, England and SCotlandexcept W fringes
  • Wed, repeat and include NI

Wales misses out. But MetO forecast for eg Chichester is only for occasional episodes  with 50% chance of pptn, which wouldn't seem to justify a warning,


War is God's way of teaching Americans geography - Ambrose Bierce

Chichester 12m asl

Gavin D
24 February 2018 18:58:55

Next week

Disruptive snow

Bitter winds

Frost and Ice

Some sunshine

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/43184987

 

picturesareme
24 February 2018 19:18:10

 

Hmm, as the highest maxima so far today are listed as 7C I'd be very dubious about your 9C - dodgy exposure, perhaps?

http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/maps/current?LANG=en&CONT=euro&LAND=UK&KEY=UK&SORT=3&UD=0&INT=06&TYP=tmax&ART=tabelle&RUBRIK=akt&R=310&CEL=C&SI=mph

(My own Oregon station's thermometer, which was reading a steady 4-5, has shot up to 8 in the sunshine. No, it's not 8C out there - more like 5C!)

Originally Posted by: Retron 

8.5C this afternoon.. 🙂 Officially though down here the warmest in this region was Hurn @7.4C - but there are another sites which the met use but I don't have access to.

Gooner
24 February 2018 19:22:32

20cm of snow in Eastern areas by the end of Wednesday 


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus

Banbury

North Oxfordshire

378 feet A S L



Gooner
24 February 2018 19:26:05

Next week

Disruptive snow

Bitter winds

Frost and Ice

Some sunshine

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/43184987

 

Originally Posted by: Gavin D 

What a stunning forecast 

 

WOW


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus

Banbury

North Oxfordshire

378 feet A S L



moomin75
24 February 2018 19:29:00

 

What a stunning forecast 

 

WOW

Originally Posted by: Gooner 

Yes a great forecast but luck of the draw with who the forecaster is. If this had been Susan Powell or Darren Bett it would have been very low key

 


Witney, Oxfordshire

100m ASL

Gooner
24 February 2018 19:29:34

Yes a great forecast but luck of the draw with who the forecaster is. If this had been Susan Powell or Darren Bett it would have been very low key

 

Originally Posted by: moomin75 

yes but it wasn’t 


Remember anything after T120 is really Just For Fun



Marcus

Banbury

North Oxfordshire

378 feet A S L



moomin75
24 February 2018 19:31:24

 

yes but it wasn’t 

Originally Posted by: Gooner 

I know. Which is why it was one of the classic forecasts. But totally at odds with the models (GFS and ECM) at the end of the week. 

Long long way to go yet.


Witney, Oxfordshire

100m ASL

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